HomeMarket analysisTake-Two Interactive stock forecast: Q1 bookings beat guidance

Take-Two Interactive stock forecast: Q1 bookings beat guidance

Take-Two Interactive is a US video-game publisher. In August 2026, Rockstar Games sought DMCA subpoenas after unreleased GTA VI gameplay footage appeared online. Explore third-party TTWO price targets and technical analysis. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
By Dan Mitchell
Photo: Shutterstock

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) traded at $212.91 as of 1:28pm UTC on 10 September 2026, within an intraday range of $209.16–$213.22. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Recent attention has centred on a leak of unreleased Grand Theft Auto VI gameplay footage in mid-August. Take-Two's Rockstar Games unit subsequently pursued DMCA subpoenas against platforms including Discord and Microsoft as it investigated the source. Meanwhile, an official GTA VI preview drew more than 31 million views in its first four days, according to Yahoo Finance. With the game scheduled for release on 19 November, a launch that meets expectations could support sentiment, while delays, disruption or weaker-than-expected engagement could weigh on it (Yahoo Finance, 3 September 2026).

Third-party Take-Two outlook: GTA VI launch and share pullback

As of 10 September 2026, third-party Take-Two Interactive stock predictions span a wide range, reflecting different assumptions around the Grand Theft Auto VI launch, post-release bookings and the company's fiscal 2027 performance.

Robert W. Baird (individual target)

Robert W. Baird sets a $270 target while maintaining an outperform rating. The firm's outlook cites NBA 2K engagement and GTA Online performance among the factors supporting its view (Investing.com, 10 August 2026).

Benchmark (individual target)

Benchmark sets a $300 target and maintains a buy rating ahead of the Grand Theft Auto VI launch. The target was published after unauthorised gameplay footage circulated, with Take-Two shares trading at $232.93 at the time (Investing.com, 26 August 2026).

Oppenheimer (individual target)

Oppenheimer raises its Take-Two target to $280 while maintaining its existing rating. The firm cites fiscal first-quarter 2027 Net Bookings above company guidance as a factor behind the increase (Investing.com, 2 September 2026).

BofA Securities (individual target)

BofA Securities sets a $368 target and reiterates a buy rating following the GTA VI footage leaks. The figure sat at the upper end of analyst estimates tracked at the time, when Take-Two shares were trading around $235 (Investing.com, 31 August 2026).

MarketScreener (consensus overview)

MarketScreener reports an average 12-month target of $286.44 across 29 analysts, with estimates ranging from $170–$368. The consensus rating is described as buy, with the spread reflecting different expectations around GTA VI and post-launch bookings (MarketScreener, 9 September 2026).

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Take-Two Interactive latest earnings

Take-Two Interactive reported fiscal first-quarter 2027 results, covering the period ended 30 June 2026, on 7 August. GAAP net revenue rose 2% to $1.53bn from $1.50bn a year earlier. Net Bookings, a non-GAAP measure covering products and services sold during the period, fell 3% to $1.39bn from $1.42bn but exceeded the company's $1.32bn–$1.37bn guidance range.

The company reported a GAAP net loss of $34.1m, or $0.18 per share, compared with a loss of $0.07 per share a year earlier. Take-Two attributed the result partly to a $43.4m impairment linked to a cancelled unannounced title. Recurrent consumer spending, which includes ongoing purchases within existing titles, represented 84% of Net Bookings, with contributions from franchises including NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto.

For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, Take-Two guided Net Bookings to $1.62bn–$1.67bn. It also reiterated full-year guidance of $8bn–$8.2bn, including anticipated contributions from Grand Theft Auto VI, scheduled for release on 19 November 2026 (Business Wire, 7 August 2026).

According to Investing.com, the company's next quarterly earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026 (Investing.com, accessed 10 September 2026).

Stronger bookings or recurrent spending could support expectations for the year, while weaker performance or changes to the release schedule could put pressure on them.

TTWO stock price: technical overview

As of 1:28pm UTC on 10 September 2026, the TTWO stock price trades at $212.91, below its 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages at around $230, $238, $231 and $228 respectively, according to TradingView. This places the share price below both shorter- and longer-term moving-average references.

The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is near 29, below the commonly watched 30 threshold. The average directional index (ADX) is around 25, indicating some trend strength without showing its direction. The stochastic %K near 8 and Williams %R near -93 also sit towards the lower ends of their respective ranges.

Above the current price, the classic pivot and 100-day SMA both sit near $231, followed by R1 around $245 and R2 near $271. Below the market, S1 around $205 provides the next classic pivot reference.

A move higher could bring $231 and $245 into focus, while further declines could shift attention towards $205. These technical levels are reference points rather than predictions (TradingView, 10 September 2026).

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO): Capital.com analyst view

Take-Two Interactive's share-price performance in 2026 has closely reflected expectations around Grand Theft Auto VI, alongside company results and developments surrounding leaked footage. Shares reached record levels earlier in the year before retreating from their July peak. Fiscal first-quarter Net Bookings of $1.39bn exceeded company guidance, although they declined 3% year on year.

The scheduled 19 November GTA VI release is now a key company-specific event for the outlook, although its eventual effect on the shares remains uncertain. Stronger-than-expected sales, engagement or recurrent spending could support revenue and earnings expectations. A delay, weaker bookings or launch-related disruption could have the opposite effect.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Summary – Take-Two Interactive 2026

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most Take-Two Interactive stock?

This article does not identify Take-Two Interactive's largest shareholder or provide a detailed ownership breakdown. Its focus is on the company's share price, earnings, Grand Theft Auto VI, technical indicators and third-party analyst forecasts. Ownership can change as institutions and other investors adjust their holdings, so current company filings or shareholder disclosures would need to be checked separately to establish which investor currently holds the largest position.

What is the five-year Take-Two Interactive share price forecast?

The article does not provide a five-year TTWO stock forecast. The third-party estimates cited here focus on 12-month targets, ranging from $170–$368. Longer-term forecasts carry additional uncertainty because GTA VI performance, recurrent consumer spending, future releases, margins and wider gaming demand can change over time. These targets should therefore be treated as analyst estimates rather than reliable predictions of where Take-Two shares may trade several years from now.

Is Take-Two Interactive a good stock to buy?

This article does not classify Take-Two Interactive as a good or bad stock to buy. Stronger-than-expected GTA VI sales, engagement or recurrent spending could support revenue and earnings expectations, while delays, weaker bookings or launch disruption could weigh on them. Analyst targets also vary widely, reflecting different assumptions about post-launch performance. These factors can help provide context, but they do not amount to a recommendation to buy, sell or hold the shares.

Could Take-Two Interactive stock go up or down?

Yes. Take-Two Interactive shares could move in either direction as expectations around GTA VI and future earnings develop. Strong launch sales, sustained player engagement or higher recurrent spending could support sentiment and earnings forecasts. By contrast, delays, weaker-than-expected bookings, launch disruption or softer engagement could weigh on the price. Technical levels and analyst targets may provide reference points, but neither can reliably predict how the shares will move.

Should I invest in Take-Two Interactive stock?

Whether Take-Two Interactive shares are suitable for you depends on your objectives, circumstances and tolerance for risk, and this article does not provide investment advice. Relevant factors include the GTA VI release, post-launch bookings, recurrent consumer spending, future earnings and the company's ability to meet guidance. Each may influence the share price positively or negatively, while unexpected company, sector or broader market developments can also change the outlook.

Can I trade Take-Two Interactive CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade Take-Two Interactive CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.

Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. The present material must be regarded as marketing communication and should not be interpreted as investment research or investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. We do not make any representations or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the information that is provided on this page. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk