Nvidia stock forecast: Third-party price targets

Nvidia has become one of the most closely watched stocks in global equity markets, reflecting its role within the semiconductor and AI ecosystem.

By Dan Mitchell09:04 (UTC), 15 January 2026 Updated

Nvidia stock forecast: Third-party price target — Photo: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.com

Nvidia (NVDA) is trading around $187.82 per share as of 2:33pm UTC on 7 January 2026, moving within an intraday range of $187.05–$191.84. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The move comes amid continued market attention on Nvidia’s data centre business after the company reported record third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of about $57.0 billion, up more than 20% quarter-on-quarter and over 60% year-on-year, driven largely by AI-related demand (NVIDIA Newsroom, 19 November 2025). Trading activity has also reflected ongoing focus on the company’s product roadmap and AI infrastructure plans, following recent CES 2026 commentary from CEO Jensen Huang. He highlighted strong demand for H200 chips in China and confirmed that the next-generation Rubin/Vera Rubin data-centre processors are in production and on track for deployment in the second half of 2026 (Reuters, 6 January 2026).

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Nvidia stock forecast: Analyst price target view

As of 7 January 2026, third-party Nvidia stock predictions focus on AI data-centre momentum, new product cycles and broader equity risk appetite. The figures below refer to 12-month targets or average forecasts published between late-2025 and early-2026, and remain contingent on underlying earnings, spending trends and wider market conditions.

MarketBeat consensus (survey and compiled data)

MarketBeat’s 12-month Wall Street consensus implies material upside relative to prevailing prices, with a $262.14 average price target, with a $352 maximum and a $205 minimum estimate. These survey-style figures aggregate published broker models and are framed against expectations that AI spending, broader S&P 500 earnings growth and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts could influence US equity markets into 2026 (MarketBeat, 7 January 2026).

Goldman Sachs (house view, post-earnings)

Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month NVDA stock forecast to $250 from $240 in a 20 November 2025 research update, keeping a positive rating on the stock following the company’s November quarter results. The bank states that the revision reflects evidence of potential upside to Nvidia’s earlier data-centre revenue outlook toward $500bn in 2025/26, alongside confidence that the Rubin product roadmap for mid-2026 remains on track amid sustained AI infrastructure demand (Investing.com, 20 November 2025).

Morgan Stanley (broker target, December 2025)

Morgan Stanley lifted its Nvidia 12-month price target to $250 from $235 in early December 2025, maintaining an overweight stance and noting that the new objective was broadly aligned with a then-consensus target just above $250. The broker references Nvidia’s estimated 70–95% share in AI accelerators and data-centre GPUs, alongside market checks supporting management’s longer-term revenue ambitions, as factors underpinning the updated target amid ongoing AI hardware demand (MarketBeat, 1 December 2025).

Bernstein and Evercore ISI (individual broker targets)

Bernstein reiterated an outperform rating with a 12-month Nvidia share price forecast around $275, while Evercore ISI highlighted the stock as a top pick for 2026 with a separate $352 objective. The note places these levels within a sector backdrop where analysts point to Nvidia’s role in AI compute, cloud infrastructure and custom systems as reasons for maintaining elevated targets, despite ongoing valuation debate (Investing.com, 6 January 2026).

Third-party Nvidia stock predictions from late 2025 to early 2026 cluster broadly in the mid-$200s, with upper-band estimates above $300. Most commentaries reference AI data-centre demand, product execution and macroeconomic conditions as central assumptions behind these ranges.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Third-party projections and price targets are not forecasts by Capital.com, may change without notice, and should not be relied on as a basis for investment decisions.

NVDA stock price: Technical overview

NVDA is trading near $187.82 as of 2:33pm UTC on 7 January 2026, with price holding just above the Classic Pivot at 183.17 and oscillating around the short-term 10- and 20-day moving averages near 188 and 183. The simple 20/50/100/200-day moving averages cluster around roughly 183 / 187 / 183 / 161, suggesting a medium-term upward bias, as shorter-dated averages sit above the longer-term base. The 14-day RSI near 53.7 sits in the mid-neutral band, while an ADX reading around 13.9 points to a weak trend environment rather than a strongly directional phase.

On the topside, the first level to monitor is the Classic R1 pivot near 196.02, with R2 around 205.55 coming into view only on a sustained daily close above that initial resistance zone. On pullbacks, the Classic Pivot at 183.17 marks initial support, followed by the 100-day SMA near 183 as the first moving-average support area. The 200-day SMA, around 161, would become relevant only if the broader uptrend were to unwind more deeply (TradingView, 7 January 2026).

