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Adrian Holliday

Adrian has written about property, pensions and investing for almost 20 years, for outlets ranging from Teletext to The Observer and AOL. He is a believer in diversity, low transaction costs – and simplicity.

Articles by Adrian Holliday Page 1

China has radically eased off Covid-19 measures. How may this hit AUD?
AUD and the RBA Hawks: Inflation and retail data support further rate hikes

It’s all about timing when it comes to the question of economic recovery for China – and Australia. How much support has AUD got from attitude changes in Beijing?

Adrian Holliday12:57, 11 January 2023
Change to the BOJ’s decade-long experiment may well bring fx disruption.
JPY and BoJ: Could raised inflation forecasts presage end to ultra-loose policy?

Markets know something’s up with the BOJ – and the lack of clarity could see more fast JPY moves.

Adrian Holliday13:08, 10 January 2023
All eyes are swivelling to the US CPI report on Thursday
USD and inflation: How will latest CPI data bear down on DXY?

The risk of a more robust US CPI report is the only news event this week that might prevents the US dollar from falling to fresh lows.

Adrian Holliday12:39, 9 January 2023
Mild weather eases natural gas concerns for Berliners
EUR vs inflation: Could surge in core rate drive ECB support for euro?

European headline inflation is down but don’t be deceived by easy headline numbers. The ECB's on a mission, still.

Adrian Holliday13:17, 6 January 2023
Jerome Powell answering media questions in late 2022
USD vs Fed: FOMC minutes offer few favours to the dollar - is the inflation fight flagging?

There’s little sign the Fed is contemplating an end to rate rises – for the moment, at least.

Adrian Holliday12:42, 5 January 2023
Hunter Valley Oz miner prepares for work
Coal-fired AUD: Aussie dollar leaps on hopes of end to China ban on coal imports

Chinese relations with Canberra may be improving – does this mean positive news for AUD?

Adrian Holliday12:33, 4 January 2023
German CPI inflation fell to 8.6% in December's flash estimate from 10% in November.
EUR - North vs South: Are Club-Med debt fears re-emerging as ECB rate hikes continue?

EUR/USD sinks deep into negative territory below 1.0550 – but are the darkest days for eurozone inflation over?

Adrian Holliday13:41, 3 January 2023
UK house prices are losing their upwards roll. Bargains in 2023?
GBP vs house prices: Pound falls as UK property market weakens in response to rising rates

As UK economic headwinds strengthen and real earnings weaken, sterling’s prospects are under pressure, again.

Adrian Holliday12:26, 30 December 2022
President Putin’s economic team have helped to shore up the rouble – but the future is far less certain.
USD/RUB rally: Are markets forecasting pain in the Ukraine for Russia in 2023?

What's happening to the rouble as the year ends and what's in store for 2023 as the Russia/Ukraine war approaches the 1-year mark?

Adrian Holliday13:30, 29 December 2022
The Japanese economy is still fragile as inflation pushes higher
JPY slips on battered domestic and industrial data – how long will a pullback last?

The Japanese economy remains highly fragile and the Bank of Japan's easing monetary policy looks set to continue – for now.

Adrian Holliday12:41, 28 December 2022
Investors want BOJ answers: does it really have no plans to increase rates?
Japanese CPI hits 40-year high – is USD/JPY heading for 120?

Japan inflation approaches 41-year high on rising energy and food costs. Is a fire getting lit under the yen?

Adrian Holliday13:43, 23 December 2022
Heaven knows we’re miserable now as GDP drops again for Q2-Q3.
GBP vs GDP: UK Q3 growth revised lower - how long can sterling rally last?

The gap between financial markets’ expectations for future inflation and interest rates and the OBR vary a lot. What does the pound make of the UK outlook?

Adrian Holliday13:15, 22 December 2022
When global risk sentiment rises NZD can fall away. Is it true this time?
NZD hit by China trade shortfall: Can zero-covid end boost Kiwi in 2023?

New Zealand’s runaway housing market and fresh, softer trade data isn’t a good look for NZD

Adrian Holliday13:17, 21 December 2022
It’s crucial Japanese wages rise at a pace above the 2% inflation target. How likely is it?
JPY surges after Bank of Japan policy tweak: Can BoJ move fuel further gains?

Is it the beginning of the end of Japan’s extraordinary monetary policy position? And where does JPY go from here?

Adrian Holliday12:47, 20 December 2022
JPY: BOJ policy meet watch tomorrow – too soon for a policy switch?
Japanese yen advances ahead of BoJ meeting. Is the JPY finally out of trouble?

Japanese policy mix is coming under more pressure. Is a clean exit looking more likely – or a massively disorderly one?

Adrian Holliday13:08, 19 December 2022

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