BYD Company stock forecast: Mexico Expansion Plans & Sales Growth
BYD Company is a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer that reported 4.6m global sales in 2025, while facing softer January 2026 volumes, expansion plans in Mexico and ongoing regulatory scrutiny. Explore third-party 1211 price targets and technical analysis.
BYD Company Limited (1211) is trading around $98.50 HKD as of 2:34pm (UTC) on 25 February 2026, moving within an intraday range of $97.60-100.65 HKD on Capital.com’s share CFD market feed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The backdrop includes BYD’s 2025 sales – reaching about 4.6m vehicles globally (Yahoo Finance, 2 January 2026) – while January 2026 volumes showed year-on-year pressure amid intense competition (Bloomberg, 2 February 2026) . At the same time, reports indicate that BYD has been shortlisted in bids for a former Nissan and Mercedes-Benz manufacturing plant in Mexico and is preparing to roll out its ‘Super e-Platform’ in early March (Reuters, 12 February 2026).
BYD Company stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 25 February 2026, third-party BYD Company stock predictions show a wide dispersion – from levels close to the current market price to significantly higher scenarios linked to overseas expansion and margin assumptions. These forecasts typically benchmark BYD against global electric vehicle peers and reflect differing views on how competition, pricing dynamics and policy settings could shape earnings and valuation over the next year.
Citi (broker research)
Citi assigns BYD a Buy rating with a 12-month target price of $174 HKD, framing this objective against its estimates for wholesale volumes and dealer inventory into the first quarter of 2026. The bank states that its scenario assumes domestic retail and export run rates recover into March, while new product launches and pricing decisions in late February and early March remain key variables for margins and sales momentum (AASTOCKS, 11 February 2026).
TipRanks (Wall Street aggregation)
TipRanks reports that analysts covering BYD set an average 11211 stock forecast of around $122.36 HKD. The published range extends from $89.86 HKD to $139.94 HKD. The platform attributes this dispersion to a Strong Buy consensus rating among its sample of Wall Street analysts, reflecting differing expectations for multi-year earnings growth alongside uncertainty related to competition and policy developments (TipRanks, 25 February 2026).
Simply Wall St (consensus and valuation)
Simply Wall St indicates that analysts’ 12-month price targets cluster materially above the prevailing market price, contributing to what the service describes as implied upside relative to its calculated fair-value range. It notes that this assessment relies on forecasts for revenue and earnings growth over the next three years, while also highlighting scenario analysis that flags risks from competitive pricing and cyclical demand patterns (Simply Wall St, 23 February 2026).
Moomoo (forecast aggregation)
Moomoo reports an average 12-month price target of about $280.47 HKD for BYD Company, with the highest individual estimate near $458.80 HKD and the lowest around $80 HKD. The platform states that these figures aggregate institutional analyst forecasts over a 12-month horizon, capturing a broad range of views on overseas expansion, sector growth and the potential impact of pricing and policy developments on earnings (Moomoo, 18 February 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
1211 stock price: Technical overview
The 1211 stock price trades around $98.50 HKD as of 2:34pm (UTC) on 25 February 2026, holding just above its main moving-average band, with the 20/50/100/200-day moving averages clustered near ~97 / 97 / 99 / 111.2. The 10- to 50-day averages sit tightly grouped below the current price, while the 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) remain overhead as medium- and long-term reference levels. The 14-day RSI stands around 54, placing it in the mid-neutral zone, and the ADX near 13.9 indicates a weak trend backdrop rather than a strong directional phase.
On the topside, the nearest classic pivot above the market lies at R1 around 102.6. A daily close above this level could bring the R2 region near 107.4 into focus as the next resistance band. On pullbacks, the classic pivot at 98.2 serves as initial support, with the 100-day SMA near 99.3 acting as a key moving-average reference. A sustained close below that area may open the way towards S1 near 93.5 (TradingView, 25 February 2026)..
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
BYD Company share price history (2024–2026)
Over the past two years, 1211’s stock price has moved from sustained three-digit levels into double digits as volatility increased across the electric vehicle sector. The stock closed at $198.05 HKD on 27 February 2024 before trending lower through the remainder of 2024 and into early 2025.
