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Silver technical analysis: 100-day moving average offers critical support

By Nathan Batchelor

19:13, 29 September 2020

Silver technical analysis

Silver suffered its worst weekly decline in nine years last week, as traders sold the popular metal and moved back into the US dollar.

Silver price technical analysis shows that a recovery back towards $26 remains possible while bulls maintain the price above the metal’s 100-day moving average.

Silver medium-term price trend

Silver declined by more than $5 last week, as the metal broke under a large triangle pattern and subsequently fell to its weakest trading level since July this year.

Silver technical analysis over the medium term shows that a key rising trendline has been broken, placing the emphasis on further downside.

Technical analysis on the daily time frame shows that the key trendline breakout remains valid while the price trades under the $23 resistance zone. The key trendline in question is formed by attaching the current yearly trading low to the July monthly swing low. 

Buyers must now defend the metal’s 100-day moving average, around the $21.70 level, to avoid an even steeper decline towards silver’s 200-day moving average around $19.

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Gold

2,630.53 Price
+0.260% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0151%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.30

BTC/USD

94,747.45 Price
-0.360% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 50.00

XRP/USD

2.16 Price
-1.990% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.01079

ETH/USD

3,273.25 Price
-0.550% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 1.75

Silver short-term price trend

Silver price analysis over the short term shows that bears are in full control of the metal while the price trades below the $26.45 resistance level. The 30-minute time frame shows that a bullish MACD divergence has built during last week’s massive sell-off towards the $21.70 area. 

According to technical analysis, bullish MACD divergence has formed around the $25 level, as the MACD signal line rises while the price has been falling.

If bulls can force a sustained breakout above $23 then the bulls may attempt to reverse the bullish divergence around $25.

Silver technical summary

Silver price technical analysis shows that bulls need to defend the $21.70 level this week to avoid a more protracted decline below the $20 support barrier.

Markets in this article

Silver
Silver
29.778 USD
0.208 +0.710%

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The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
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