Hawks and doves

12:30 (UTC), 3 June 2021

The girl on the background of the board explains something

Monetary hawk and dove are terms used to describe two different approaches or attitudes towards monetary policy.

A hawkish approach is focused on controlling inflation, while a dovish approach is focused on promoting economic growth.

These terms are often used in the context of central banks and their decision-making processes, particularly in setting interest rates. For example, if the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is said to be hawkish, it means that they are likely to raise interest rates to combat inflation. In the meantime, a dovish stance would indicate that the central bank is more likely to keep interest rates low to stimulate the economy.

Below, we have both monetary hawk and dove explained in detail.

Highlights

Hawks and doves refer to two different approaches towards monetary policy, particularly in the context of central banks and their decision-making processes.
A hawkish approach prioritises controlling inflation, often through measures such as raising interest rates and reducing the money supply.
A dovish approach prioritises promoting economic growth, often through measures such as lowering interest rates and increasing the money supply.
Hawkish policies may help to curb inflation, but they can also slow down economic growth and increase unemployment rates.
Dovish policies may help to stimulate economic growth, but they can also lead to higher inflation and other economic risks.

What is a monetary hawk?

A monetary hawk definition is a policymaker or economist who is focused on controlling inflation as their primary objective in monetary policy. Hawks generally believe that higher interest rates and tighter monetary policy are necessary to keep inflation in check.

Key characteristics of monetary hawks

Hawks are often more conservative in their approach to monetary policy and prioritise maintaining the value of the currency over other economic objectives. They may be less concerned about the negative impact these policies could have on consumer spending, employment and overall economic growth.

Monetary hawks tend to be more cautious and less willing to take risks when it comes to monetary policy, focused on long-term stability rather than short-term growth.

Impact on the economy

Potential short-term effects of hawkish monetary policy include:

Lower inflation rates as tighter monetary policy reduces the money supply and the ability for consumers and businesses to spend.
Higher interest rates, which can make borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers.
Reduced consumer spending due to higher borrowing costs, which can lead to decreased economic activity
Decreased business investment due to higher borrowing costs, which can result in lower job creation and economic growth.
Decreased demand for goods and services due to lower consumer spending, leading to potentially lower prices and deflation.
Slower economic growth as a result of higher interest rates and decreased borrowing and spending.
Higher exchange rates as a result of higher interest rates, making exports more expensive and imports cheaper.
Increased savings as higher interest rates could make it more attractive to save money rather than spend or invest it.
Decreased asset prices, such as stocks, as investors move money out of riskier assets and into safer investments like bonds.

Potential long-term effects of hawkish monetary policy include:

Lower inflation rates as a result of tighter monetary policy, which can help maintain the value of money and prevent erosion of purchasing power.
Increased economic stability and reduced risk of economic bubbles, which can lead to more sustainable economic growth over the long term.
Increased investor confidence in the economy due to the stability provided by tighter monetary policy, which can lead to more long-term investment.
Lower household debt as consumers are less likely to take out loans with higher interest rates.

It’s important to keep in mind that the impact of a hawkish stance on the economy depends on a variety of factors, including the overall economic environment, the effectiveness of inflation-controlling policies, and the views of other policymakers.

What is a monetary dove?

A monetary dove definition is a policymaker or economist who is focused on promoting economic growth and reducing unemployment as the primary objectives of monetary policy.

Key characteristics of monetary doves

Doves are typically characterised by their preference for lower interest rates, looser monetary policy, and other, more proactive measures aimed at stimulating economic activity. They believe that promoting economic growth and reducing unemployment are crucial for the overall health of the economy. Therefore, they advocate for policies that prioritise job creation and stimulate economic activity, even if it means accepting higher inflation rates.

Monetary doves are often less concerned about the negative impact these policies could have on inflation. They tend to be more willing to take risks when it comes to monetary policy, focused on immediate economic concerns rather than long-term stability.

Impact on the economy

Potential short-term effects of dovish monetary policy include:

Increased inflation: An increase in the money supply can lead to higher inflation as more money chases the same amount of goods and services.
Increased borrowing: When interest rates are low, it becomes cheaper for businesses and individuals to borrow money, which can stimulate investment and consumption.
Higher consumer spending: With lower borrowing costs, consumers may increase their spending, which can boost economic activity and lead to higher GDP.
Stimulated employment: Dovish monetary policy can encourage businesses to invest and hire more workers, which can lead to lower unemployment rates.
Boost in asset prices: Low interest rates can encourage investors to invest in riskier assets, such as stocks and real estate, which can drive up asset prices.
Increased economic growth: All of the above factors can contribute to higher economic growth in the short term.

