Xiaomi stock forecast: Company reports 600k+ EV Deliveries
Xiaomi is a Hong Kong-listed technology company (1810) operating across smartphones, Internet of Things devices and electric vehicles, with its share price influenced by earnings performance and sector conditions. Explore third-party 1810 price targets and technical analysis.
Xiaomi Corporation (1810) is trading around $36.56 HKD as of 3:25pm UTC on 19 February 2026, moving within an intraday range of $35.46–$36.92 HKD on Capital.com’s feed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Recent trading activity has coincided with operational updates. Xiaomi’s EV department has reported cumulative passenger vehicle deliveries exceeding 600,000 units since production began in April 2024, including more than 410,000 vehicles delivered during 2025 and 39,000 units in January 2026 alone (Battery-Tech Network, 16 February 2026). Price action also reflects continued market focus on the company’s multi-segment growth profile, following Q3 2025 results that showed revenue of about RMB113.1bn, up roughly 22% year-on-year, and adjusted net profit of around RMB11.3bn, an increase of more than 80% year-on-year (Investing.com, 18 November 2025).
Xiaomi stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 19 February 2026, third-party Xiaomi stock predictions outline a range of 12-month views on the stock, with differences largely driven by assumptions on smartphone margins, EV ramp-up and broader China technology sentiment. These third-party projections are indicative only, may be revised without notice, and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
J.P. Morgan (broker revision)
J.P. Morgan reduces its 1810 stock forecast from $45 HKD to $38 HKD while maintaining a Neutral rating, with the new target framed on a 12-month basis. The broker cites lower core earnings projections for 2026–2027 and trims EV margin assumptions, referring to a slower recovery in smartphone gross margins and potential delays in EV production ramp-up (AAStocks, 2 February 2026).
BOCI (broker target in news wrap)
BOCI holds a Buy rating on Xiaomi with a stated target price of $47.88 HKD, presented alongside other China technology names in the same sector round-up. The report attributes BOCI’s stance to its assessment of Xiaomi’s earnings trajectory and EV contribution, while also highlighting smartphone margin pressures and broader market volatility as contextual factors as of mid-February 2026 (Intellectia AI, 3 February 2026).
Simply Wall St (model-based fair value anchor)
Simply Wall St’s Xiaomi forecast section presents a model-driven view in which analysts’ implied earnings and revenue growth translate into a projected future return on equity of about 17.8%, supporting a fair-value assessment above the then-prevailing market price and indicating a positive long-term outlook within its framework. The platform states that its scenario assumes technology earnings growth near 29.4% and revenue growth around 14.4%, with outcomes sensitive to changes in margins, reinvestment rates and macro conditions (Simply Wall St, 15 February 2026).
Fintel (consensus target)
Fintel’s Xiaomi Corporation page, updated in February 2026, shows an average one-year price target of $56.86 HKD for 1810, based on its compilation of analyst estimates. The individual forecasts in its dataset span from $35.35 HKD at the low end to $80.85 HKD at the high end, illustrating the breadth of views among contributing analysts.
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
1810 stock price: Technical overview
The 1810 stock price is trading near $36.56 HKD as of 3:25pm UTC on 19 February 2026, slightly below the classic pivot at 36.87 and within a tight intraday range between $35.46 and $36.92 HKD. On the daily chart, the price sits close to a short-term moving average cluster, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at approximately 35.66, 38.14, 42.25 and 48.26 respectively. The 10-day SMA at 35.66 and the 20-day volume-weighted moving average (VWMA) at 35.63 indicate nearby dynamic support. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) at around 50.65 remains in neutral territory, while an average directional index (ADX) reading near 20.25 suggests a developing trend rather than a strong directional phase.
On the upside, the first area of interest is the classic R1 level near 39.23; a sustained daily close above this zone would bring the R2 level around 42.97 into focus as the next potential resistance. On pullbacks, initial support lies at the classic pivot near 36.87. A clear break below that level could expose the S1 area around 33.13. Traders often use moving averages and pivot levels to frame risk, but these tools do not guarantee outcomes and should be considered alongside broader market context (TradingView, 19 February 2026).
This technical analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Xiaomi share price history (2024–2026)
1810’s stock price spent much of 2024 trending higher from the low-teens, trading around $13.39 HKD on 21 February 2024 before climbing through the spring and summer. By late June 2024, the stock changed hands near $18.50 HKD. It moved above $20 HKD in May 2024, closed at $22.53 HKD on 30 September, and traded in the high-$20s by late November 2024.
