HomeDEUTZ stock forecast: FY2025 results and 2026 guidance

DEUTZ stock forecast: FY2025 results and 2026 guidance

DEUTZ is a Germany-based engine manufacturer whose recent share-price moves have followed its full-year 2025 results, 2026 guidance and updates on the ‘Future Fit’ cost-reduction programme. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
By Dan Mitchell
Deutz company logo displayed on a dark background
Photo: Shutterstock

Explore third-party DEZ price targets and technical analysis.

DEUTZ AG (DEZ) is trading at €8.969 as of 3:12pm UTC on 1 April 2026 on Capital.com's price feed, within an intraday range of €8.301–€8.994. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Price action has been shaped by DEUTZ's full-year 2025 results, published on 26 March 2026, in which the company reported revenue of €2.044 billion (+12.7% year on year) and an adjusted EBIT margin of 5.5%, alongside 2026 guidance of €2.3–€2.5 billion in revenue and an adjusted EBIT margin of 6.5–8% (DEUTZ, 26 March 2026). The broader context includes the DAX rising to 23,128 points on 1 April 2026, a gain of 1.98% from the prior session (Trading Economics, 1 April 2026), while ECB rate expectations remain in focus after a German CPI rebound in late March 2026 prompted markets to price in fewer aggressive rate cuts, adding pressure to borrowing costs for German industrial names (Federal Statistical Office of Germany, 30 March 2026).

DEUTZ's ongoing 'Future Fit' cost-reduction programme, which targets structural savings of more than €50 million against 2024 levels by the end of 2026, with more than €25 million already reflected in its income statement, has continued to feature in management commentary as a key driver of margin improvement (DEUTZ, 226 March 2026).

DEUTZ stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets

As of 1 April 2026, third-party DEUTZ stock predictions have been refreshed following the company's full-year 2025 results on 26 March 2026. All targets below are 12-month price objectives on the Xetra-listed share and reflect assumptions around DEUTZ's ongoing margin recovery, the Future Fit cost programme, and the trajectory of order intake.

DZ Bank (post-results Buy, raised fair value)

DZ Bank raises its DEZ stock forecast €9.30 to €9.90, while maintaining a Buy rating. Analyst Thorsten Reigber notes that the 2026 outlook remains cautious and dependent on a continued recovery in the engine business, citing structural improvements from the Future Fit cost-cutting programme as an expected contributor (MarketScreener, 30 March 2026).

MarketScreener (five-broker consensus overview)

MarketScreener records an average analyst consensus target price of €11.50 for DEUTZ, with individual estimates ranging from a low of €103:12 to a high of €12.90. The platform aggregates five covering brokers and carries a mean consensus rating of Buy, amid the post-results reset of targets following the full-year 2025 earnings release (MarketScreener, 26 March 2026).

Warburg Research (Buy maintained, target reiterated post-results)

Warburg Research reiterates its Buy rating on DEUTZ with a price target of €12.90, following the release of full-year 2025 results. Analyst Stefan Augustin describes the company's outlook as constructive, noting that the fourth quarter fell slightly short of expectations due to the Solutions division, while noting that key fundamental drivers remain intact (MarketScreener, 26 March 2026).

StocksGuide (eight-analyst aggregated target)

StocksGuide aggregates price targets from eight analysts covering DEUTZ and reports an average target of €11.12, with the high end of individual estimates at €12.60. The platform notes that 10 of 11 covering analysts rate the stock Buy and one rates it Hold, with no sell recommendations, amid expectations of continued earnings progression in 2026 (StocksGuide, 29 March 2026).

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

DEZ stock price: Technical overview

The DEZ stock price trades at €8.969 as of 3:12pm UTC on 1 April 2026, sitting below a dense moving-average overhang that TradingView's indicator suite rates as a broad sell signal across all longer-dated averages. The 20/50/100/200-day SMAs descend from roughly €9.5/€10.6/€9.6/€9.1, with the current price beneath all four levels, indicating that the medium-term trend remains under pressure. The Hull moving average (9) at €8.438 and the 10-day SMA at €8.756 are the only moving-average readings generating a buy signal, reflecting short-term price stabilisation near session lows.

The 14-day RSI registers 39.991, in the lower-neutral zone, without yet reaching oversold territory. The ADX (14) at 36.978 indicates that an established trend is in place, consistent with the directional pressure implied by the broader moving-average structure. The MACD (12, 26) level at −0.649 adds to the cautious signal picture from oscillators, per TradingView data.

On the classic pivot framework, the pivot point at €9.675 represents the initial reference overhead; a daily close back above that level could bring R1 at €11.225 into view. To the downside, S1 at €6.890 is the next classic support reference should the current range fail to hold, per TradingView's pivot calculations (TradingView, 1 April 2026).

