HomeMarket analysisPoste Italiane stock forecast: Third-party price targets

Poste Italiane stock forecast: Third-party price targets

Poste Italiane is a publicly listed Italian company that provides postal, logistics, payments, insurance and financial services, with shares traded on Borsa Italiana and a significant state ownership stake. Explore PST price action, third-party price targets and technical analysis.
By Dan Mitchell
Poste Italiane stock forecast
Photo: Shutterstock.com

Poste Italiane S.p.A. (PST) is trading around €22.07, within an intraday range of approximately €21.85–€22.13 as of 4:13pm UTC on 19 January 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The stock is trading amid a broadly stable domestic rates backdrop, with the Italy 10-year government bond yield hovering near 3.43%, only slightly higher on the day and still below levels seen a month earlier (Trading Economics, 19 January 2026). Company-specific news flow includes recognition for Poste Italiane as a 'Top Employer' for 2026 (Poste Italiane, 15 January 2026) and communication on changes to pricing for its SPID digital identity service from the start of 2026, both of which keep attention focused on the group’s role in Italy’s digital and employment landscape (Ground News, 2 January 2026).

Poste Italiane stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets

Third-party Poste Italiane stock predictions typically refer to expected levels over the next 12 months rather than specific year-end prices and remain subject to revision as estimates are updated. Across major data providers, consensus estimates show broadly similar ranges, with variations reflecting different modelling assumptions and macro views.

Yahoo Finance (consensus screen)

Yahoo Finance, citing 16 analysts, reports an average 12-month Poste Italiane target of about €21.46, with a range from roughly €16.50 to €22.14. The summary notes this spread as analysts weigh execution on strategy and earnings progression amid broader moves in Italian financials (Yahoo Finance, 16 January 2026).

Simply Wall St (valuation and consensus overview)

Simply Wall St states that 16 analysts covering Poste Italiane have a 12-month price target consensus referenced against a share price of about €22.14, with the average target near €21.5 and low estimates around €16.5. The service notes this range as analysts balance valuation metrics with expectations for future profitability and capital returns (Simply Wall St, 16 January 2026).

Fintel (aggregated broker targets)

Fintel’s forecast dashboard cites an average one-year Poste Italiane price target of €21.89, with individual forecasts spanning from €16.66 to €25.72. The platform attributes the dispersion in targets to differing assumptions on revenue growth, earnings per share and return on equity over the next several years (Fintel, 19 January 2026).

Investing.com (analyst forecast snapshot)

Investing.com’s consensus estimates page reports that 17 analysts have an average 12-month price target for Poste Italiane around €21.46, with high and low estimates of roughly €24.50 and €16.50 respectively. The overview links these forecasts to assumptions about Italy’s macro backdrop, interest-rate conditions and Poste Italiane’s ability to deliver on its strategic and dividend plans (Investing.com, 19 January 2026).

TradingView (analyst forecast band)

TradingView’s PST stock forecast page summarises external analyst opinions with an average price target of around €21.54, a maximum target estimate of €24.50 and a minimum of €16.50 over the coming 12 months. The platform notes that this band reflects mixed views on upside potential after the share price’s gains in the prior year, while Italian equities and rates remain closely watched (TradingView, 19 January 2026).

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

PST stock price: Technical overview

The PST stock price trades near €22.07 as of 4:13pm UTC on 19 January 2026, holding above its key simple moving-average cluster, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs around €21.77, €21.15, €20.67 and €19.50 respectively. This keeps the price above longer-term trend measures. The 14-day RSI at about 60.7 sits in the upper-neutral zone, while an ADX near 31 signals an established trend backdrop rather than a range-bound phase.

On the topside, the nearest classic pivot resistance comes in around €22.07 (R1), with a daily close above that area bringing the €22.66 region (R2) into focus as the next reference zone. On pullbacks, initial support sits near the €21.09 classic pivot, with the 100-day SMA around €20.67 acting as the first notable moving-average shelf. A sustained move below this level could expose the €20.50 S1 area (TradingView, 19 January 2026).

