Economic news

A crude oil spike often precedes a recession. Should we be worried this time around?

Markets face renewed uncertainty about the Middle East conflict as the US and IRan are unable to reach an agreement, with both threatening further action.

Most of the losses since the start of the conflict have been undone even as oil prices remain high, and in sentiment CoT speculators have notably increased their net sell bias.

Equities continue to trade the optimism around the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East despite its fragility as focus shifts towards earnings season.

The technical overview remains volatile in the face of the geopolitical event, and in sentiment it’s a story of heavy to extreme long bias among traders both large and small.

Markets face a binary outcome as Trump imposes a timeline for Iran to unblock the Strait of Hormuz

Markets remain focused on the developments in the Middle East as central banks will be put on the spotlight this week.

Technicals turn negative in the shorter-term time frames, while in sentiment there’s a shift back to net long for CoT speculators.

Oil prices jump higher as Iran elects a new leader, dragging out the conflict as the Strait of Hormuz faces continued disruption.

Technicals weaken in the shorter-term time frame, while in sentiment CoT speculators are finally net short all four U.S. equity indices.