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

DEUTZ share price history (2024–2026)

DEZ’s stock price traded around €7.20–€7.60 in late March 2025 before selling off sharply in early April, hitting a two-year low of €5.881 on 9 April 2025 amid broad market turbulence. The stock then spent much of May through July 2025 consolidating in the €6.80–€7.90 range, with a brief dip towards €6.836 in mid-June before buyers returned.

From August 2025, DEUTZ began a sustained recovery, climbing from the low €7s back above €93:12 by October and holding that level through the end of the year. The stock closed 2025 at €8.479 and moved into 2026 with fresh momentum, rallying from €8.654 on 2 January to a two-year high of €12.503 on 27 February 2026, driven in part by the company's MDAX inclusion and improving earnings expectations.

That peak proved short-lived. DEZ pulled back sharply through March 2026, losing around 28% from its February high by the end of the month. DEZ closed at €8.994 on 1 April 2026, which is approximately 3.9% up year to date and 30.9% up year on year.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

DEUTZ (DEZ): Capital.com analyst view

DEUTZ's full-year 2025 results, published on 26 March 2026, showed revenue of €2.044 billion, up 12.7% year on year, and an adjusted EBIT margin of 5.5% – one of the strongest profit outcomes in the company's recent history according to its own press release. The performance was underpinned by expanding energy and defense revenues, the contribution of Blue Star Power Systems, and more than €25 million of in-year savings from the Future Fit cost programme. For 2026, management guides revenue of €2.3–€2.5 billion with an adjusted EBIT margin of 6.5–8.0%, contingent on a continued recovery in the core engine market, particularly in construction and agricultural machinery, which remained weak throughout 2025 and represents a key execution risk if that recovery stalls (DEUTZ AG, 26 March 2026).

The company's strategic pivot towards defense and decentralised energy, including its SOBEK acquisition and a partnership with ARX Robotics in unmanned defense systems, has been cited by Bloomberg as a potential driver of double-digit revenue growth in 2026, as Europe's rearmament cycle accelerates (Bloomberg, 27 March 2026). However, the sharp pullback in DEZ shares from their February 2026 peak near €12.50 to below €93:12 by the end of March reflects market caution around execution risk, macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty flagged by management itself in its 2026 outlook, and the potential impact of continued global trade tensions on industrial demand. Diversification away from the traditional engine cycle may reduce cyclical sensitivity over time, but it also introduces integration and margin risk from recent acquisitions.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Summary – DEUTZ 2026

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most DEUTZ stock?

Ownership can change over time, so the article does not name a single largest shareholder. For that reason, it is better to check DEUTZ’s latest investor relations disclosures or exchange filings for the most up-to-date breakdown. In practice, ownership concentration can matter because large shareholders may influence governance, strategy and voting outcomes, but it does not determine short-term share price moves on its own.

What is the 5 year DEUTZ share price forecast?

A reliable five-year DEZ stock forecast is difficult to produce because long-term outcomes depend on several moving parts, including demand in construction and agricultural machinery, execution of the Future Fit programme, acquisition integration, and broader economic conditions. The article focuses on shorter-term analyst targets rather than a five-year projection. Long-range forecasts should therefore be treated as scenarios, not certainties, especially for a cyclical industrial stock.

Is DEUTZ a good stock to buy?

Whether DEUTZ is a good stock to buy depends on your objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon, so the article does not make a recommendation. It outlines both supportive and cautious factors. On one side, analysts have pointed to margin improvement, cost savings and expansion into defence and decentralised energy. On the other, the share price has pulled back sharply, and the recovery in core engine markets still carries execution and macroeconomic risk.

Could DEUTZ stock go up or down?

Yes, DEUTZ stock could move in either direction, and the article sets out reasons for both outcomes. Upward drivers may include delivery against 2026 guidance, further benefits from cost reductions, and improving order intake. Downside risks include weaker-than-expected demand in core end markets, integration pressure from acquisitions, and broader trade or macroeconomic disruption. Technical indicators in the article also show mixed signals, with weaker medium-term trend readings but some short-term stabilisation.

Should I invest in DEUTZ stock?

The article is for information only and should not be taken as investment advice. Rather than telling you whether you should invest, it highlights the factors you may want to assess first: DEUTZ’s earnings trend, guidance credibility, analyst target dispersion, technical picture, and exposure to cyclical industrial demand. You may also want to consider how much volatility you can accept, because the stock has shown sharp price swings over the past year.

Can I trade DEUTZ CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade DEUTZ CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.