Potential long-term effects of hawkish monetary policy include:

Increased inflation: Over time, persistent inflation can erode the purchasing power of consumers and lead to economic instability.
Financial imbalances: Low interest rates can encourage excessive borrowing and lending, which can lead to financial imbalances in the economy. This can result in the buildup of debt, which can be problematic if borrowers are unable to repay their loans.
Asset bubbles: Dovish monetary policy can lead to an increase in asset prices, such as stocks, which can create bubbles in these markets.
Reduced savings: Low interest rates can discourage saving, as people are less likely to save when returns on savings are low.

The long-term effects of dovish policies on economic stability can be uncertain. Therefore, policymakers must carefully balance the short-term benefits of promoting growth with the potential long-term risks of higher inflation and economic instability.

Keep in mind that the impact of a dovish stance on the economy depends on a variety of factors, including the overall economic environment, the effectiveness of economy-boosting policies, and the views of other policymakers.

Differences between monetary hawks vs doves

Below, we take a look at the key differences between a monetary hawk vs dove. Note, however, that while these are generalisations, not all monetary hawks and doves have identical views on all of these aspects.

Aspect	Monetary hawks	Monetary doves
Primary focus	Controlling inflation	Promoting economic growth and reducing unemployment
Inflation	View inflation as a significant threat to economic stability	View inflation as a potential trade-off for short-term growth
Currency value	Tend to prioritise a strong currency over short-term growth	Tend to prioritise short-term growth over maintaining currency value
Monetary policy	Tend to advocate for tighter monetary policy	Tend to advocate for looser monetary policy
Interest rates	Prefer higher interest rates to control inflation	Prefer lower interest rates to stimulate growth
Risk tolerance	Generally more risk-averse	Generally more risk-tolerant
Economic growth	Tend to prioritise long-term stability over short-term growth	Tend to prioritise short-term growth over long-term stability

Limitations of the terms

The terms ‘hawk’ and ‘dove’ have faced criticism for being overly simplistic. Many central bankers have changed their opinions on monetary policy over time or in the face of unexpected scenarios. Major economic crises can turn the most hawkish banker into a dove, if only for a short time. Equally, rampant inflation can convince normally dovish policy makers to institute aggressive austerity measures in the short term.

As the world enters a new financial period of ‘modern monetary policy’, these terms could become less used to describe general views and more relevant in regards to individual decisions.

Conclusion

Monetary hawks believe that controlling inflation – through tighter monetary policy – is the top priority. Monetary doves believe that economic expansion – through looser policy – takes priority over inflationary concerns. Hawkish policies can slow down economic growth, while dovish policies can lead to higher inflation.

It is important for investors, traders and anyone interested in macroeconomic trends to learn about monetary hawks and doves as their policies can have a significant impact on inflation and interest rates, as well as borrowing costs, consumer spending, and overall economic activity. Understanding different approaches to monetary policy may help navigate potential economic shifts and make informed decisions.

Remember that monetary policy is just one of a number of aspects that should be considered when making trading decisions. Always conduct due diligence before trading, looking at the number of factors, including the latest market trends and news, and a wide range of analysis.

FAQs

What do hawk and dove mean in finance?

In finance, hawk and dove refer to two different approaches towards monetary policy. A hawkish approach is focused on controlling inflation, even if it means sacrificing economic growth. A dovish approach prioritises promoting economic growth, even if it means allowing inflation to rise.

These terms are commonly used in the context of central banks and their decision-making processes, particularly in setting interest rates. If a central bank is said to be hawkish, it is likely to raise interest rates to combat inflation, while a dovish stance would indicate a tendency to keep interest rates low to stimulate the economy.

How does the policy of a monetary hawk impact inflation and interest rates?

A monetary hawk tends to adopt a more aggressive approach towards controlling inflation, often by raising interest rates. This policy can lead to higher borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can slow down economic growth. In the meantime, it can also help to rein in inflation by making it more expensive to borrow and spend money, thereby reducing demand for goods and services.

Ultimately, the impact on inflation and interest rates will depend on a variety of factors, including the strength of the economy and the effectiveness of the hawk's policies.

What are some examples of monetary hawkish policies and their implications?

Monetary hawkish policies may include raising interest rates, reducing the money supply, or implementing stricter lending requirements. While these policies can potentially help to curb inflation, they may also lead to slower economic growth and higher unemployment rates.

For example, if a central bank raises interest rates to combat inflation, it could make borrowing more expensive for businesses and individuals, which could slow down economic activity. Similarly, reducing the money supply could make it more difficult for businesses to access capital, which could also have a negative impact on economic growth.