Aston Martin forecast: Third-party price target
Aston Martin forecast: Third-party price target
Aston Martin Lagonda (AML) is up by almost 5% since the beginning of 2025, down by 34.8% year on year, and 70% down from July 2023, its post-pandemic peak. But what’s next for the luxury automaker?
Here’s the AML share price forecast for 2025 and beyond, with insights, price targets, and commentary from third-party analysts.
Aston Martin share price forecast: Third-party price target
As of February 2025, analysts’ Aston Martin’s share price forecasts were mostly bearish, reflecting uncertainty over the company’s earnings and profitability, UK stock market performance, and the company's history of financial difficulties.
Trading Economics predicted a gradual decline in Aston Martin’s share price through 2025-2026, targeting 104.43p per share for AML by the end of this quarter, and 101.30p in 12 months.
MarketBeat was more bullish, reporting a 12-month average target of 262p from two analysts, with a high of 300p and a low of 225p, suggesting a potential 133.75% upside. The consensus rating included one ‘hold’ and one ‘buy’.
Meanwhile, TipRanks aggregated 12-month targets from six Wall Street analysts over the past three months, averaging 137p, with a high of 175p and a low of 95p, indicating a potential 20.92% upside. Analyst ratings were split: two ‘buy’, three ‘hold’, and one ‘sell’.
It’s impossible to predict financial markets with 100% accuracy, as past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Do your own research, use a trading strategy, and only trade with amounts that you’re comfortable to lose.
Analyst views on Aston Martin
Aston Martin is set to release its Q4 2024 earnings release on 25 February 2025, with its Q1 2025 earnings scheduled for 29 April 2025. Here’s what the analysts are saying.
Harvey Jones, writing for The Motley Fool, highlighted Aston Martin’s enduring appeal despite financial struggles: ‘So why do investors keep coming back? It does make exceptional cars. The challenge is finding people who are able to pay £200,000 for them.
‘That’s got harder as China slows, and most of the world follows suit. Luxury is a tough market right now. Interest rate cuts would help, especially since Aston Martin’s net debt pile is roughly the same size as its market cap. We’ll have to be patient.’
Sarwant Singh, president and chief at Markets and Markets, took a more optimistic stance. In a 13 January 2025 article for Forbes, he predicted luxury car sales will rise in the coming years, with SUVs dominating: ‘SUVs, or sport utility vehicles, are expected to be the most sought-after, with almost 60-65% of overall luxury car sales in 2025. They’ve become the ultimate uber-luxury car of choice for the mega-rich and helped the margins of Aston Martin.’
In its luxury cars market forecast, Statista noted that growth and development are driven by customer preferences for luxury. However, it projected a long-term decline in Aston Martin’s sales, estimating 1,300 vehicle sales in 2025, increasing to 1,400 in 2026, before gradually falling to 1,300 in 2027, 1,200 in 2028, and 1,100 in 2029.
What's driving Aston Martin’s share price?
Aston Martin’s share price is influenced by earnings performance, market sentiment, and strategic direction. Strong earnings can boost confidence, while disappointing results can weigh on investor sentiment.
On 26 November 2024, Aston Martin issued its second profit warning in two months, following a 30 September 2024 warning. The latest downgrade came after Q3 2024 earnings missed expectations, with the company citing delayed Valiant model deliveries. To shore up its finances, Aston Martin raised £111 million through new shares and secured £100 million in debt financing, adding £211 million in fresh capital, according to Bloomberg reports.
Patrick Hosking, financial editor at The Times, noted that supply chain disruptions, including floods, fires, and supplier bankruptcies, had stalled production, compounding weaker demand in China, a key market.
Leadership changes and strategic direction
Leadership changes are another factor. Adrian Hallmark took over as CEO in September 2024, following Amedeo Felisa’s resignation. Hallmark, previously CEO of Bentley Motors (2018–2024), quickly reset Aston Martin’s targets, cutting annual production forecasts by 14% to 6,000 vehicles.
Robert Lea, industrial editor at The Times, observed that missed targets on margins, profits, and cash flow sent shares to a two-year low.
Product launches can also impact AML’s valuation. For 2025, Aston Martin has announced new models of the Vantage Coupe, Roadster, DBX707, and Vanquish, along with its first hybrid, the Valhalla supercar, and the AMR25 Formula 1 car. While new releases can generate excitement and lift share prices, missed delivery targets or software issues could undermine investor confidence.
Aston Martin’s historical share price
As of 13 February 2025, Aston Martin (AML)’s share price has fallen 94% since its 2018 IPO at 1,900p per share, having briefly peaked at 4,521.85p. However, two major reverse stock splits in 2020 mean past prices aren’t directly comparable.
Past performance isn’t a reliable indicator of future results
AML opened at 160.40p on 3 January 2023. The year was marked by volatility, with the stock reaching a high of 396.20 on 26 July 2023 following positive Q2 results and increased demand for its DBX707 SUV. However, mounting concerns about the company's debt levels and broader macroeconomic uncertainties led to a decline, resulting in the stock closing at 225.60p on 29 December 2023.
In 2024, Aston Martin faced disappointing earnings results, challenges within the luxury automotive market, two profit warnings, and issues related to production delays, further pressuring its share price. AML fell below 200p on 15 January 2024, closing the year at 106.60p on 31 December 2024. Additionally, the company issued new shares to raise capital, contributing to the dilution of existing shareholders' equity.
Aston Martin’s share price opened 2025 at 106.80p, and climbed to 116.10p by 23 January 2025. However, this rally was short-lived, with the price retreating to 97.05p by 3 February 2025, marking its lowest point in three years amid ongoing concerns about financial stability.
As of 13 February 2025, Aston Martin Lagonda is the only automaker on the London Stock Exchange, and has a £1.05 billion market capitalisation.
Aston Martin shares trading strategies to consider
Whether trading Aston Martin or any other asset, choose a trading strategy that matches your individual trading preference, risk appetite, and time commitment.
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Swing traders aim to anticipate price swings and capture potential gains. Swing trading is a medium-term strategy, lasting days or months.
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Day traders seek profits within the course of a day or less. Day trading strategies begin when the markets open, and end once they close.
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Position traders aim to benefit from longer-term market movements. Position trading involves managing positions over months or years.
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Trend traders aim to capture potential gains for as long as possible. Trend trading strategies involve following price trends until the direction changes.
Make informed trading decisions and perform independent research, use risk management tools, and never trade with more than you are comfortable to lose.
Discover more trading approaches on our comprehensive trading strategies page.
Risks and rewards to shares trading
Trading Aston Martin comes with its own risks and rewards, but it's also susceptible to potential factors inherent to shares trading.
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Fundamental analysis: stay abreast of Aston Martin’s financial performance, delivery reports, company news, and industry trends.
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Technical analysis: identify and confirm trading signals with indicators such as Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI).
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Risk management: use stop-loss orders, proper position sizing, and predefined risk-reward ratios to limit potential losses.
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Trading strategy: choose a trading approach that aligns with your risk tolerance and time commitment. Short-term traders may focus on capitalising on price swings, while long-term traders may consider Aston Martin’s market positioning and potential.