HomeMarket analysisDroneshield stock forecast: Third-party price targets

Droneshield stock forecast: Third-party price targets

DroneShield has attracted increasing market attention in recent years as demand for counter-drone and defence technologies has evolved. Contract timing, government spending priorities, and shifts in security policy can all influence DRO’s stock movements.
By Dan Mitchell
Radar and surveillance systems used for defense technology.
Photo: Shutterstock

DroneShield (DRO) is trading around $3.86 AUD, within an intraday range of $3.63–$4.07 AUD on 12 January 2026 at 12:25pm UTC. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The move comes amid ongoing focus on the company’s defence-related order pipeline, following an approximately $8.2 million USD counter-drone contract with a Western military customer and additional Asia-Pacific military work through reseller arrangements. This has coincided with news of an application for quotation of 500,000 new fully paid ordinary shares on the ASX on 12 January 2026 (Reuters, 4 January 2026).

Droneshield stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets

As of 12 January 2026, third-party Droneshield stock predictions span a range of indicative 12-month objectives, reflecting differing views on defence demand, contract momentum, and valuation.

Fintel (consensus snapshot)

Fintel cites an average one-year price target of $5.25 per share for DroneShield, based on multiple contributing analyst estimates, with individual targets ranging from $5.05 to $5.56. The platform notes that this revised consensus marked a substantial uplift from a prior $3.72 figure, reflecting upgraded expectations for revenue growth and profitability (Nasdaq, 29 October 2025).

Investing.com (aggregated broker data)

Investing.com’s coverage shows an average 12-month DRO stock forecast around $4.70 AUD. The site notes that these targets implied modest upside from prices prevailing at the time, with analysts referencing a mix of defence spending trends and company-specific contract pipelines (Investing.com, 12 January 2026).

Bell Potter via Motley Fool (broker update summary)

Motley Fool Australia notes that Bell Potter maintains a $4.50 price target on DroneShield alongside a positive rating. The broker commentary highlights the company’s positioning within the counter-drone technology market, with expected growth in global defence demand for counter-UAS solutions cited as a supporting factor (The Motley Fool, 10 January 2026).

Wallet Investor (quantitative model)

Model-based projections by Wallet Investor suggest a one-year price objective near $4.37 AUD, with a longer-term scenario pointing to materially higher levels by 2031. These projections are based on historical price patterns and statistical modelling. The service frames its outputs as probabilistic forecasts derived from past data, rather than fundamental analyst assessments, and subject to assumptions around trend persistence and volatility (Wallet Investor, 31 December 2025).

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

DRO stock price: Technical overview

The DRO stock price is holding near $3.86 AUD as of 12:25pm UTC on 12 January 2026, with price extended above its short- and medium-term moving-average band. The 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages cluster around approximately 3.11, 2.78, 3.49 and 2.81 respectively. The 14-day RSI at 66.38 sits in a firm momentum zone, while an ADX reading of 34.29 points to an established trend backdrop rather than a range-bound environment.

On the topside, the nearest classic pivot to monitor is R1 at 3.76, with R2 at 4.45 coming into focus only if price achieves a sustained daily close above the initial resistance area. On pullbacks, the classic pivot at 2.80 marks initial support, followed by the 100-day simple moving average near 3.49 as the next key reference level. S1 at 2.11 represents a subsequent downside level should that zone be lost on a closing basis (TradingView, 12 January 2025).

This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Droneshield share price history (2024–2026)

DRO’s stock price has undergone a sharp re-rating over the past two years, rising from the sub-$1 AUD area in early 2024 to trading broadly in the mid-$3 to $4 AUD range by late 2025 and into January 2026, based on the data shown.

From October 2025, the stock reached a closing peak above $6.39 AUD on 10 October before entering a pullback phase. Prices subsequently moved lower through the $5 and $4 levels, with the shares ending 2025 at $3.07 AUD on 31 December. In early 2026, the stock has rebounded from its December lows, with DroneShield closing at $3.86 AUD on both 11 and 12 January 2026.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Droneshield (DRO): Capital.com analyst view

The DRO stock price has remained highly active into early 2026. The move from the low-$2 AUD area to the mid-$3 to $4 AUD range over recent months reflects sustained interest in defence and counter-drone themes, alongside company-specific contract developments. While such momentum can support elevated valuations during periods of favourable sentiment, it may also increase sensitivity to sharp price swings if order flow disappoints, sector rotation occurs, or broader risk appetite weakens.

Key drivers include the company’s exposure to government and military spending, where new contracts or programme renewals can support the share price. Conversely, delays, cancellations, or shifts in procurement priorities may weigh on performance. Market narratives linked to security and geopolitics can attract additional investor interest during periods of heightened tension, while any easing of these concerns or rising competition within the counter-drone sector could moderate expectations and place pressure on valuations.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results; projections or analyst targets are not guarantees and may not reflect future market conditions. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money

Capital.com’s client sentiment for Droneshield CFDs

As of 12 January 2026, Capital.com client positioning in DroneShield CFDs is currently one-sided, with buyers accounting for 97% of open positions compared with 3% held by sellers. This places buyers ahead by approximately 94 percentage points, indicating a pronounced long bias among clients. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com and may change over time as positions are opened and closed.

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Summary – Droneshield stock price 2026

  • DroneShield’s share price was volatile during 2025, with closing prices ranging from below $2 AUD in early December to above $6.39 AUD in October.
     
  • The stock peaked in October 2025, closing at $6.40 AUD on 10 October, before retreating through the $5 and $4 levels into year-end.
     
  • By 31 December 2025, DroneShield had closed at $3.07 AUD, well below its October highs but still above earlier-year lows.
     
  • Technical signals into late 2025 showed the price trading above key moving averages at times, with RSI and ADX readings periodically consistent with an established momentum-driven trend.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

What is the five-year DroneShield share price forecast?

There is no single, definitive five-year DRO stock forecast. Longer-term projections referenced in the article are primarily derived from quantitative models, such as WalletInvestor, which extend scenarios out to around 2031 using historical price behaviour and statistical assumptions. These are probabilistic estimates rather than fundamental valuations. Actual outcomes over a five-year horizon may differ materially due to changes in defence spending, contract activity, competition, and broader market conditions.

Is DroneShield a good stock to buy?

Whether DroneShield is a 'good' stock is subjective and depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance, and market expectations. Analysts cited in the article highlight potential positives, including exposure to defence and counter-drone demand, alongside contract momentum. At the same time, the share price has shown high volatility, and valuations can be sensitive to news flow and shifts in sentiment. This information is descriptive, not a recommendation, and does not assess suitability for any specific investor.

Could DroneShield stock go up or down?

DroneShield’s share price could move in either direction. Price movements may be influenced by factors such as new contract wins, delays or cancellations, changes in defence procurement priorities, competitive pressures, and broader risk appetite across equity markets. The stock’s recent history includes sharp rallies and pullbacks, highlighting that price movements can be significant over short periods. As with all shares, future price behaviour is uncertain and not guaranteed.

Should I invest in DroneShield stock?

This article does not provide investment advice or guidance on whether to invest in DroneShield. Any investment decision involves considering your own financial situation, investment objectives, and tolerance for risk. DroneShield operates in a specialised sector that can experience elevated volatility, and its share price has shown large fluctuations in the past. You may wish to seek independent financial advice or conduct further research before making any investment decision.

Can I trade DroneShield CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes. Trading Droneshield CFDs on Capital.com lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.
The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.
To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.