Momentum accelerated into 2025, with Xiaomi rising from $34.69 HKD at the end of 2024 to the mid-$50s by February 2025, and reaching a closing high of $55.91 HKD on 2 October 2025. The share price then retraced, moving back through the $40s and $30s over subsequent months. By 16 February 2026, Xiaomi was trading at $36.56 HKD, below its 2025 peak but above levels recorded two years earlier.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Xiaomi (1810): Capital.com analyst view
Over the past two years, Xiaomi’s share price has moved through a wide range, rising from the low-teens HKD in early 2024 to above $60 HKD in mid-2025 before returning to the mid-$30s HKD area by February 2026. This trajectory illustrates how sentiment toward China technology stocks can shift in response to changes in earnings expectations, policy developments and global risk appetite. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
From a fundamental perspective, market participants often highlight Xiaomi’s diversified exposure to smartphones, Internet of Things products and an expanding EV business as potential growth drivers. At the same time, this diversification introduces execution and capital allocation risks. Competition, input costs and macroeconomic conditions may affect margins and demand across segments, which can contribute to share price volatility in either direction.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Xiaomi CFDs
As of 19 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Xiaomi CFDs shows 96.8% of open CFD positions on the buy side and 3.2% on the sell side, resulting in a long-short differential of approximately 93.6 percentage points. This distribution indicates a strong long bias among current clients. Positioning data reflects open positions on Capital.com at the time of writing and may change.
Summary – Xiaomi 2026
- As of 3:25pm UTC on 19 February 2026, Xiaomi trades near $36.56 HKD, below its 2025 highs but above levels seen in early 2024.
- Technical indicators show the price consolidating around short-term moving averages, with the RSI in neutral territory and trend strength readings pointing to a developing rather than dominant directional move.
- Key factors cited by analysts include sentiment toward China technology stocks, smartphone and IoT margins, and the pace and profitability of EV expansion. Different assessments of these variables contribute to a broad range of third-party price targets.
- Recent reporting has highlighted EV deliveries, medium-term EV sales ambitions and share buyback activity. Market participants may interpret these developments in different ways, depending on their assumptions about demand, margins and capital allocation.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Xiaomi stock?
Xiaomi is a publicly listed company on the Hong Kong Exchange (1810.HK), with ownership divided among founders, senior executives, institutional investors and retail shareholders. Founder Lei Jun is widely reported as one of the largest individual shareholders, holding shares both directly and through related entities. Institutional investors, including asset managers and index funds, also hold significant stakes. Ownership structures can evolve over time as investors adjust their positions.
What is the 5 year Xiaomi share price forecast?
There is no single agreed five-year 1810 stock forecast. Most published analyst targets focus on a 12-month horizon, with February 2026 projections ranging from approximately $38 HKD to the mid-$50s HKD. Some model-based and rule-based platforms publish longer-term scenarios, but these depend heavily on underlying assumptions, including smartphone margins, EV profitability and broader China technology conditions. As with all forecasts, these estimates are indicative only and subject to change.
Is Xiaomi a good stock to buy?
Whether Xiaomi is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. Analysts point to potential growth drivers such as its smartphone ecosystem, Internet of Things portfolio and expanding EV division. However, they also highlight competitive pressures, margin sensitivity and regulatory or macroeconomic risks. The share price has shown periods of significant volatility over the past two years, underlining that outcomes can differ from expectations. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Could Xiaomi stock go up or down?
Like any listed equity, Xiaomi’s share price can move in either direction. Analyst targets published in February 2026 span a broad range, reflecting differing views on earnings, margins and EV execution. Technical indicators currently suggest a developing trend rather than a strong directional phase. Company-specific developments, sector sentiment and broader market conditions may influence future price movements, and there is no certainty over short- or long-term price direction.
Should I invest in Xiaomi stock?
Only you can decide whether investing in Xiaomi aligns with your financial goals and risk profile. Investors typically assess factors such as earnings trends, competitive positioning and exposure to new business lines such as EVs, alongside broader market risks and their capacity to absorb potential losses. If you are unsure, you may wish to seek independent financial advice. This information is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation.
Can I trade Xiaomi CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Xiaomi CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.