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How high could ETH staking rewards get, post-Merge?

By Daniela Ešnerová

12:44, 12 September 2022

Ethereum (ETH) and The Merge logos
Rewards for ETH staking are widely expected to go up post-Merge – Photo: Shutterstock

The most-anticipated event in Ethereum’s history, The Merge, comes with many promises. 

Many will undoubtedly be happy that Ethereum’s switch from proof-of-work (PoW) to a less demanding proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism will drastically lower the network’s energy consumption – potentially by more than 99%

The Merge is also good news for ETH validators, who keep the network secure by staking their coins, as rewards for their service are widely expected to go up after the upgrade. So how high could ETH staking yields get after The Merge?

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Switch from miners to validators

After the PoW to PoS switch, validators rather than miners will be in charge of verifying transactions on the Ethereum network. ETH holders validate the network by staking their coins. In return, the validators earn yields on their staked ETH holdings. 

The Annual Percentage Rate (APR) is a key metric measuring these staking rewards, and shows how much can validators earn in a year on their staked holdings. The APR for ETH solo stakers is currently 4.1%, according to the Ethereum website.


0.13 Price
-2.370% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.0012872


0.60 Price
-0.780% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 0.01168


66,815.00 Price
-0.890% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0616%
Short position overnight fee 0.0137%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 106.00


172.98 Price
-1.250% 1D Chg, %
Long position overnight fee -0.0753%
Short position overnight fee 0.0069%
Overnight fee time 21:00 (UTC)
Spread 2.2652

This rate is expected to increase after The Merge, once Ethereum’s switch to PoS is finalised. But analysts’ estimates of how high the APR could rise differ. 

Yields post-The Merge

Tom Dunleavy, senior analyst at Messari, calculated that APR could grow to from 6.8% in a ‘very conservative’ scenario to a 13.7% ‘very aggressive’ scenario.

Lucas Outumuro, head of research at IntoTheBlock, concluded that – based on data from the last 30, 90 and 180 days – staking yields will range between 5.8% and 6.9% following The Merge.

Another pseudonymous analyst, writing under the name Pintail, calculated that medium rewards will be “6.1% APR, with a lower quartile of 5.3% and an upper quartile of 7.3%.”

Markets in this article

Ethereum / USD
3492.04 USD
-34.87 -0.990%

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You can still benefit if the market moves in your favour, or make a loss if it moves against you. However, with traditional trading you enter a contract to exchange the legal ownership of the individual shares or the commodities for money, and you own this until you sell it again.
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Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. The material provided in this article is for information purposes only and should not be understood as investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote investment research independence. While the information in this communication, or on which this communication is based, has been obtained from sources that believes to be reliable and accurate, it has not undergone independent verification. No representation or warranty, whether expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any information obtained from third parties. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk.

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