China aluminium output hits record quarterly high despite capacity cap

By Reuters News

- China's primary aluminium production hit a record quarterly high in July to September, official data showed on Monday, as smelters maintained high operating rates despite a longstanding government-imposed capacity ceiling.

  • The world's top aluminium producer churned out 11.84 million metric tons of the metal in the third quarter, up 2.2% from a year earlier and 0.5% from the previous quarter, according to Reuters calculations based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics

  • Production rose 3.1% year-on-year to 3.91 million tons in September, but eased from a monthly record of 3.98 million tons in August

  • However, average daily output increased to about 130,300 tons in September from 128,400 tons in August, Reuters calculations showed, suggesting smelters continued to operate at high rates

  • In the first nine months of the year, China produced 35.03 million tons of primary aluminium, up 3.8% from a year earlier

  • At that pace, annual output would reach about 46.7 million tons. A 45-million-ton annual smelting capacity ceiling has been in place since 2017 to curb overcapacity and pollution

  • The ceiling applies to installed capacity rather than actual production, allowing smelters to produce more than their nominal capacity through technological improvements and operational efficiencies, aided by strong profits

  • Higher aluminium prices following Middle East supply disruptions, coupled with relatively low raw material costs, have supported strong smelting margins and encouraged Chinese producers to maximise output

  • China produced a record 45.02 million tons of primary aluminium in 2025, up 2.4% from a year earlier

  • Production of 10 nonferrous metals - including copper, aluminium, lead, zinc and nickel – rose 0.1 % to 6.93 million metric tons from a year earlier

  • Year-to-date output was up 2.5% at 62.35 million metric tons

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