Solana price prediction: Alpenglow upgrade and SOL price

Solana (SOL) is the native token of the Solana blockchain. Its price movements follow the launch of the Alpenglow consensus upgrade. Explore third-party SOL price targets and technical analysis. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

By Dan Mitchell18 hours ago Updated

Photo: Zeedign.com / Shutterstock.com

Solana (SOL/USD) last traded at $94.19 as of 12:15pm UTC on 2 November 2026, within an intraday range of $93.63–$96, near the session low. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Broader cryptocurrency markets experienced volatility following Binance's $6.3bn security breach, ahead of the 3 November US midterm elections (Bloomberg, 29 October 2026). Meanwhile, 24/7 Wall St reported that large holders transferred $111m in SOL to Coinbase Institutional on 31 October (24/7 Wall St, 31 October 2026).

Third-party Solana forecast 2026–2030

As of 2 November 2026, third-party SOL price predictions include algorithmic estimates, scenario ranges and conditional outlooks rather than broker ratings.

Solana price prediction 2026

CoinLore projects a base-case price of $65.95 by the end of 2026, with bearish and bullish scenarios of $39.57 and $267.06 respectively (CoinLore, 2 November 2026).
Crypto News projects a November 2026 base case of $108.35, with bearish and bullish scenarios of $92.10 and $130.02 respectively (crypto.news, 2 November 2026).
CoinDataFlow forecasts a 2026 price range of $67.76–$103.16 (CoinDataFlow, 2 November 2026).
Coinpedia outlines a potential 2026 trading range of $75–$200 for SOL (Coinpedia, 26 October 2026).

Solana price prediction 2027

CoinLore projects a 2027 base-case price of $86.23, with bearish and bullish scenarios of $51.74 and $810.73 respectively (CoinLore, 2 November 2026).
Crypto News projects a 2027 base-case price of $127.13, with bearish and bullish scenarios of $88.99 and $177.98 respectively (crypto.news, 2 November 2026).
CoinDataFlow forecasts a 2027 trading range of $65.24–$171.40, with an average price of $118.32 (CoinDataFlow, 2 November 2026).
Coinpedia forecasts a 2027 average price of $320, within a range of $180–$600 (Coinpedia, 26 October 2026).

Solana price prediction 2030

CoinLore models a 2030 base-case price of $164.08, with bearish and bullish scenarios of $98.45 and $664.49 respectively (CoinLore, 2 November 2026).
Crypto News models a 2030 base-case price of $301.34, with bearish and bullish scenarios of $210.94 and $421.88 respectively (crypto.news, 2 November 2026).
CoinDataFlow projects a 2030 range of $219.98–$636.02, with an average price of $428.00, using cycle-based modelling (CoinDataFlow, 2 November 2026).
Coinpedia projects a 2030 average price of $1,200, within a range of $880–$1,400 (Coinpedia, 26 October 2026).

Solana predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Is Solana a good investment? Third-party analyst views

Third-party views on SOL as an investment vary:

Grayscale Research: Solana's activity across decentralised finance (DeFi), payments and tokenised assets could support long-term network growth. However, competition and network infrastructure requirements present risks (Grayscale, 26 June 2026).
21Shares: Solana's network revenue fell 87% year on year in the first half of 2026, despite growth in stablecoin and tokenised-asset activity. Competition and reliance on trading-related fees could affect future revenue (21Shares, 1 September 2026).
Bitwise: Institutional investors surveyed generally held smaller SOL positions over shorter periods, with investment decisions dependent on whether the network generates value for the token (Bitwise, 23 September 2026).

Third-party views are not investment recommendations. Whether SOL is suitable depends on your circumstances, objectives and risk tolerance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Solana technical analysis

The SOL/USD price trades below its 20-, 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs), at approximately $101, $109 and $98 respectively, but above the 200-day SMA near $89.

The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) reads 28.74, below the conventional oversold threshold of 30. The 14-day average directional index (ADX) stands at 32.39, indicating an established trend without specifying its direction.

On the upside, the 100-day SMA near $98 provides an initial technical reference, followed by the classic pivot at $104. Beyond these levels, R1 stands at $115 and R2 at $135.

On the downside, the 200-day SMA near $89 provides a potential support reference, followed by S1 at $84. A break below the 200-day average could bring S1 into focus, although these levels cannot reliably predict future price movements (TradingView, 2 November 2026).

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Solana price history (2025–2026)

SOL/USD CFDs started 2025 around $194 in January and climbed towards a two-year high of approximately $294.87 later that month. The price subsequently fell below $100 during the spring before recovering above $200 in August and September.

The recovery faded towards year-end, with SOL closing 2025 near $124.66, approximately 58% below its January high.

In 2026, Solana opened around $127 and reached an annual high near $148 before declining through the spring. The token fell towards $60 in early June, then recovered above $100 during July and August. It approached $125 in early October before retreating to $94.19 by 2 November 2026, well below its January 2025 high.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Prices are indicative and may differ from live market prices.