This technical analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Poste Italiane share price history (2024–2026)

PST’s stock price has climbed sharply over the past two years, moving from around €10.22 at the close on 22 January 2024 to €22.07 by 19 January 2026. Over that period, the stock trended higher in stages, first advancing through the €12–€14 area in 2024, then accelerating from roughly €16–€19 in the first half of 2025 before pushing above €20 from late June and finishing 2025 near €21.55. By mid-January 2026, the price was consolidating just above €22, with recent daily ranges mostly holding between about €21.60 and €22.60.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Poste Italiane (PST): Capital.com analyst view

Poste Italiane’s share price has delivered strong gains over the past two years, rising from around €10 in early 2024 to trade above €22 by 19 January 2026 on Capital.com’s platform. This performance has unfolded alongside continued expansion across the group’s diversified business model – spanning mail, parcels, financial services and insurance – and Italy’s gradual economic expansion. Poste Italiane has also emphasised its role as a strategic pillar for the country and reported growing revenues and profitability in recent updates. At the same time, a higher share price and market capitalisation can make investors more sensitive to any disappointment in earnings, regulation or macro data, meaning strong past gains may also increase the scope for sharper reactions to negative news.

From a fundamental perspective, factors that could support interest in the stock include Poste Italiane’s extensive nationwide network, its mix of recurring fee and interest income, and its positioning in payments, insurance and parcel logistics, which some investors see as linked to ongoing digitalisation and e-commerce trends. However, this exposure also means the business remains sensitive to shifts in Italian growth, consumer confidence, interest-rate conditions and competition, while changes in postal or financial regulation could weigh on profitability as readily as they could create new opportunities.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Capital.com’s client sentiment for Poste Italiane CFDs

As of 19 January 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Poste Italiane CFDs is currently skewed towards longs, with buyers at 95% versus sellers at 5%, placing buyers ahead by 90 percentage points. This indicates a heavily one-sided positioning snapshot rather than a balanced market. The data reflects open positions on Capital.com and can change.

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Summary – Poste Italiane 2026

  • Poste Italiane traded around €22.07 on 19 January 2026, near the upper end of its recent intraday range between roughly €21.85 and €22.23.
  • Over the past two years, the share price has risen from about €10 in early 2024 to above €22, moving steadily through the €12–€14 area in 2024 and above €20 from mid-2025.
  • Technical indicators show PST holding above its 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs around €21.77, €21.15, €20.67 and €19.50, with RSI near 60.7 and an established trend backdrop.
  • External analyst 12-month targets generally cluster in the €19.5–€21.5 range, based on multiple third-party consensus snapshots captured in late 2025 and January 2026.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns most of Poste Italiane stock?

Poste Italiane has a mixed ownership structure, with a significant portion held by the Italian state through the Ministry of Economy and Finance, alongside institutional and retail investors. The government stake reflects Poste Italiane’s strategic role in Italy’s postal, financial and payments infrastructure. The remaining shares form the free float and trade on the open market, meaning ownership can change over time as investors buy and sell shares.

What is the five-year Poste Italiane share price forecast?

There is no widely published or reliable five-year PST stock forecast, as most analyst estimates typically focus on a 12-month horizon. Longer-term projections involve greater uncertainty and depend on assumptions about earnings growth, regulation, interest rates and Italy’s economic outlook. As a result, longer-dated forecasts can vary significantly and are subject to change. Past performance and shorter-term targets should not be relied on as indicators of future outcomes.

Is Poste Italiane a good stock to buy?

Whether Poste Italiane is considered a 'good' stock depends on an individual’s objectives, time horizon and tolerance for risk. The company operates across diversified areas such as mail, parcels, payments, insurance and financial services, which some investors view as supporting revenue stability. However, the share price is also influenced by regulation, competition, interest rates and broader macroeconomic conditions. Any evaluation should weigh both potential opportunities and risks rather than focusing on past performance alone.

Could Poste Italiane stock go up or down?

Like any listed share, Poste Italiane’s stock price can move both up and down. Changes may reflect company earnings, guidance, regulation, interest-rate expectations and wider market sentiment, particularly within Italian equities. External factors such as macroeconomic data or shifts in investor positioning can also influence short-term price movements. As a result, forecasts are uncertain and outcomes may differ from analyst expectations or historical patterns.

Should I invest in Poste Italiane stock?

This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Deciding whether to invest in Poste Italiane stock depends on your personal financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance. Shares can fluctuate in value, and investors may not get back the amount they invest. Carrying out independent research and, where appropriate, seeking professional advice may be useful before making investment decisions.

Can I trade Poste Italiane CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade Poste Italiane CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

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