Xiaomi stock forecast: $100m HKD buybacks & EV delivery data
Xiaomi is a Hong Kong-listed technology group operating across smartphones, IoT and electric vehicles, with recent updates highlighting $100m HKD in share buybacks and continued EV deliveries exceeding 108,000 units in a quarter. Explore third-party 1810 price targets and technical analysis.
Xiaomi Corp. (1810) is trading around $35.58 HKD as of 1:07pm UTC on 25 February 2026, moving within an intraday range of $35.42–$36.36 HKD on Capital.com’s feed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The stock is trading amid a series of on-market share repurchases. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) disclosures show that Xiaomi bought back 2.8 million Class B shares for about $100m HKD (TradingView, 24 February 2026), following earlier buybacks of 4.3 million and 1.5 million shares (MarketScreener. 20 February 2026). Xiaomi's Q1 2026 update states that its ‘innovative’ businesses, including electric vehicles, delivered over 108,000 units in a single quarter and achieved their first operating profit of around RMB 700m (Yahoo Finance, 18 February 2026).
Xiaomi stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 25 February 2026, third-party Xiaomi stock predictions show a wide spread of indicative 12-month targets, reflecting differing views on the group’s smartphone, Internet of Things (IoT) and electric vehicle (EV) businesses. The following third-party targets summarise selected external estimates and rationales as of January–February 2026. They do not represent Capital.com’s own projections and may change as assumptions and market conditions evolve.
Investing.com (analyst consensus overview)
Data published on Investing.com shows that 35 analysts covering Xiaomi have set an average 12-month target price of about $55.97 HKD, with individual estimates ranging from approximately $31.41 HKD to around $80.69 HKD. The platform indicates a consensus rating tilted towards 'buy', while the breadth of targets suggests diverging views on earnings trajectory, margin sustainability and sector risk premiums. As with other third-party forecasts, these targets reflect analyst assumptions at a specific point in time and may adjust as company fundamentals and broader market conditions evolve (Investing.com, 25 February 2026).
Fintel (consensus overview)
Research aggregation platform Fintel reports an average one-year 1810 stock forecast of about $56, based on compiled external analyst estimates ranging from $35.35 HKD at the low end to $80.85 HKD at the high end. The commentary attributes this dispersion to differing assumptions around smartphone margins, EV profitability and broader sentiment towards China technology companies amid evolving demand and competitive conditions (Fintel, 25 February 2026).
Simply Wall St (DCF valuation marker)
Equity research platform Simply Wall St writes that its discounted cash flow (DCF) model implies an intrinsic value for Xiaomi of about $52.96 HKD per share, compared with a contemporaneous market price in the mid-$30s HKD. The analysis emphasises that the valuation depends on long-term cash-flow projections and discount-rate assumptions, and that market participants may be assigning greater weight to execution, regulatory and macroeconomic risks than the model reflects (Simply Wall St, 11 February 2026).
Yahoo Finance (valuation and target gap)
Yahoo Finance states that its DCF analysis suggests Xiaomi is trading at roughly a 31.2% discount to its internal fair-value estimate. The article compares this with a higher average analyst target referenced in the same piece. It adds that this apparent gap reflects differing views on the sustainability of growth in EVs and ecosystem services, as well as broader caution towards Chinese technology names (Yahoo Finance, 13 February 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
1810 stock price: Technical overview
On the daily chart, 1810’s stock price is trading around $35.58 HKD as of 1:07pm UTC on 25 February 2026. Price is positioned near the Classic pivot at 58.12 and above the 20- and 50-day SMA cluster around 56.85 and 57.50, while the 100- and 200-day SMAs sit higher near 60.69 and 64.94. The 14-day RSI at 51.05 remains in neutral territory, and the ADX near 13.60 indicates a weakly defined trend, even as momentum and MACD readings lean mildly positive.
On the upside, traders may monitor the classic R1 level near 62.83. A daily close above this level would bring the R2 region around 71.62 into view as a broader resistance zone. On pullbacks, initial support appears near the classic pivot at 58.12, with the 20- and 50-day SMAs in the high-50s acting as a secondary area of interest. A sustained move below that zone would expose S1 around 49.33 (TradingView, 25 February 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Xiaomi share price history (2024–2026)
The 1810 stock price has risen over the past two years, moving from around $13.49 HKD at the close on 27 February 2024 to $35.58 HKD on 25 February 2026. During that period, the stock advanced from the mid-teens into higher trading ranges, reaching the high-$50s HKD by late September 2025 before retracing into the mid-$30s HKD in early 2026 as volatility increased.
