Bitcoin price prediction: Third-party price target
Read our Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 and beyond, with BTC insights from third-party analysts and market experts
Bitcoin (BTC), launched in January 2009 as the first decentralised digital currency, pioneered blockchain-based finance and had a major impact on global financial systems and digital assets. With its capped supply of 21 million coins, steady institutional adoption and developments such as layer-two scaling solutions, Bitcoin has maintained its position as the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation in 2025.
What’s next for Bitcoin? In this guide, we review the latest Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 and beyond, drawing on independent forecasts and insights from leading market analysts.
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Current BTC price and market position
Bitcoin (BTC) remains the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, recognised for its role in the emergence of decentralised digital money. Since its launch in 2009, Bitcoin has developed into a major traded asset, with a global market and growing institutional participation. Recent years have seen greater adoption by financial institutions, regulatory changes across major markets, and ongoing technical improvements to the Bitcoin protocol via layer-two solutions.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Bitcoin price history
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Learn more about crypto CFDs in our cryptocurrency trading guide.
Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 and beyond
As of 1 September 2025, third-party predictions showed a wide range of bitcoin price forecasts for 2025-2029.
Changelly expected bitcoin to average $113,938 in 2025, with monthly estimates between $103,756 and $124,340. CoinCodex placed its 2025 BTC forecast at an average of $121,541, within a range of $109,650 to $144,925. CoinDCX set its average 2025 projection at $122,000, with a minimum of $101,000 and a maximum of $128,000. Coinpedia’s outlook covered a broader span, forecasting a low of $70,000, an average of $120,000 and a high of $175,000.
Finder’s panel of crypto specialists projected a year-end average of $145,167 for BTC, though their views were divided, with possible lows near $87,600 and highs of up to $162,353. The panel continued to view bitcoin as undervalued, citing institutional adoption and increasing use as a reserve asset. The Block reported that Bernstein analysts expected bitcoin to reach $200,000 by early 2026, while JPMorgan set a long-term target of $146,000 if bitcoin continued to ‘crowd out’ gold, according to Cointelegraph.
Notably, Strategy CEO Michael Saylor reiterated his long-term outlook, reportedly stating at a recent industry event that bitcoin could reach 21 million coins in circulation within 21 years, according to Cointelegraph. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong wrote in an August 2025 X (formerly Twitter) post that he expected bitcoin to reach $1m per coin by 2030, pointing to regulatory clarity and growing demand as key factors.
Across forecasts, sentiment remained mixed. Some sources projected steady price growth, while others suggested periods of volatility or consolidation. As always, bitcoin price predictions are based on current data and modelling methods. These targets can change as market conditions, adoption trends and regulatory factors evolve.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Long-term Bitcoin price prediction (2030-2050)
Third-party BTC predictions for 2030
| Low | Avg | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Changelly | $681,849 | $706,149 | $822,692 |
| Coinpedia | $380,000 | $750,000 | $900,000 |
| CoinCodex | $221,885 | $272,076 | $292,731 |
| CoinDCX | $210,000 | $260,000 | $300,000 |
- Finder’s panel estimated BTC at about $458,647 by 2030 and $1.02m by 2035.
Bitcoin price prediction 2040-2050
- CoinCodex projected that BTC could average $1.14m by 2040, within a range of $998,484-$1.20m, and raised its 2050 forecast to an average of $2.24m (range $1.30m-$2.84m).
- Changelly presented a more optimistic outlook, placing its 2030 average near $706k (monthly range about $682k-$823k), rising to around $4.60m by 2040 (approx. $4.25m-$5.09m) and $6.09m by 2050 (approx. $5.72m-$6.51m).
- Coinpedia set its 2030 average prediction at $750,000 (low $380,000, high $900,000).
Longer-term forecasts relied on statistical modelling and historical comparisons. They may not account for future changes in policy, technology, market structure or geopolitics. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Capital.com input
Capital.com’s Head of Research Monte Safieddine noted that BTC has been trading within a broad bull channel in 2025. While this trend supports long-term optimism, he warned that movements within the channel can swing sentiment – drawing in bulls at the top and triggering caution near the bottom.
He added that BTC’s resilience during pullbacks highlights its role as a relative haven within the crypto space. However, breakout strategies remain risky: ‘There are no guarantees technicals will hold, especially when volatility rises.’
Will Bitcoin go up or down? Key factors to watch
Bitcoin’s price is shaped by a mix of factors that can both support increases and trigger declines. Here are seven researched, balanced and readable factors explaining how each could influence BTC’s price:
Supply Dynamics
Bitcoin has a fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins, making scarcity a fundamental price driver. Periodic 'halving' events reduce new issuance roughly every four years and have often been linked with upward pressure by slowing supply growth. However, because bitcoin halving events are anticipated, price moves can be volatile before, during and after, sometimes leading to corrections as investors take profits or adjust expectations.
Market Demand and Speculation
Stronger demand from retail investors, institutions or corporations can lift BTC’s price, particularly during bullish sentiment or hype cycles. Conversely, speculative excess and selling driven by fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) in response to negative news or corrections can weigh heavily on prices.
Regulatory Environment
Positive regulatory changes, such as legal clarity or policies favouring institutional access, can boost confidence and attract investment. In contrast, restrictive measures, bans, or ongoing uncertainty may result in swift declines as market participants exit or hold back.
Technological Advancements
Layer-2 upgrades to Bitcoin that improve scalability, security or transaction speeds can support usability and investor confidence. By contrast, unresolved scalability issues, security incidents, or forks introducing uncertainty may undermine trust and reduce demand.
Macroeconomic Factors
Some investors view Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or economic instability, which can attract inflows during fiat weakness or market volatility. Yet, rising interest rates or stronger returns from traditional assets can divert investment away from Bitcoin, putting pressure on its price.
Market Sentiment and Media Influence
Positive coverage, corporate adoption announcements or endorsements by well-known figures can fuel bullish sentiment and rallies. Conversely, negative reporting, high-profile security breaches or false announcements can trigger sharp sell-offs or heightened volatility.
Competition and Alternatives
Growing competition from other cryptocurrencies or digital assets can divert demand and weigh on Bitcoin. Conversely, Bitcoin’s status as the first cryptocurrency and its broad recognition can reinforce its dominance and draw further capital, supporting its valuation.
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BTC trading strategies to consider
Trading Bitcoin CFDs allows for different approaches, shaped by volatility, liquidity and individual goals. Strategies can vary in timeframe and complexity, but all require disciplined risk management. Using tools such as stop-loss and take-profit orders can help manage exposure when trading crypto CFDs like BTC.
Here are some common BTC trading strategies:
- Day trading: traders act on intraday moves in BTC/USD, responding to sentiment shifts, wider market events, or technical signals.
- Swing trading: traders aim to capture short-term momentum, typically holding positions for several days.
- Trend trading: traders follow sustained directional moves in Bitcoin’s price, often using longer-term charts and indicators.
- Position trading: traders take a longer view, holding BTC CFD positions for weeks or months, depending on macroeconomic or structural factors.
*Please note that stop-loss orders aren’t guaranteed. A guaranteed stop-loss order (GSLO) incurs a fee if triggered.
Discover more approaches on our CFD trading strategies page.
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