HomeMarket analysisBYD stock forecast: Third-party price target

BYD stock forecast: Third-party price target

BYD’s share price continues to draw attention as traders and analysts track shifts in the electric vehicle market and the company’s latest performance data.
By Dan Mitchell
BYD stock forecast: Will Chinese EV maker recover? YD Auto Signage Logo on Top of Glass Building. Workplace Car Company Office Headquarter.
YD Auto Signage Logo on Top of Glass Building. Workplace Car Company Office Headquarter. Photo: askarim / Shutterstock.com

BYD Company (1211) is trading around $98.20 HKD per share in Hong Kong dollar terms as of 10:39am on 3 December 2025 (UTC), moving within an intraday range of $97.70 HKD to $101.25 HKD on Capital.com’s share CFD feed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

The stock is trading amid mixed sector and company news, with recent data showing BYD’s November new energy vehicle sales down about 5% year-on-year as competition in China’s EV market intensifies (CnEVPost, 1 December 2025), while exports of over 130,000 units have provided some offset (Shanghai Metals Market, 2 December 2025).

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

BYD stock forecast 2026–2030: Analyst price targets

Analyst price targets compiled between October and December 2025 span a range of price targets. These figures are indicative opinions rather than guarantees, and they reflect assumptions about electric vehicle demand, competitive pricing, policy support and BYD’s expansion outside China over the coming year.

Investing.com (consensus screen)

The latest BYD Co Ltd-H consensus on the Investing.com equity forecast page shows an average 12-month target of about $132.73 HKD per share, with individual analyst estimates ranging roughly from $90.03 HKD on the low side to $175.50 HKD on the high side as of late 2025. The platform attributes this range to input from analysts over the prior three months, amid expectations that BYD may sustain earnings and revenue growth against a backdrop of heightened competition in the EV market (Investing.com, 3 December 2025)​.

CMB International (company update)

CMB International’s 31 October 2025 company update on BYD trims its H-share target price to $125 HKD, maintaining a positive rating while basing the valuation on a 20-times multiple of projected 2027 earnings per share. The research team cites slower-than-expected margin recovery, currency effects and a more competitive plug-in hybrid landscape, while still flagging BYD’s technology roadmap and overseas expansion as key supports for medium-term profitability (CMBI, 31 October 2025).

Goldman Sachs relay (broker note summary)

A news summary carried by Intellectia on 2 November 2025 reports that Goldman Sachs lifted its target price for BYD Company to $141 HKD, describing the move as an 8% increase while keeping a positive stance on the stock. The bank’s analysts highlight expectations that overseas markets could increasingly drive unit volumes between 2026 and 2035, with EV penetration outside China expected to catch up over time and underpin their long-run sales and earnings assumptions (Intellectia AI, 4 November 2025).

TipRanks (aggregated broker data)

A BYD price-target snapshot on TipRanks dated 20 October 2025 points to an average 12-month goal close to $135.02 HKD, with the highest individual forecast cited around $173.73 HKD and the lowest just above $79 HKD. The service describes a strongly positive analyst rating skew, as contributors emphasise BYD’s delivery growth and platform technology amid uncertainties around global demand, pricing strategies and policy support (TipRanks, 3 December 2025).

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

BYD stock price: Technical overview

The BYD stock price is around $98.20 HKD as of 10:39 (UTC) on 3 December 2025, with price holding close to the Classic pivot at 97.7 after testing an intraday range between 97.7 and 101.25 in the session. On the daily chart, the simple moving-average cluster sits with the 20/50/100/200-DMAs near 98, 103, 109 and 119 respectively, while the 10-day SMA around 96.8 and VWMA(20) near 97.9 keep the price consolidated just under the shorter-term band. The 14-day RSI at 47.1 is mid-neutral and the ADX at 12.8 points to a weak trend environment, consistent with range-bound trading conditions rather than a directional impulse in the current setup.

On the topside, the nearest Classic resistance is R1 at 103.1, with R2 around 108.8 coming into view only if a daily close forms above the lower resistance area. On pullbacks, the Classic pivot at 97.7 is the first support to watch, followed by the 100-day SMA near 109.1 as the main moving-average shelf, while a decisive break below the pivot would risk a drift toward S1 around 92.0 on the Classic levels (TradingView, 3 December 2025).

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

BYD share price history

BYD Company’s H-shares spent much of 2024 trading between roughly $180 HKD and $300 HKD, after starting that year just above $200 HKD and swinging through repeated rallies and pullbacks as sentiment around Chinese electric vehicle makers shifted across the year. The stock ended December 2024 at about $267.30 HKD, before sliding sharply through early 2025 and then spiking to intraday closes above $400 HKD by May–June – a run-up that proved short-lived as prices moved lower again into the second half of the year.