Latest Solana news and market developments

Alpenglow upgrade launch

Solana's Alpenglow consensus upgrade went live on 21 October 2026, reducing transaction finality from around 12.8 seconds to a 150-millisecond target, according to its developers (Crypto News, 27 October 2026).

Coinbase transfers

On 31 October, two wallets transferred approximately $111m in SOL to Coinbase Institutional, according to Whale Alert. The transfers could reflect planned sales or changes in custody arrangements, although neither has been confirmed (Whale Alert, Whale Alert, 31 October 2026).

Solana ETFs

US spot Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded approximately $71.5m in net outflows during the week ending 30 October, according to SoSoValue data (CryptoTicker, 1 November 2026).

$6.3bn Binance hack

Binance began resuming withdrawals in phases on 1 November following its $6.3bn security breach, amid wider cryptocurrency market volatility (Reuters, 1 November 2026). Bitcoin traded above $78,000 and Ether around $2,287 on 2 November (Rappler, 2 November 2026).

Capital.com analyst view: Solana

Continued ETP outflows could weigh on demand for SOL, while stabilising flows may ease that pressure. Large transfers to exchanges could indicate potential selling, but may also reflect changes in custody arrangements. Regulatory developments could affect institutional access and compliance costs.

Greater use of the Solana network could support demand for SOL, although improved performance would not necessarily lead to higher prices. Solana has historically experienced sizeable price movements in both directions, and neither technical indicators nor network developments can reliably predict future performance.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Capital.com’s client sentiment for Solana CFDs

As of 2 November 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Solana CFDs shows 94.6% buyers and 5.4% sellers. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com as of 2 November 2026 and can change. It does not indicate future price direction.

Summary – Solana (2026)

Solana traded at $94.19 as of 12:15pm UTC on 2 November 2026, within an intraday range of $93.63–$96, near the session low.
According to TradingView data, technical readings place SOL below its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages but above the 200-day SMA, while the 14-day RSI of 28.74 indicates oversold conditions.
Relevant price drivers include ETP flows, large exchange transfers, network upgrades and broader cryptocurrency sentiment, each of which could influence SOL in either direction.
Recent news centres on the Alpenglow consensus upgrade, $111m in SOL transfers to Coinbase Institutional and wider cryptocurrency volatility following Binance's $6.3bn security breach.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most Solana?

Solana is a decentralised blockchain network without a single owner or controlling shareholder. SOL tokens are held by individuals, institutions, exchanges and ecosystem participants. Among publicly tracked corporate treasuries, Forward Industries has reported holdings of approximately 8.63 million SOL, although this does not establish it as the largest overall owner. Some large wallet addresses also hold tokens on behalf of customers, making beneficial ownership difficult to determine. Holdings and ownership concentrations can change over time.

How much SOL is there?

Solana had approximately 590 million SOL in circulation in early November 2026, out of a total supply of around 637 million. Unlike Bitcoin, Solana has no fixed maximum supply. New tokens enter circulation through network inflation, which follows a declining issuance schedule designed to reach a long-term annual rate of 1.5%. Staking participation and token releases can affect circulating supply, while changes in supply do not necessarily determine future price movements.

What could affect Solana’s (SOL) price by 2030?

Third-party forecasts cited in this article vary considerably. For 2030, CoinLore gives a base case of $164.08, crypto.news projects $301.34, and CoinDataFlow estimates an average of $428. Coinpedia projects $1,200, within an $880–$1,400 range. These figures reflect different models and assumptions rather than a consensus price target. Solana's future price will depend on network adoption, cryptocurrency market conditions and other developments that forecasts cannot reliably predict.

Is Solana better than XRP?

Solana and XRP serve different purposes, so neither is necessarily better. Solana supports smart contracts, decentralised applications and payments, while XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, which focuses on payments and asset transfers. Solana's Alpenglow upgrade may improve transaction processing, although network performance alone does not determine SOL's price. Comparing the two as investments also involves adoption, token supply, regulatory developments and market conditions. Neither token offers guaranteed returns.

Could Solana’s price go up or down?

Yes. Solana's price could rise if network adoption increases, the Alpenglow upgrade supports greater usage or institutional demand improves. Stabilising exchange-traded product (ETP) flows could also support sentiment. Conversely, continued outflows, weaker cryptocurrency markets, regulatory restrictions or large token sales could put pressure on SOL. Transfers to exchanges may indicate potential selling, although they can also reflect custody changes. Technical indicators provide further context but cannot reliably predict future price direction.

Is Solana a good investment?

Whether to invest in Solana depends on your financial circumstances, objectives, risk tolerance and investment horizon. Network upgrades and growing adoption could influence longer-term demand, but competition, regulatory developments, institutional flows and broader cryptocurrency volatility present risks. Solana has experienced substantial price movements in both directions, while third-party forecasts vary considerably. These estimates cannot establish future returns, and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. This information does not constitute investment advice.

Can I trade Solana CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade Solana CFDs on Capital.com. Trading crypto CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.