Avio stock forecast: Third-party price targets
Avio is an Italian aerospace company listed on Borsa Italiana, operating in space propulsion and launcher systems, with its share price influenced by company developments, sector conditions and market sentiment. Explore AVIO price action, third-party price targets and technical analysis.
Avio S.p.A. (AVIO) is trading around €38.11 as of 2:24pm UTC on 21 January 2026, moving within an intraday range of approximately €37.76–€39.26 on Capital.com’s feed, which places the stock closer to the middle of the session range than to either extreme. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The move comes amid sustained interest in European aerospace and defence names after a strong start to 2026 for the sector. The Morningstar Developed Europe Aerospace & Defense Index is reported to be up nearly 13% year to date (Morningstar, 15 January 2026), while Avio has recently highlighted expected launcher-related contracts following record subscriptions at the 2025 ESA Ministerial Council (Avio, 5 December 2025).
Avio stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 21 January 2026, third-party Avio stock predictions indicate a cluster of 12-month objectives modestly above the current spot level, based on published consensus data and broker estimate summaries. These third-party figures reflect expectations for continued participation in European aerospace and defence demand, alongside Avio’s stated growth and capital plans.
MarketWatch (consensus target)
MarketWatch reports that the average 12-month target price for Avio’s U.S.-listed line (AVVOF) stands around $40, based on five analyst ratings covering the 2025 financial year. The service frames this consensus against existing earnings estimates and rating distribution, as analysts weigh Avio’s order backlog, capital increase plan and broader sector exposure (MarketWatch, 15 January 2026).
Simply Wall St (model-based forecast)
Simply Wall St notes that its tracked analyst price target for Avio was most recently adjusted to approximately €44.38, following a prior decrease of about 9.1%, using a DCF- and fundamentals-based approach. The report explains that this valuation reflects assumptions around revenue growth, profitability and reinvestment following Avio’s medium-term strategy and capital plan, set against a supportive European defence and space backdrop (Simply Wall St, 21 January 2026).
Investing.com (consensus snapshot)
Investing.com shows a consensus in which five analysts project an average 12-month target around €43.30 per share on a different nominal price scale at the time, with individual estimates ranging between €34 and €66.50. The summary references an overall 'Strong Buy' or positive stance, attributing these figures to surveyed broker expectations for Avio’s earnings trajectory, order book and sector backdrop, while highlighting that targets and recommendations may evolve as new information becomes available (Investing.com, 21 January 2026).
StocksGuide (aggregate price target)
StocksGuide reports that analysts following Avio assign an average target price of around €40.29 for 2026, based on seven contributing estimates. The service notes that this implies moderate upside relative to its referenced spot level, as brokers assess Avio’s planned capital increase, order backlog and positioning in European defence and space propulsion markets (StocksGuide, 21 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
AVIO stock price: Technical overview
The AVIO stock price is trading around €38.11 as of 2:24pm UTC on 21 January 2026, holding above its short- and medium-term moving-average band. The 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are clustered around approximately €34, €30, €33 and €26 respectively, leaving the broader trend tilted to the upside. The 14-day RSI, at around 70.5, screens as stretched, while an ADX near 43 points to an established trend rather than a range-bound backdrop.
On the topside, the nearest classic pivot to watch is R1 around €31.95, with R2 near €34.55 coming into view on any sustained daily close above those reference levels. On pullbacks, the classic pivot at roughly €27.75 marks initial support, with the 100-day SMA near €32.97 providing a key moving-average shelf. S1 around €25.15 represents the next downside reference if that zone were to give way on a closing basis (TradingVIew, 21 January 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Avio share price history (2024–2026)
AVIO’s stock price has been volatile over the past two years, with a sharp rally in late 2025 followed by a pullback into early 2026. The stock climbed from around €36–€40 in mid-September 2025 to a closing high of €64.27 on 9 October 2025, before retreating through November and December to finish the year at €29.38 on 30 December 2025. By 21 January 2026, Avio had rebounded, closing at €38.29, leaving it well below its October peak but comfortably above the late-December lows.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Avio: Capital.com analyst view
Avio’s share price over the past year has shown both sharp swings and periods of consolidation, with a strong run-up into early October 2025 followed by a steep correction and then a gradual recovery into January 2026. The move from October highs above €60 back towards the high-€20s by late December, and then into the high-€30s by 21 January 2026, illustrates how quickly sentiment around aerospace and defence names can change as investors reassess earnings prospects, funding plans and broader risk appetite.
Several factors could influence Avio’s price from here, including execution of its growth strategy, sector-wide demand for space and defence propulsion, and shifts in market conditions such as interest rates or equity risk sentiment. Strong contract visibility or supportive sector developments could underpin the shares, while delays, cost pressures, funding risks or a change in risk appetite could weigh on the price and contribute to continued volatility for both short- and longer-term traders.
Summary – Avio 2026
- Avio traded within a wide range during 2025, with closing prices moving from the mid-€30s in September to highs above €60 in early October before retreating into year-end.
- Following the October spike, the share price trended lower, ending December 2025 in the high-€20s, underscoring elevated volatility linked to sector news and funding developments.
- By 21 January 2026, Avio had recovered into the high-€30s, leaving the stock well below its October 2025 peak but clearly above the December lows.
- Technical readings show the price trading above clustered 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages, with a stretched 14-day RSI above 70 and an ADX above 40 indicating a strong, established trend.
- Key potential drivers include Avio’s execution of its growth and capital-increase strategy, order flow linked to space and defence programmes, and shifts in broader equity risk sentiment, each of which could influence the share price in different scenarios.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Avio stock?
Avio’s shareholder structure includes a mix of strategic and institutional investors rather than a single dominant retail holder. A significant stake is held by Leonardo, the Italian aerospace and defence group, which represents Avio’s largest shareholder. The remaining shares are largely free-floating and held by institutional investors and the public. Shareholder positions can change over time, particularly following capital increases, corporate actions or shifts in institutional holdings.
What is the 5 year Avio share price forecast?
There is no widely published or consistent five-year share price forecast for Avio from analysts. Most third-party projections focus on shorter horizons, typically around 12 months, reflecting the uncertainty involved in longer-term forecasting. Over a multi-year period, Avio’s share price may be influenced by factors such as execution of its strategy, demand for space and defence propulsion, funding decisions, and broader market conditions, all of which can evolve materially over time.
Is Avio a good stock to buy?
Whether Avio is considered a good stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. Analysts covering the company publish a range of price targets based on differing assumptions around growth, contracts and funding. However, shares in aerospace and defence companies can be volatile and sensitive to news flow. Information provided by analysts reflects opinions rather than guarantees and should not be interpreted as a recommendation.
Could Avio stock go up or down?
Yes, Avio’s share price could move in either direction. Like most listed equities, it responds to company-specific developments, sector trends and broader market sentiment. Factors such as contract announcements, execution risks, cost pressures, capital-raising activity or shifts in defence spending expectations can influence price movements. Past volatility in Avio’s shares illustrates that both gains and losses are possible, and outcomes remain uncertain.
Should I invest in Avio stock?
This article does not provide investment advice, and whether to invest in Avio is a personal decision. Investing in shares involves risk, including the potential loss of capital. Before making any decision, individuals typically consider their financial situation, objectives and risk appetite, and may choose to seek independent advice. Analyst forecasts and historical performance can provide context, but they do not predict future results or guarantee outcomes.
Can I trade Avio CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Avio CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.