Canada's Tourmaline Oil Q3 earnings jump

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Canada natural gas producer's Q3 net earnings rose 237% yr/yr to C$641.5 mln

  • Q3 production fell 6% yr/yr due to deferrals and storage injections for higher future prices

  • Company raised quarterly base dividend by 5% and repurchased 1.3 mln shares in Q4


Outlook

  • Tourmaline expects Q4 2026 average production of 635,000–645,000 boepd

  • Company anticipates 2026 exit production of 670,000 boepd or greater, including storage withdrawals

  • Tourmaline forecasts 2027 free cash flow of C$1.8 bln at current strip pricing, up 71% from July estimate


Result Drivers

  • STORAGE INJECTIONS AND DEFERRALS - Co said Q3 production was slightly below guidance due to deferrals and storage injections to capture higher expected prices in Q4 and Q1 2027

  • HIGHER REALIZED NATURAL GAS PRICES - Co benefited from average realized natural gas prices significantly above the AECO 5A benchmark due to its diversified marketing and hedging

  • LOWER OPERATING COSTS - Operating costs fell 7% yr/yr, contributing to improved margins


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 EPS

C$1.64

Q3 Net Income

C$641.50 mln

Q3 Cash Flow Per Share

C$2.02

Q3 Net Debt

C$1.54 bln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 11 "strong buy" or "buy", 8 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas exploration and production peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Tourmaline Oil Corp is C$70.00, about 5.6% above its November 3 closing price of C$66.28

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 12 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 3 - Canada's Suncor Q3 adjusted operating earnings jump on higher upstream prices

  • Nov 4 - Canada's Vermilion Energy posts Q3 net loss, plans 4% dividend hike

  • Nov 3 - Ovintiv Q3 profit rises on higher energy prices, lower costs


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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