CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78.1% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
US English

Cardano futures: ADA price pressure to persist amid FTX fallout

By Iliana Mavrou

Edited by Jekaterina Drozdovica

12:38, 21 November 2022

Cardano crypto currency digital payment system blockchain concept. Cryptocurrency isolated on earth night lights world map background.
The recent FTX crisis has caused a whirl in the crypto world with many investors pulling out their assets from the market that’s already dominated by bearish sentiment. Photo: karnoff / Shutterstock

The recent FTX crisis has caused a whirl in the crypto world with many investors pulling out their assets from the market that’s already dominated by bearish sentiment.

Cardano’s ADA, has been on a bear run in 2022, losing over 89.8% of its gains since the all-time high of $2.9706 on 3 September 2021 to $0.3032 on 21 November 2021. 

ADA/USD live price chart

How do Cardano futures work and where could the cardano futures price be headed? Read on…

What are cardano futures?

Cryptocurrency futures are contracts between two parties that are betting on the future price of a digital asset. When traders purchase a cryptocurrency’s futures contract, they gain exposure without owning the underlying coin, agreeing to pay a certain price for the asset in future. When the futures contract expires, however, the trader has to settle it – in other words, they buy the coin. 

The Cardano blockchain was launched in 2017 as a third-generation cryptocurrency platform. It has a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism and was designed to be a more scalable, sustainable and interoperable version of Ethereum. For this reason, the blockchain’s supporters labelled Cardano the “Ethereum killer”. 

In September 2021, Cardano gained smart contract capability, allowing for the creation of decentralised apps (dApps), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), games, new cryptocurrencies and more.

ADA is the blockchain’s native cryptocurrency named after the 19th century mathematician Ada Lovelace. The coins are used as a secure exchange of value and to pay for transaction fees 

Cardano futures, therefore, are contracts between two parties that have agreed to buy and sell a specific amount of ADA at a specified price. Cardano futures are often known as Cardano perpetual futures or cardano perpetual swaps.  

Traders who purchase ADA futures are betting that the price of the cryptocurrency will surge in the future. If that happens, they will profit from the price increase. If the price of Cardano falls, however, they will lose money.

What is your sentiment on ADA/USD?

0.69854
Bullish
or
Bearish
Vote to see Traders sentiment!

Cardano futures history

Cardano futures started trading on Binance at the end of January 2021. They enjoyed bullish momentum, jumping by more than 4,100% between January and May 2021. The surge came as Cardano continued development of its smart contract capabilities and launched a peer-to-peer testnet to a small group of users. 

After a slight dip in July 2021, the ADA futures price climbed to the all-time high of $2.9706 on 3 September 2021. The rally came ahead of the blockchain’s Alonzo hard fork, which introduced smart contract capabilities to Cardano. 

ADA futures price, January 2021 – November 2022

Following the bull run, the ADA futures contract dipped by more than 35% by 27 October 2021 and continued on a downward trend. 

Cardano futures price fell  to $0.3032 on 21 November 2022 amid negative market sentiment. The recent news on the downfall of the FTX crypto exchange and its native FTT  token added to the bearish price action. 

What is driving cardano futures?

The collapse of the FTX crypto exchange affected many major cryptocurrencies, cooling investor sentiment. CoinMarketCap data showed that the total cryptocurrency market capitalisation fell below $800bn on 11 November, when FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, the lowest level since early 2021.

ETH/USD

3,452.12 Price
+2.510% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 6.00

UNI/USD

11.69 Price
+2.530% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.08964

BTC/USD

63,053.35 Price
+2.370% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 106.00

XRP/USD

0.60 Price
+0.260% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 22:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.01168

Total market capitalisation of all cryptocurrencies, 2016 – 2022

“Although aftereffects of the FTX shock will still likely surface at some point and the industry will have to adopt more financially transparent operation and come under stricter regulatory oversight, the worst part may have passed,” Bitbank crypto market analyst Yuya Hasegawa said in his weekly view. 

Meanwhile, the Cardano blockchain saw a spike in activity between 9 and 14 November as the number of new addresses on the blockchain surged from 0 to 11,240, according to data on Cardano Blockchain Insights

The network, however, had seen a surge in the number of transactions on 8 November, which surpassed 391,000 as FTX crashed. 

