CEE MARKETS-Currencies retreat as Fed lifts dollar, focus turns to Czech central bank

By Reuters News

- Central European currencies edged lower on Thursday after a sharp selloff triggered by the Fed's hawkish rate hike on Wednesday strengthened the dollar, while investors turned their focus to a Czech central bank meeting later in the day.

  • The dollar clung to a seven-week high on Thursday after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and flagged more hikes in the coming months.

  • "CEEMEA currencies broadly weakened as the Fed’s rate hike and hawkish messaging drove USD higher. PLN underperformed the region...," Morgan Stanley said in a note.

  • The Polish currency was down 0.1% at 4.3630 per euro at 0800 GMT. PKO BP analysts said the zloty would remain driven by impulses from core markets, particularly the dollar's moves.

  • "At the same time, barring any new negative impulses, we expect the zloty’s depreciation against the euro to lose momentum soon and the 4.3750–4.38 resistance zone on EUR/PLN to hold firm." they added.

  • The Czech central bank meets on Thursday and is expected to hold interest rates, with its main repo rate sufficiently above inflation.

  • ING analysts said the outcome of the meeting is likely to be "dovish relative to market pricing, which currently implies more than four rate hikes," ING analysts said.

  • The Czech crown lost 0.1% to 24.3350 per euro, while the Hungarian forint was stable at 364.40.

  • Hungary's debt agency will sell benchmark bonds at an auction on Thursday which will be closely watched after a rise in yields across the region over the past days. Hungary will offer a total of 65 billion forints worth of bonds.

  • Stock markets in the region mostly rose, with Warsaw .WIG20 leading gains, supported by a strong rise in Allegro ALEP.WA shares after the group lifted its full-year 2026 guidance for all key metrics.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1000 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

24.3350

24.3130

-0.09%

-0.69%

Hungary forint

364.4000

364.5000

+0.03%

+5.48%

Polish zloty

4.3630

4.3575

-0.13%

-3.38%

Romanian leu

5.2641

5.2641

+0.00%

-3.23%

Serbian dinar

117.3000

117.3500

+0.04%

+0.00%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2760.80

2744.4900

+0.59%

+2.80%

Budapest

.BUX

154461.96

154181.95

+0.18%

+39.12%

Warsaw

.WIG20

4116.83

4082.92

+0.83%

+29.30%

Bucharest

.BETI

30971.15

31693.28

-2.28%

+26.73%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

4.3023

0.0000

+107bps

-2bps

Czech Rep 5-year

4.6468

-0.0231

+133bps

-4bps

Czech Rep 10-year

5.3290

-0.0115

+181bps

-2bps

Poland 2-year

4.6590

-0.2520

+143bps

-27bps

Poland 5-year

5.7920

-0.0890

+247bps

-10bps

Poland 10-year

6.2110

-0.1130

+269bps

-12bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

,

4.21

4.60

4.81

3.86

Poland

,

4.09

4.47

4.63

3.84

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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