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AUD/USD analysis: Focus turns to GDP data after unexpected CPI rise

Higher-than-expected monthly CPI data watered down expectations for RBA interest rate cuts in 2024; the markets will now shift attention to quarterly GDP data on Wednesday, June 5.

Kyle Rodda
15:57, 4 June 2024
PCE Index Preview: Forecasts point to no change in headline or core inflation from a month earlier

The markets continue to look for signals of disinflation in the United States. The latest PCE Index data, the US Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, is released on May 31, 2024.

Kyle Rodda
12:44, 29 May 2024
Market analysis: EUR/GBP driven by diverging policy expectations

The EURGBP is driven by the question: which cuts first, the ECB or the BOE? Currently, swaps markets (chart below) imply that it will be the ECB (blue line).

Kyle Rodda
13:46, 24 May 2024
China’s National People’s Congress: The markets have again been left wanting more

China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) is underway, and the markets have so far been disappointed by what’s been delivered by the country’s central government. We look at some of the significant takeaways from the event, discuss China’s current economic conditions, and analyse the China A50.

Kyle Rodda
08:23, 8 March 2024
Bank of England preview: will updated projections show more cuts are expected in 2024?

Markets have no doubt that the BoE will keep its rate unchanged

Daniela Hathorn
15:43, 31 January 2024
Federal Reserve meeting preview: strong data is making it hard to justify cutting rates

Markets expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged as strong economic data continues

Daniela Hathorn
11:30, 30 January 2024

Market Analysis: UK economy rebounds in November – how does that impact rate cut expectations?

Market Analysis: UK economy rebounds in November – how does that impact rate cut expectations?

Daniela Hathorn
12:19, 12 January 2024
Magnifying glass focused on the word inflation on UK flag background.
UK CPI drops to a two-year low, pushing the FTSE 100 to a seven-month high

UK stocks rise on softer inflation as rate cut odds increase

Daniela Hathorn
12:00, 20 December 2023
ECB flag
Central banks preview: Fed, ECB and BoE on the radar this week

Trio of rate holds expected from the Fed, ECB, and BoE this week

Daniela Hathorn
09:00, 12 December 2023
CPI drops more than expected in Europe, Spain’s IBEX 35 looking to break pre-COVID highs

CPI drops more than expected in Europe, Spain’s IBEX 35 looking to break pre-COVID highs

Daniela Hathorn
12:39, 30 November 2023
A weaker Dollar drives gold higher

Gold prices have returned above $US2000 per ounce. We run through the factors driving gold and the commodity’s key technicals.

Kyle Rodda
13:49, 28 November 2023
RBNZ Preview: Rates expected to remain unchanged at final meeting of 2023

The RBNZ meets for the final time this year on Wednesday, 29th of November, 2023. We preview what to expect and how it could impact the New Zealand Dollar.

Kyle Rodda
13:04, 28 November 2023
UK AUTUMN BUDGET: Will Hunt cut taxes? How will GBP react this time around?

UK Chancellor Hunt will deliver the 2023 autumn statement to MPs on Wednesday 22 November.

Daniela Hathorn
10:48, 21 November 2023
AUD/USD Retests Key Resistance Zone

The US dollar weakened notably following the latest CPI data, showing a larger-than-expected dip to 3.2% in October. This decline, the first in four months, sparked a surge in AUD/USD on Tuesday, pushing prices back into a crucial resistance zone established since August (see daily candle chart below). News
10:24, 17 November 2023
EUR/USD in 'Mean Reversion Mode' Amidst ECB's Mixed Signals

Over the past month, EUR/USD has been in 'mean reversion mode,' characterised by price consolidation within a turbulent ascending channel. The erratic and unpredictable nature of this price channel reflects the mixed signals emanating from the ECB. News
15:45, 9 November 2023

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