Tesla stock forecast: Third-party TSLA price target

Discover the Tesla (TSLA) share price forecast for 2025 and beyond, with third-party analysts’ price targets and more.

By Dan Mitchell14:42 (UTC), 5 September 2025 Updated

Tesla stock forecast: third-party Tesla (TSLA) price target — What can investors expect from Tesla stock in five years? – Photo: Roschetzky Photography / Shutterstock

As of 3 September 2025, Tesla (TSLA) shares were trading at around $324 – down about 17% since January, but still above mid-2024 levels. The stock remains well below its 2021 peak, though steady vehicle deliveries, energy projects, and developments in AI have kept Tesla in focus with traders and analysts.

Where could TSLA move next? In this guide, we review a range of third-party Tesla stock forecasts for 2025-2050, along with the key factors that could influence its future performance.

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Current Tesla price and market position

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a global electric vehicle and clean energy company founded in 2003. It produces cars, battery storage systems, and renewable energy solutions, with recent investments in robotics and AI infrastructure. The company has expanded its Gigafactory network across North America, Europe, and Asia, supporting large-scale vehicle and battery production.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Tesla (TSLA) closed at $329.36 on 2 September 2025, compared with $390.10 at the start of the year and $214.11 in late August 2024. The stock has traded between $488.54 and $209.64 in the past 52 weeks. Tesla’s market capitalisation was about $1.08 trillion.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

TSLA stock forecast for 2025 and beyond

As of 3 September 2025, third-party analysts presented a mixed outlook for Tesla. Trading Economics projected TSLA at $330.23 by quarter-end, easing to $319.55 within 12 months.

Consensus TSLA price targets

Broker surveys suggested a cautious stance. TipRanks, tracking 35 analysts, reported a ‘hold’ consensus with an average 12-month forecast of $306.42. Estimates ranged from a low of $19.05 to a high of $500.00.

Tesla technical analysis

For a short-term view, TradingView’s summary of 24 one-month TSLA indicators showed a bullish tilt. Of these, 13 signalled ‘buy’, 10 were ‘neutral’ and one suggested ‘sell’.

Algorithmic Tesla stock predictions

Models indicated a wide spread of outcomes. CoinCodex’s 2025 forecast averaged $143.11, with potential moves between $330.85 and $555.99. Benzinga’s dataset suggested a narrower range, averaging $340.37. Longer-term CoinCodex projections placed the average at $860.99 by 2040 and $2,585.04 by 2050.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Analyst and algorithmic predictions can be inaccurate and rely on historical data. They should not replace independent research. Always conduct due diligence before trading and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

Tesla stock price predictions: Analyst outlook

As of 3 September 2025, analysts maintained a wide range of views on the TSLA forecast, according to Business Insider data:

Wedbush Morgan Securities reiterated its ‘buy’ rating with a $500 target on 4 August.

China Renaissance downgraded the stock to ‘hold’ on 25 July, with a $349 target.

Cantor Fitzgerald maintained a ‘buy’ rating on 24 July with a $355 target.

Needham & Company kept a ‘hold’ stance the same day without disclosing a target.

Guggenheim reiterated its ‘sell’ rating on 23 July with a $175 target.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch maintained ‘hold’ on 21 July with a $341 target.

Morningstar reported that Tesla shares had fallen 19.8% in 2025, following two quarters of weaker sales and ongoing controversy linked to CEO Elon Musk. Joseph Dennison, portfolio manager at the Virtus Zevenbergen Innovative Growth Stock Fund, told Morningstar he expected Tesla to recover in 2026. He pointed to progress in autonomous vehicles, AI integration and the rollout of lower-cost models as possible drivers, while noting Tesla’s balance sheet position and data advantage.

What could influence Tesla’s share price?

Tesla’s share price is influenced by both internal performance and wider market conditions. Several factors may shape expectations in the coming years:

Financial performance and growth

Quarterly earnings, margins, and delivery figures are key drivers of TSLA share price moves. Strong results usually support sentiment, while weaker sales or missed targets can weigh on the outlook.

Product innovation and technology

Advances in battery efficiency, software, and new vehicle launches can underpin confidence. Delays or limited progress, however, could affect expectations.

Government policies and regulation

Subsidies for electric vehicles and emissions rules can support demand, while adverse trade measures or higher compliance costs may act as headwinds for the outlook.

Competition in the EV sector

Rivalry from established carmakers and EV start-ups could erode market share. Tesla’s ability to maintain scale and technological leadership is likely to be closely tracked.

Macroeconomic environment

Interest rates, inflation, and consumer spending may influence demand for vehicles. Lower borrowing costs may support sales, while economic slowdowns can reduce discretionary purchases.

Geographic performance

Trends in major markets, particularly the US and China, are significant. Gains in these regions can lift sentiment, while setbacks may limit growth.

Investor sentiment and market conditions

Broader equity trends, leadership perception, and governance developments may influence TSLA. Positive sentiment can provide support, while volatility or scepticism may weigh on valuations.

When you trade TSLA shares with us, you’re using contracts for difference (CFDs). These are derivative instruments that let you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset. CFDs are traded on margin, meaning leverage greater than 1:1 amplifies both potential gains and losses. Trading with leverage involves a higher level of risk.

Trade Tesla CFDs with Capital.com.

TSLA shares trading strategies to consider

Trading Tesla CFDs provides access to a range of structured approaches, depending on market conditions and trading style. While methods differ, applying risk management tools – such as stop-loss* and take-profit orders – can help control exposure when trading share CFDs.

Here are some common strategies for Tesla CFDs:

Day trading: short-term positions reacting to intraday price moves, often linked to earnings releases, delivery updates or market news. Outcomes may vary.

Swing trading: trades held for several days to capture medium-term shifts in sentiment, supported by chart patterns or momentum signals.

Trend trading: longer-term positions following the prevailing direction of the TSLA price, guided by technical signals and higher time-frame charts. Trends may reverse unexpectedly.

Position trading: trades held for weeks or months, seeking to reflect extended themes in Tesla-related sentiment or technical factors.

*Stop-loss orders are not guaranteed. A guaranteed stop-loss order (GSLO) incurs a fee if triggered.

Discover more approaches on our CFD trading strategies page.

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FAQ

Where can I buy TSLA stock?

Tesla shares trade on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker ‘TSLA’. They’re available through most major brokers offering access to US equities. Alternatively, you can trade contracts for difference (CFDs) on the TSLA price, speculating on price movements without owning the underlying asset.

Is TSLA a good stock to buy?

That depends on individual objectives and risk appetite. As of 3 September 2025, third-party forecasts were divided. Factors tracked by analysts include delivery volumes, progress in autonomous driving and competition in the EV sector. Always conduct independent research and ensure any approach aligns with your financial goals.

Could TSLA rise or fall?

The TSLA price can respond to earnings results, product updates, regulatory changes, and wider market sentiment. Stronger-than-expected sales or advances in driver-assistance systems may support the price, while weaker margins, supply chain pressures, or reduced government incentives could weigh on valuations. Current forecasts highlight a broad range of possible scenarios.

Should I trade or invest in TSLA?

Trading TSLA CFDs may suit those interested in short-term opportunities and flexibility without owning the shares. CFDs are leveraged instruments and involve a high risk of loss. Buying Tesla stock may appeal to those seeking longer-term exposure to its role in electric vehicles and energy solutions. Any decision should reflect your strategy, timeframe and risk profile.