Canada's Ero Copper Q3 revenue slightly beats on higher metal prices

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Canada copper and gold miner's Q3 revenue slightly beat analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 beat analyst consensus, driven by higher sales volumes and prices

  • Company reaffirmed copper production guidance, updated cost outlook due to inflation and FX


Outlook

  • Ero reaffirms 2026 copper production guidance at 67,500-77,500 tonnes

  • Company updates 2026 copper C1 cash cost guidance to $2.25-$2.45/lb, citing inflation and FX pressures

  • 2026 gold production at Xavantina expected at 75,000-80,000 oz; C1 cash cost guidance raised to $1,650-$1,800/oz


Result Drivers

  • HIGHER SALES VOLUMES - Co said record financial results were supported by increased copper and gold sales volumes

  • FAVORABLE METAL PRICES - Co attributed stronger results to higher copper and gold prices

  • COST SAVINGS INITIATIVES - Co said cost savings from OneEro initiative contributed to results


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Slight Beat*

$348 mln

$346.15 mln (4 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

$129.30 mln

Q3 Net Income

$118 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$200.60 mln

$193.33 mln (8 Analysts)

Q3 Cash Flow from Operations

$191.20 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 9 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the specialty mining & metals peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Ero Copper Corp. is C$55.26, about 35.9% above its October 30 closing price of C$40.67

  • The stock recently traded at 6 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 6 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

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  • Nov 2 - Canada's Capital Power Q3 revenue falls on derivative losses

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For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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