This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Nvidia share price history

Nvidia’s share price has seen elevated activity over the past two years, moving from the mid-$50s in early 2024 to trade in the high $180s by early 2026, following a 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024 that reset the quoted level into double digits. During 2024, the stock generally climbed from around $54 in January to finish the year near $134 on 31 December, with several sharp swings along the way as AI-related developments, earnings releases and broader technology sentiment drove periods of volatility.

In 2025, the upward trend broadly continued, with NVDA advancing from roughly $134 at the start of the year to close near $187 on 31 December, supported by AI-linked revenues and its increasing weight in major equity indices. By 7 January 2026, Nvidia was trading just above $188, leaving the share price materially higher than two years earlier and reflecting how AI demand and semiconductor-sector flows have kept the stock in focus for both shorter-term traders and longer-term investors.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Capital.com analysis: Nvidia price outlook

Nvidia’s share price has delivered a strong run over the past two years, moving from double-digit levels in early 2024 to trade around the high $180s by early January 2026. This period has included pullbacks, as sentiment has rotated in and out of AI-exposed names. The move has coincided with rapid growth in Nvidia’s data-centre and AI businesses, increased index weightings and heightened media attention. At the same time, these factors can amplify downside moves if earnings disappoint, regulation tightens or broader risk appetite weakens.

Concentration risk, elevated valuation metrics cited by various commentators, and the possibility of shifts in technology leadership or capital-expenditure priorities mean that favourable drivers can reverse quickly, leaving leveraged positions particularly exposed to sharp repricings.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.

Capital.com’s client sentiment for Nvidia CFDs

As of 7 January 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Nvidia CFDs shows buyers at 91.8% versus sellers at 8.2%, indicating a heavily one-sided tilt toward long positions. Buyers therefore outnumber sellers by around 83.6 percentage points, keeping overall positioning firmly skewed to the upside, while still reflecting a two-way market with a small minority of short positions. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com and can change.

Summary – Nvidia price 2025

Nvidia’s share price rose from about $134 at the start of 2025 to roughly $187 by 31 December 2025, extending its post-split uptrend.
Daily trading ranges were wide at times during 2025, with sharp swings around earnings announcements and AI-related news, as the stock moved between the mid-$90s and low-$200s over the year.
Technical indicators into late 2025 showed price holding above key moving averages, with NVDA trading not far from its upper 2025 range by early January 2026.
Analyst price targets through late 2025 and early 2026 generally pointed to double-digit percentage upside over 12-month horizons, based on assumptions around sustained AI and data-centre investment.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most Nvidia stock?

Nvidia’s shareholder base is dominated by large institutional investors rather than individual founders or insiders. Major asset managers such as Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street collectively hold a significant proportion of outstanding shares through index and actively managed funds. This structure reflects Nvidia’s inclusion in major equity benchmarks and its broad popularity among institutional portfolios. Insider ownership exists but represents a relatively small share compared with institutional holdings, meaning price movements are often influenced by wider fund flows and overall market sentiment.

What is the 5 year NVDA stock forecast?

There is no single, agreed five-year forecast for Nvidia’s share price. Longer-term outlooks typically focus on factors such as demand for data-centre hardware, AI-related investment cycles, competition within the semiconductor sector and broader technology spending trends. However, forecasts over multi-year horizons become increasingly uncertain, as they cannot fully account for changes in regulation, technological shifts or macroeconomic conditions. As a result, longer-term projections are generally viewed as indicative rather than definitive.

Is Nvidia a good stock to buy?

Whether Nvidia is considered a 'good' stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. The company has benefited from strong revenue growth linked to AI and data-centre demand, but its valuation and concentration within major indices have also attracted scrutiny. Share prices can reflect both positive expectations and potential risks simultaneously. This information is not investment advice, and any assessment should consider both potential rewards and possible downside outcomes.

Could Nvidia stock go up or down?

Yes, Nvidia’s share price can move in either direction. Like other large technology stocks, it can be influenced by earnings results, guidance updates, changes in AI spending expectations and broader market conditions. Periods of strong momentum have historically been accompanied by episodes of sharp pullbacks, particularly around earnings releases or shifts in risk sentiment. As with all equities, past price movements do not guarantee future performance, and volatility remains an inherent feature of the stock.

Should I invest in Nvidia stock?

Deciding whether to invest in Nvidia stock is a personal decision that depends on individual financial circumstances, goals and understanding of risk. Shares can offer exposure to long-term technology themes, but they also carry equity-market risks, including valuation changes and sector-specific downturns. This article does not provide a recommendation to buy or sell Nvidia shares. Anyone considering an investment should assess their own situation carefully and, where appropriate, seek independent professional advice.

Can I trade Nvidia CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade Nvidia CFDs on Capital.com, which lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying shares. Contracts for difference (CFDs) allow both long and short positions, meaning you can trade rising or falling prices. CFDs are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both your profits and your losses. Learn how CFDs work and the risks involved before trading.