Cardano’s founder, Charles Hoskinson, said in a live YouTube stream on 9 November:

“I think this might be the bottom, one of the last ones to deal with. It’s going to be hard to predict how bad it will be, and it could certainly potentially be very bad. There are not many more firms that were like FTX or Alameda or like, Three Arrows Capital, and so forth. At least in this cycle, I truly do hope that this is the last cycle of this nature.”

In other cardano futures news, Hoskinson told CoinDesk on 18 November that Cardano is looking to launch a new privacy blockchain and digital asset which he stated to be something “the enterprise absolutely wants”. 

Cardano futures price prediction for 2023 and beyond

Algorithm-based prediction websites did not provide cardano futures forecasts, so let’s have a look at the latest ADA/USD outlook.

In line with the latest downward price action, algorithm-based forecasting service Wallet Investor gave a bearish ADA price prediction at the time of writing (21 November) noting that ADA was “a bad long-term investment”.

Based on its analysis of past price performance, Wallet Investor predicted that the token could fall to $0.01016  in 2023. The site did not provide an ADA price prediction for 2027.

DigitalCoinPrice, on the other hand, gave a bullish ADA to USD price prediction expecting the token to grow to $0.39 by the end of 2022 and reach $1.30 on average in 2025. By 2027, the site predicted that the price of ADA tokens could reach $1.59. Its long-term token forecast showed the cryptocurrency reaching $4.35 by 2030.

Meanwhile,  Anndy Lian, the chief digital advisor at the Mongolian Productivity Organisation and author of ‘NFT: From Zero to Hero’, told Capital.com that mid-term technical indicators looked bearish (as of 21 November). He added:

“Sellers’ pressure increases in the cardano market. I hope the longer term potential factors like Midnight and USDA can change things for the better.”

News that the group behind Cardano, Input Output Global, is planning to release a new privacy-focused blockchain could have a potential effect on ADA futures, Lian added in his cardano futures price prediction. 

In addition, the launch of USDA, the first fully fiat-backed regulated stablecoin on Cardano, will start trading in early 2023, could lead to a hike in the cardano futures price. 

“If executed well, I see this will help ADA decentralised finance ecosystem, thus bringing in more liquidity and support into the network,” Lian added. 

Final thoughts 

Remember, analysts’ and algorithm-based predictions can be wrong. If you’re considering entering the cardano futures market, we recommend you always conduct your own due diligence, looking at the latest news, a wide range of analyst commentary, technical and fundamental analysis. Note that past performance does not guarantee future returns and cryptocurrency markets remain extremely volatile. And never trade money you cannot afford to lose. 

FAQs

How are cardano futures priced?

The price of Cardano futures is calculated by taking the spot price of the cryptocurrency from a number of exchanges.

Will cardano prices go up or down?

Algorithm-based websites did not provide cardano futures forecasts, so let’s have a look at the latest ADA/USD forecasts. Wallet Investor gave a bearish ADA price  prediction at the time of writing (21 November) expecting the token to fall to $0.01016  in 2023. The site did not provide an ADA price prediction for 2027. DigitalCoinPrice, on the other hand, gave a bullish ADA to USD price prediction expecting the token to grow to $0.39 by the end of 2022, reach $1.30 on average in 2025, grow to $1.59 in 2027 and $4.35 by 2030. Note that their forecasts can be wrong and shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research.

How to invest in cardano futures?

Cardano futures can be bought on a number of cryptocurrency exchanges. Always conduct your own research before investing, looking at the latest news and analysis. Your decision to invest should be based on your risk tolerance, experience in the markets and overall investing goals. Never trade more money than you can afford to lose and remember that cryptocurrency markets are extremely volatile.

Markets in this article

ADA/USD
Cardano / USD
0.69854 USD
0.03273 +4.940%

Related topics

Rate this article

Related reading

The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. The material provided on this website is for information purposes only and should not be understood as an investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. We do not make any representations or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the information that is provided on this page. If you rely on the information on this page then you do so entirely on your own risk.

Still looking for a broker you can trust?

Join the 580.000+ traders worldwide that chose to trade with Capital.com

1. Create & verify your account 2. Make your first deposit 3. You’re all set. Start trading