In 2024, Xiaomi traded below $20 HKD for much of the early part of the year before breaking above that level in May and extending into the low-$30s HKD by December, closing at $34.69 HKD on 31 December 2024. In 2025, the share price accelerated from the low-$30s HKD to a closing peak of $59.46 HKD on 25 September. It then eased into the low-$40s HKD by year-end, finishing at $39.22 HKD on 31 December 2025, before trading in the mid-$30s HKD range by late February 2026.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Xiaomi (1810): Capital.com analyst view
Over the past two years, Xiaomi’s share price has experienced a marked re-rating followed by a material pullback. The stock climbed from the low-$10s HKD in early 2024 to highs in the high-$50s HKD in late 2025 before retreating into the mid-$30s HKD by February 2026. This trajectory illustrates how shifts in expectations around growth areas, including electric vehicles and ecosystem services, can coincide with significant price movements in both directions.
Looking ahead, market participants may continue to assess the balance between Xiaomi’s established smartphone and IoT operations and its newer EV and AI-related activities. Stronger-than-anticipated execution could support valuation assumptions, while weaker delivery trends or margin pressure could weigh on sentiment. Broader macroeconomic conditions and attitudes towards Chinese technology equities may also influence price dynamics, contributing to periods of both stability and volatility.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Xiaomi CFDs
As of 25 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Xiaomi CFDs is weighted towards long positions, with 97.4% of tracked accounts holding buy positions and 2.6% holding sell positions at the time of writing – a difference of approximately 94.7 percentage points. This reflects open positions on the Capital.com platform and may change as market conditions evolve.
Summary – Xiaomi 2026
- As of 1:07pm UTC on 25 February 2026, Xiaomi traded near $35.58 HKD, below its late-2025 highs in the high-$50s HKD but above levels seen in early 2024.
- Technical indicators show price positioned around key short-term moving averages, with RSI in neutral territory and ADX signalling a weak trend despite mildly positive momentum readings.
- Key variables include sentiment towards Chinese technology stocks, developments in smartphone and IoT margins, progress in EV and AI initiatives, and broader macroeconomic or regulatory conditions.
- Recent reporting has focused on EV delivery milestones, initial operating profitability in innovative segments, and ongoing on-market share buybacks disclosed via HKEX.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Xiaomi stock?
Xiaomi’s share register includes a mix of founders, senior executives and institutional investors. Public filings indicate that co-founder Lei Jun has been one of the largest individual shareholders in recent years, alongside other early stakeholders and major asset managers. Ownership levels can change over time due to share sales, buybacks or new issuances. You can review the latest disclosures through HKEX filings for up-to-date information on substantial shareholders and insider holdings.
What is the 5-year Xiaomi share price forecast?
There is no single agreed five-year 1810 stock forecast. Most publicly available analyst targets focus on a 12-month horizon, and even those vary depending on assumptions around smartphone margins, EV scaling and broader sentiment towards Chinese technology stocks. Longer-term projections tend to rely heavily on forecasts for cash flow, competitive positioning and regulatory conditions, all of which can shift over time. As a result, any five-year estimate should be viewed as indicative and subject to change, rather than certain.
Is Xiaomi a good stock to buy?
Whether Xiaomi is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. The company operates across smartphones, IoT devices and electric vehicles, which may provide diversified revenue streams but also introduce execution and competitive risks. Its share price history includes periods of rapid appreciation as well as material pullbacks. Investors typically assess fundamentals, valuation metrics and broader market conditions before making decisions, rather than relying solely on short-term price movements.
Could Xiaomi stock go up or down?
Xiaomi’s share price, like any listed equity, can move in either direction. Factors that may influence performance include earnings results, EV delivery trends, margin developments, regulatory changes and overall sentiment towards Chinese technology companies. Technical indicators and client positioning data can provide context, but they do not determine future outcomes. Market volatility, macroeconomic shifts and company-specific announcements can all contribute to price fluctuations over time.
Should I invest in Xiaomi stock?
Deciding whether to invest in Xiaomi stock depends on your financial situation, investment goals and tolerance for risk. Shares can rise or fall in value, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You may wish to consider how exposure to a single company aligns with your overall portfolio allocation and risk profile. Reviewing independent research and understanding the company’s business model and financial position can also support a more informed assessment. This information is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Can I trade Xiaomi CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Xiaomi CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.