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Crypto news: Data suggest investors expect low volatility

By Daniela Ešnerová

07:35, 19 January 2022

Coin with bitcoin (BTC) logo.
The short-term implied volatility for cryptocurrencies now at its lowest level since 2020, according to Arcane – Photo: Shutterstock

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading virtually unchanged in London morning hours, with the total market value down 1.95% over 24 hours as of 10:30 GMT.

It has been unusually calm in the cryptocurrency market. And investors’ expectations of volatility ahead is the lowest in over a year, according to Arcane Research. 

Implied volatility (IV), a metric derived from the options market that shows investors’ forecasts of future asset price fluctuations, is at its lowest since November 2020. 

“We rarely see such low IVs in bitcoin, and these levels could be attractive for volatility bets,” analysts from Arcane Research wrote in a report.

Meanwhile, some leverage data suggest that parts of the market are susceptible to volatility.

XRP/USD

0.53 Price
-0.140% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.01168

DOGE/USD

0.16 Price
+0.930% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.0012872

BCH/USD

493.00 Price
+5.410% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 2.50

ETH/USD

3,136.90 Price
+1.460% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 6.00

Blockchain analytics firm Santiment registered ‘a notable rise’ in shorted leveraged positions in some altcoins, including the fourth-biggest coin by market capitalisation, binance coin (BNB), and 36th biggest virtual token, axie infinity (AXS). 

“If these shorts are liquidated, it can lead to major price spikes,” Santiment wrote.

Quote of the day:

 UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak commenting on the government’s intention to tighten the rules on cryptocurrency promotions:

What is your sentiment on BTC/USD?

67249.35
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“Cryptoassets can provide exciting new opportunities, offering people new ways to transact and invest – but it’s important that consumers are not being sold products with misleading claims.”

Other crypto news:

  • The EU regulator has called for a blanket ban on energy-intensive, proof-of-work cryptocurrency mining, the Financial Times reports. The vice-chair of the European Securities and Markets Authority, Erik Thedéen, told the newspaper that cryptocurrencies posed a risk to meeting climate change goals in the Paris agreement.

Top coins by market capitalisation

As of 10:35 GMT:

Winners and losers

  • Terra (LUNA) climbed 3.55% over the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, FTX token (FTT), a native token of cryptocurrency exchange FTX, added 9.51% in the last week, after it seemed to react positively to news that FTX had launched a $2bn venture fund.
  • Polygon (MATIC) was down 6.25% over the past 24 hours and 12.31% over the last week.

Read more: Australia sets out plans for regulated digital domination

Markets in this article

BNB/USD
Binance Coin / USD
587.59 USD
1.14 +0.200%
BNB/USD
Binance Coin / USD
587.59 USD
1.14 +0.200%
BNB/USD
Binance Coin / USD
587.59 USD
1.14 +0.200%
BTC/USD
Bitcoin / USD
67249.35 USD
269.5 +0.400%
ETH/USD
Ethereum / USD
3136.90 USD
45 +1.460%

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The difference between trading assets and CFDs
The main difference between CFD trading and trading assets, such as commodities and stocks, is that you don’t own the underlying asset when you trade on a CFD.
You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
CFDs are leveraged products, which means that you only need to deposit a percentage of the full value of the CFD trade in order to open a position. But with traditional trading, you buy the assets for the full amount. In the UK, there is no stamp duty on CFD trading, but there is when you buy stocks, for example.
CFDs attract overnight costs to hold the trades (unless you use 1-1 leverage), which makes them more suited to short-term trading opportunities. Stocks and commodities are more normally bought and held for longer. You might also pay a broker commission or fees when buying and selling assets direct and you’d need somewhere to store them safely.
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