CEE MARKETS-Forint eases after central bank-driven rally, zloty stable

By Reuters News

- The Hungarian forint gave up some ground on Wednesday after hitting its highest level for September in the previous session, with gains initially supported by the central bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged and raise its inflation forecasts.

Hungary's central bank raised its inflation forecast for 2027 to 3.1% from its previous outlook of 2.3% and said energy prices and an excise tax hike on tobacco would boost price growth next year.

Markets had put some focus on next year's outlook for price dynamics to gauge the chances of further cuts ahead or an end to the easing cycle in the summer months.

"Following the decision, the HUF initially rose accordingly, but then gave up its gains as the euro weakened against the USD," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

The forint was 0.18% weaker against the euro at 363.35 at 0811 GMT on Wednesday.

The Polish zloty was 0.08% firmer at 4.3475, with analysts saying the exchange rate remains driven by global factors such as talks between the US and Iran during the UN General Assembly regarding the end of their conflict.

"In our opinion, the EUR/PLN exchange rate should remain around 4.35, especially as the room for further decline of the euro-dollar is running out," Bank Millennium analysts wrote in their daily commentary.

The main event of the day in Poland will be an auction of Polish bonds worth 7-12 billion zlotys ($4.99 billion).

The Czech crown was flat at 24.35.


CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1011 CET




CURRENCIES


Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

24.3500

24.3500

+0.00%

-0.75%

Hungary forint

363.3500

362.7000

-0.18%

+5.78%

Polish zloty

4.3475

4.3510

+0.08%

-3.03%

Romanian leu

5.2777

5.2775

-0.00%

-3.48%

Serbian dinar

117.3000

117.4000

+0.09%

+0.00%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET






STOCKS


Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2737.77

2742.3600

-0.17%

+1.94%

Budapest

.BUX

151972.46

151342.76

+0.42%

+36.87%

Warsaw

.WIG20

4214.82

4218.30

-0.08%

+32.37%

Bucharest

.BETI

31978.51

32140.01

-0.50%

+30.85%



BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

4.2025

0.0127

+098bps

+0bps

Czech Rep 5-year

4.5193

-0.0078

+123bps

-2bps

Czech Rep 10-year

5.2195

-0.0052

+176bps

-1bps







Poland 2-year

4.6200

0.0010

+140bps

-1bps

Poland 5-year

5.7390

-0.0080

+245bps

-2bps

Poland 10-year

6.1400

-0.0190

+268bps

-2bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS


3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

,

4.25

4.55

4.72

3.85

Poland

,

4.16

4.50

4.63

3.86

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices





($1 = 3.8075 zlotys)

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.
The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.
To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.
 

Cryptocurrency-related content is intended solely as news and market commentary. Crypto Derivatives are not available to Retail clients registered with Capital Com (UK) Ltd.