MongoDB stock forecast 2025-2050: Third-party MDB price target

As of 28 August 2025, MongoDB (MDB) shares were trading at $295.70 – an increase of 26% since January and 24% higher than a year earlier. The stock has moved between $140.78 and $370 over the past 12 months, reflecting optimism around AI-related demand and ongoing concerns about valuation.

Where could MDB go next? This article examines third-party MongoDB share price forecasts from 2025 through to 2050, along with the key factors likely to influence future price movements.

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Current MongoDB price and market position

MongoDB (MDB) is a New York-based software company best known for its open-source, document-oriented database introduced in 2009. Its flagship managed service, MongoDB Atlas, now accounts for the majority of revenue and is available across AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. The company’s subscription model has supported the development of a recurring revenue base as demand for scalable, cloud-native databases has grown.

In recent years, MongoDB has expanded into AI-related applications, investing in features such as vector search and advanced multi-cloud deployment. Partnerships with major hyperscalers have strengthened adoption, while Atlas continues to drive customer growth across enterprises and start-ups.

By mid-2025, MongoDB reported more than 50,000 global customers and annualised revenue above $2.1bn, with Atlas contributing around 65% of total sales. The company achieved non-GAAP profitability in 2023 and has since focused on balancing growth with margin improvement. Its current market capitalisation is about $24.16bn

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

MDB stock forecast for 2025 and beyond

As of 28 August 2025, third-party forecasts suggested a mixed outlook for MongoDB (MDB). Trading Economics projected that MDB could trade at $216.15 by the end of the quarter, easing to $207.64 over the following year.

Consensus MDB price targets

Analyst views remained divided. A MarketBeat survey of 38 ratings produced a ‘moderate buy’ consensus, with an average MongoDB price target of $307.71. Estimates ranged from $170 to $430. TipRanks, which compiled 22 analyst views, indicated a stronger ‘buy’ consensus with an average 12-month forecast of $311.74, ranging from $225 to $425.

MongoDB technical analysis

From a technical perspective, a TradingView summary of one-month indicators suggested a ‘buy’ inclination. Of 22 signals, nine indicated ‘buy’, 10 were ‘neutral’, and three pointed to ‘sell’.

Algorithmic MongoDB stock predictions

CoinCodex projected that the MDB price in 2025 could average $364.41, within a range of $281.89 to $412.33. Its longer-term projections were less positive, with estimates of around $209.88 in 2026 and $113.72 by 2030. Forecasts for 2040 and 2050 suggested further downside, underlining the uncertainty of long-range modelling.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Analyst and algorithmic forecasts may be inaccurate, depend on historical data and should not be used as a substitute for independent research. Always conduct due diligence before trading and avoid risking more than you can afford to lose.

MDB stock price predictions: Analyst outlook

As of 28 August 2025, analysts issued a wide range of 12-month targets for MongoDB (MDB):

• Bernstein: raised its target to $338 from $319 with a ‘buy’ rating.
• Mizuho Securities: lifted its target to $250 from $210, maintaining ‘hold’.
• Morgan Stanley: increased its target to $325 from $255, reiterating ‘buy’.
• Piper Sandler: moved its target to $345 from $275, keeping ‘buy’.
• Scotiabank: raised its target to $280 from $230 with a ‘hold’ rating.
• Bank of America Securities: lifted its target to $345 from $275, reiterating ‘buy’.
• Citi: increased its target to $425 from $405 with a ‘buy’ rating.
• Goldman Sachs: reaffirmed a $325 target.

Morningstar senior equity analyst Luke Yang commented: ‘We recognise the potential of MongoDB’s role in the AI application development workflow, but believe the market is overly exuberant following the 28% after-hours surge.’ He added that while net revenue retention remained stable at 119% and multi-year deals supported quarterly outperformance, MongoDB still faces challenges in displacing relational databases at scale. Morningstar raised its fair value estimate to $222 from $197, while maintaining a ‘no-moat’ rating.

What could influence MongoDB’s share price?

MongoDB’s share price may be influenced by company-specific factors as well as wider market conditions.

Financial results and guidance

Quarterly earnings remain a key driver for MDB. Revenue growth, margin improvements, and stronger forecasts can support the stock, while weaker-than-expected results or cautious guidance may weigh on performance.

AI adoption and demand trends

MongoDB has positioned its platform for AI-related workloads. Strong uptake of Atlas features such as vector search could support investor sentiment, while slower adoption or gains by competitors may act as a drag.

Product development and innovation

Platform enhancements and new tools that improve the developer experience can stimulate institutional demand. However, execution risks or delays in launching new capabilities may undermine investor confidence.

Sector and peer performance

MDB often trades in line with broader software peers. Movements across technology stocks, shifts between growth and value strategies, or sector-wide risk-off periods can influence its share price, regardless of fundamentals.

Macroeconomic backdrop

Interest rate policy, inflation and growth expectations play an important role in how investors value growth stocks. Lower rates may support MDB’s valuation, while tighter policy or recession risks can create downward pressure.

Analyst ratings and fund flows

Changes in analyst recommendations, institutional positions and ETF flows can affect short-term price moves. Positive coverage and inflows into technology funds may provide support, while downgrades or large-scale selling can increase volatility.

Competitive dynamics

The database market remains highly competitive. Wins against established rivals or stronger partnerships could strengthen MongoDB’s position, while increased pressure from other cloud-native databases may weigh on its outlook.

Trade MongoDB share CFDs with Capital.com.

MDB shares trading strategies to consider

There are various approaches to trading MongoDB CFDs, depending on timeframe and market conditions. Applying risk-management tools – such as stop-loss* and take-profit orders – may help manage exposure when trading share CFDs like MDB.

Here are some common MongoDB CFD trading strategies:

• Day trading: focuses on intraday price movements, often reacting to earnings announcements, news releases, or shifts in market sentiment.

• Swing trading: targets medium-term moves, with positions typically held for several days to capture changes in momentum.

• Trend trading: follows the prevailing direction of the MDB price, using indicators and longer-term charts to identify potential continuation or reversal patterns.

• Position trading: adopts a longer outlook, holding trades for weeks or months to capture broader market trends.

*Please note that stop-loss orders aren’t guaranteed. Guaranteed stop-loss orders (GSLOs) incur a fee if triggered.

Discover more approaches on our CFD trading strategies page.

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