After consolidating around the mid-$200s HKD in late 2024, the share price moved higher in the first half of 2025, briefly trading above $460 HKD on 23 May 2025 before reversing and declining towards the mid-$300s HKD by late June. From there, the downtrend accelerated: the stock fell from $370.60 HKD at the end of February 2025 to $95.25 HKD by 31 December 2025. It then continued to trade near those lower levels into early 2026, closing at $98.50 HKD on 25 February 2026.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
BYD Company (1211): Capital.com analyst view
BYD Company’s H-share price has reset significantly over the past two years, moving from levels above $400 HKD in mid-2025 to trade near $98.50 HKD as of 2:34pm (UTC) on 25 February 2026. This adjustment has taken place as the electric vehicle sector reassesses earlier rapid expansion, with market participants weighing BYD’s production scale and international footprint against signs of slower sales growth and tighter competitive conditions.
On one hand, BYD remains one of the largest global producers of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, supported by vertically integrated manufacturing and an expanding overseas presence. These factors may support its positioning if demand conditions and policy frameworks remain constructive. On the other hand, sustained pricing pressure, evolving regulation and shifts in subsidies or trade measures could affect margins and valuation assumptions. As a result, the share price may continue to reflect changing expectations around growth, competition and execution.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for BYD Company CFDs
As of 25 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in BYD Company CFDs shows 98.4% of open positions held by buyers and 1.6% by sellers. This distribution indicates that most clients currently hold long exposure, while a small proportion are positioned for potential declines. This data reflects open positions on Capital.com at the time of writing and may change as market conditions evolve.
Summary – BYD Company 2026
- As of 2:34pm (UTC) on 25 February 2026, BYD Company trades near $98.50 HKD, well below its mid-2025 highs above $400 HKD.
- Technical signals show the price positioned close to clustered short-term moving averages, with the 14-day RSI in mid-neutral territory and trend strength indicators suggesting a weak, range-bound backdrop.
- Key price drivers include China’s electric vehicle demand, global competition and pricing dynamics, evolving regulation and subsidy frameworks, and broader investor appetite for Chinese growth and automotive stocks.
- Recent news focuses on BYD’s overseas expansion plans, shifting sales momentum and comparatively slower growth than in prior years, set against intense sector competition and changing policy conditions.
- Analysts note a wide dispersion in 12-month price targets, reflecting differing assumptions about margin resilience, export strategy and the company’s ability to navigate policy, pricing and demand-related risks.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most BYD Company stock?
BYD Company’s share register includes a mix of founders, strategic investors and institutional shareholders. Historically, founder Wang Chuanfu has held a significant stake, while Berkshire Hathaway has also been a notable investor through subsidiary holdings. Ownership levels can change over time due to placements, disposals or market transactions, so investors often review the latest exchange filings and company reports to obtain the most up-to-date breakdown of major shareholders.
What is the 5-year BYD Company share price forecast?
There is no single agreed five-year 1211 stock forecast. Most published analyst targets focus on a 12-month horizon, and even these show a wide range of estimates. Longer-term projections depend on assumptions about electric vehicle demand, global expansion, pricing trends, regulation and competitive dynamics. As these variables can shift materially over time, any five-year forecast is typically framed as a scenario rather than a precise prediction.
Is BYD Company a good stock to buy?
Whether BYD Company is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. The company operates at scale in the electric and plug-in hybrid vehicle markets, but it also faces pricing pressure, regulatory change and strong competition. Recent price volatility highlights both potential opportunity and risk. Investors generally assess financial performance, valuation metrics and broader sector conditions before making any investment decision. This information is provided for general educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.
Could BYD Company stock go up or down?
Like all listed equities, BYD Company’s share price can move up or down in response to earnings results, sales data, policy developments and broader market sentiment. Analyst price targets span a wide range, reflecting differing assumptions about margins, competition and overseas growth. Technical indicators may also present mixed signals at times. As a result, future price direction remains uncertain and subject to changing market conditions.
Should I invest in BYD Company stock?
Deciding whether to invest in BYD Company shares requires careful consideration of your financial situation, investment goals and tolerance for risk. The electric vehicle sector can be volatile, and company-specific developments may influence performance. It’s important to conduct your own research and, if appropriate, seek independent financial advice. Past performance and analyst forecasts are not reliable indicators of future returns.
Can I trade BYD Company CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade BYD Company CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.