By 3 December 2025, BYD had dropped back to $98.20 HKD, leaving it well below its mid-2025 peaks and recent autumn levels above $110 HKD–140 HKD, with trading in late November and early December clustered in a tighter $90 HKD–105 HKD range.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Capital.com analyst view

BYD Company’s share price has seen a sharp reset in 2025, moving from triple-digit levels in the first half of the year to trade around $98.20 HKD as of 10:39 (UTC) on 3 December 2025 on Capital.com’s share CFD feed. This pullback comes after a period of elevated volatility for Chinese electric vehicle makers, as investors weigh strong long-term electrification themes against concerns over pricing pressure, competition and broader sentiment towards China-related risk assets.

On the fundamental side, BYD continues to report large-scale new energy vehicle volumes, with November 2025 sales hitting a year-to-date high in unit terms even as year-on-year growth has moderated, and exports have taken on a bigger role in the mix. For traders monitoring 1211, that combination of robust operational metrics and a weaker share price underlines the importance of considering both company-specific data and wider market conditions, rather than placing undue weight on past price moves alone.

Capital.com’s client sentiment for BYD CFDs

As of 3 December 2025, Capital.com client positioning in BYD share CFDs is one-sided toward longs, with buyers at 98.1% versus sellers at 1.9%, which puts buyers ahead by about 96.2 percentage points. This reading signals a heavy-buy tilt in current positioning, with long exposure dominating short interest on the platform. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com and can change over time as traders adjust their exposure.

Image

Summary – BYD price 2025

  • BYD Company (1211) was trading around $98.20 HKD as of 3 December 2025, moving within a $97.70–$101.25 HKD intraday range.
  • Recent data reflects mixed operating conditions, with November NEV sales declining about 5% year-on-year, while exports of more than 130,000 units helped offset softer domestic demand.
  • Third-party analyst targets continue to vary, with 12-month ranges broadly clustered between $130–$200 HKD, highlighting different assumptions about global EV demand, pricing and overseas expansion.
  • Technical indicators point to ongoing range-bound trading, with the price holding near the 97.7 pivot level and short-term momentum measures remaining broadly neutral.
  • The share price has moved significantly during 2025, declining from intraday highs above $400 HKD earlier in the year to consolidate between $90–$105 HKD into early December.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most BYD stock?

Public disclosures show that BYD’s shareholder base is split between institutional investors, strategic partners and retail market participants. While the company’s founder, Wang Chuanfu, has historically been a major shareholder, broader holdings also include long-term institutional investors and global funds. Exact ownership levels can change over time as shares are bought and sold, and up-to-date ownership data is typically available through exchange filings and financial reporting platforms. Ownership information may vary across reporting periods, so reference sources should be checked regularly.

What is the 5 year forecast for BYD stock?

There is no single agreed five-year forecast for BYD. Analyst targets compiled from late 2025 show a wide range of 12-month expectations, reflecting differing assumptions about global EV demand, competition, pricing dynamics and the pace of BYD’s international expansion. Some brokers point to overseas growth potential supporting long-term revenue, while others highlight margin pressure and policy uncertainties. Forecasts extending beyond one year carry additional uncertainty and may not fully account for future economic or industry developments.

Is BYD a good stock to buy?

Whether BYD is a suitable investment depends on an individual’s objectives, risk appetite and overall portfolio strategy. Analysts referenced in the article express varied views, with price targets ranging from the low $90 HKD area to above $260 HKD for the year ahead. These opinions are based on factors such as demand for electric vehicles, competition, technology investment and overseas sales trends. None of these assessments guarantee future performance, and the article does not make a recommendation to buy or sell the stock. Any decision should be based on your own research and understanding of the risks involved.

Could BYD stock go up or down?

BYD’s share price can move in either direction, as with all publicly traded equities. Analyst targets highlight potential scenarios for both higher and lower prices, depending on factors such as market sentiment, industry competition, policy developments and the company’s financial results. The stock has shown periods of sharp rallies and significant declines over recent years, indicating that it remains sensitive to both company-specific news and broader market conditions. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Price movements can also be influenced by external events that are difficult to anticipate.

Should I invest in BYD stock?

The article does not provide investment advice and does not recommend investing or avoiding investment in BYD. Decisions should be based on your financial circumstances, understanding of the electric vehicle industry and tolerance for market risk. Analysts referenced in the article offer a wide range of perspectives, but these reflect individual research methodologies and assumptions that may not align with every trader’s goals. It’s important to assess the potential risks and uncertainties before making any investment decision.

How can I trade BYD CFDs on Capital.com?

If you choose to trade BYD share CFDs on Capital.com, you can access the market through the platform’s mobile app or web interface and trade long or short depending on your strategy. CFDs allow you to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying shares. However, CFDs are traded on margin – leverage amplifies both profits and losses.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.