CEE MARKETS-Zloty near 3-year low, Warsaw stocks retreat further

By Reuters News

- The zloty hovered near a three-year low on Tuesday and Warsaw's blue-chip stocks index retreated for a third day after hitting record highs, with investors focused on US midterm elections as well as Polish political tensions and an interest rate decision.

  • The Polish zloty was down 0.1% at 4.4234 per euro, near a three-year low of 4.429 at the start of the trading week

  • "The domestic currency has been weighed down by an increase in the risk premium - linked to political and institutional factors in Poland - from the dispute surrounding the Constitutional Tribunal," PKO Bank wrote in a note

  • "On Tuesday, investor attention will be focused on the U.S. midterm elections and the prospects for de-escalating the conflict in the Middle East," they added.

  • Central Europe stocks fell, with Warsaw .WIG20 shedding 1.2%. The index is down over 4% since Friday and on course for its biggest three-day drop since March

  • Markets were watching for developments in a battle between President Karol Nawrocki and Prime Minister Donald Tusk's pro-European government over control of the judiciary

  • Tensions came to a head last week when the president of the Constitutional Tribunal, allied with Nawrocki's nationalists, was suspended and crowds gathered outside the court in support of him

  • Investors also awaited a Polish rate decision on Wednesday, with a Reuters poll forecasting the National Bank of Poland to keep its main rate at 3.75%

  • In the Czech Republic, the central bank is almost certain to raise its main rate to 4.00% from 3.75% on Thursday

  • The dollar dipped while Treasury yields edged higher as voting began in US midterm elections, keeping trade cautious

  • The Czech crown was 0.1% lower and trading at 24.345 to the euro while the Hungarian forint was down 0.1% and trading at 364.65 per euro

  • Romania raised €4.5 billion on foreign markets on Monday, Thomson Reuters IFR data showed, in its first eurobond sale since February, following the formation of a new government in October after a political crisis

  • Romania is rated in the lowest rung of investment-grade by all three major agencies, with negative outlooks

  • Romania's leu edged down 0.1% to 5.3405 to the euro.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1034 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

24.3450

24.3270

-0.07%

-0.73%

Hungary forint

364.6500

364.2000

-0.12%

+5.41%

Polish zloty

4.4234

4.4175

-0.13%

-4.70%

Romanian leu

5.3405

5.3351

-0.10%

-4.61%

Serbian dinar

117.5700

117.5800

+0.01%

-0.23%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2629.21

2636.0100

-0.26%

-2.10%

Budapest

.BUX

144615.91

145330.02

-0.49%

+30.25%

Warsaw

.WIG20

4103.27

4152.65

-1.19%

+28.87%

Bucharest

.BETI

34866.56

35086.93

-0.63%

+42.67%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

4.4010

-0.0062

+138bps

-1bps

Czech Rep 5-year

4.7776

-0.0055

+167bps

-2bps

Czech Rep 10-year

5.3382

-0.0222

+203bps

-4bps

Poland 2-year

5.0030

-0.0140

+198bps

-2bps

Poland 5-year

5.7880

-0.1060

+268bps

-12bps

Poland 10-year

6.3110

-0.0760

+300bps

-9bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

,

4.28

4.59

4.75

3.97

Poland

,

4.14

4.42

4.62

3.92

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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