Super Micro Computer stock forecast: Third-party price targets
Super Micro Computer is a US-listed technology company that designs and manufactures high-performance servers and storage systems, with revenues closely linked to data-centre investment and AI infrastructure spending. Explore third-party SMCI price targets and technical analysis.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is trading around $33.39 in intraday dealing as of 11:15am on 11 February 2026 (UTC), moving within a session range of $33.06–$34.25 on Capital.com’s USD-denominated Stock CFD feed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The stock is trading against a backdrop of recently reported fiscal Q2 2026 results, in which Super Micro Computer posted quarterly revenue of about $12.7bn and adjusted earnings per share of $0.69 (Financial Times, 3 February 2026), above consensus estimates near $10–$11bn in revenue and $0.49 in EPS, amid strong demand for AI-optimised server systems and data-centre hardware (Investing.com, 3 February 2026). The company has also raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to at least $40bn from a prior forecast of $36bn, citing robust order momentum for AI-oriented server platforms (Reuters, 3 February 2026).
Super Micro Computer stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 11 February 2026, third-party Super Micro Computer stock predictions reflect differing assumptions about SMCI’s AI-server growth trajectory, margin recovery potential, and the sustainability of recent revenue performance and upgraded guidance.
Goldman Sachs (coverage and target update)
Goldman Sachs sets a 12-month SMCI price target of $27 with a sell rating. The bank cites concerns over margin pressure and competitive intensity in AI infrastructure, alongside uncertainty about the timing and scale of any profitability improvement (Investing.com, 4 February 2026).
Barclays (broker target)
Barclays sets a 12-month price target of $38 for SMCI, pointing to upside from recent revenue growth and AI-server positioning, while maintaining an equal-weight stance given margin pressure and customer concentration considerations (Yahoo Finance, 7 February 2026).
Needham (broker target revision)
Needham lowers its SMCI stock forecast to $40 from $51, while reiterating a buy rating following the company’s fiscal Q2 2026 results. The firm highlights robust top-line growth and AI-infrastructure demand, while adopting a more measured view on valuation and profitability trends (GuruFocus, 4 February 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
SMCI stock price: Technical overview
The SMCI stock price is trading around $33.39 as of 11:15am on 11 February 2026 (UTC), holding above a rising short-term moving-average cluster, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) near 31, 32, 39 and 42 respectively. The 20-over-50 alignment remains in place, while the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) around 55.48 sits in the upper-neutral band. The average directional index (ADX) near 18.01 suggests a trend is present but not strongly established.
On the upside, the nearest classic pivot above the last price is the R1 area around 32.58, with R2 near 36.05 coming into focus only if price sustains a move beyond the first resistance zone. On pullbacks, the classic pivot at 30.17 marks initial support. Below that, the 100-day SMA near 38.89 represents a longer-term reference level, while a sustained move beneath this average would expose the S1 region around 26.70 (TradingView, 11 February 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Super Micro Computer share price history (2024–2026)
SMCI’s stock price has shown elevated volatility over the past two years, moving from triple-digit highs in early 2024 to materially lower levels by early 2026. The stock closed at $33.39 on 11 February 2026, down from $41.80 on 11 February 2025 and well below peaks above $110 seen in March 2024, illustrating how sharp rallies linked to AI-server demand were followed by significant corrections later that year.
After reaching highs in March 2024, SMCI declined into late 2024 and briefly fell below $20 in October before recovering into the $30–$50 range by year-end. During 2025, the share price largely fluctuated between roughly $30 and $60, with a brief move above $60 in July and renewed volatility around similar levels in February. So far in 2026, price action has remained comparatively tighter but still uneven, with the stock trading mainly in the high-$20s to mid-$30s and reacting to earnings releases and guidance updates, alongside broader developments in AI-infrastructure spending and margin expectations.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Capital.com analyst view
Super Micro Computer’s share price has moved from triple-digit levels in early 2024 to around $33.39 as of 11:15am on 11 February 2026 (UTC), reflecting a shift from momentum-driven enthusiasm around AI infrastructure to closer scrutiny of profitability and execution. Strong revenue growth and repeated guidance upgrades tied to AI-optimised servers and data-centre infrastructure have supported the fundamental narrative. At the same time, periods of sharp drawdowns demonstrate how quickly sentiment can adjust when margins narrow, earnings expectations change or valuations are reassessed.
From a drivers perspective, ongoing AI-infrastructure spending, capacity expansion and product development could continue to influence the share price if revenue growth remains robust. Conversely, elevated volatility, customer concentration, compressed margins and intense competition in AI hardware may leave the stock sensitive to both positive and negative surprises.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Super Micro Computer CFDs
As of 11 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Super Micro Computer CFDs is weighted towards long positions, with buyers at 97.5% versus sellers at 2.5%, a difference of around 95 percentage points. This metric reflects the distribution of open positions on the platform at a given time and can change as market conditions evolve.
Summary – Super Micro Computer 2026
- Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is quoted at $33.39 as of 11:15am on 11 February 2026 (UTC), trading within an intraday range of $33.06–$34.25 on Capital.com’s Stock CFD feed.
- Technical indicators show SMCI trading above its short-term moving-average cluster with a 20-over-50-day alignment and a 14-day RSI in the upper-neutral band, while the longer-term 100- and 200-day averages remain above the current price.
- Potential price drivers include AI-infrastructure spending, data-centre orders and product innovation, set against risks such as margin pressure, customer concentration, competitive intensity and continued share-price volatility.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Super Micro Computer stock?
Public filings show that Super Micro Computer’s largest shareholders typically include institutional investors, such as asset managers and investment funds, alongside company insiders, including executives and directors. Ownership levels can change over time as funds rebalance portfolios or insiders adjust their holdings. For the most up-to-date breakdown, traders can review the company’s latest regulatory filings, which detail major beneficial owners and insider positions.
What is the 5-year Super Micro Computer share price forecast?
There is no single, reliable five-year SMCI stock forecast. While analysts often publish 12-month price targets, longer-term projections involve significant uncertainty and depend on assumptions about AI infrastructure demand, margin trends, competition and broader market conditions. Over extended periods, factors such as technology cycles, customer concentration and macroeconomic developments can materially affect outcomes, so any long-term projection remains speculative rather than predictive.
Is Super Micro Computer a good stock to buy?
Whether Super Micro Computer is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. The company has reported strong revenue growth linked to AI-optimised servers, but it also faces margin pressure, competitive intensity and share-price volatility. Traders and investors typically weigh fundamentals, valuation metrics, technical levels and overall risk exposure before making decisions. There is no universal answer, as suitability varies by individual circumstances.
Could Super Micro Computer stock go up or down?
Super Micro Computer’s share price can move in either direction, influenced by earnings results, guidance updates, AI infrastructure spending trends, customer demand and broader equity market conditions. Competitive developments and margin performance may also shape market expectations. As historical price swings illustrate, the stock has experienced both rapid advances and sharp pullbacks. Future movements will depend on how company performance and external factors evolve relative to prevailing expectations.
Should I invest in Super Micro Computer stock?
Deciding whether to invest in Super Micro Computer shares involves assessing your financial situation, objectives and appetite for risk. The stock has shown significant volatility. While growth opportunities linked to AI infrastructure exist, execution risks, competitive pressures and margin dynamics remain relevant considerations. Many market participants compare analyst research, company filings and independent analysis before allocating capital. This information is general in nature and does not constitute investment advice.
Can I trade Super Micro Computer CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Super Micro Computer CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.