Intel stock forecast: Q4 2025 earnings & price targets
Intel Corporation is a US-listed semiconductor manufacturer that designs and produces microprocessors, data centre chips and related technologies for consumer, enterprise and AI-focused computing markets worldwide. Explore third-party INTC price targets and technical analysis.
Intel Corporation (INTC) is trading around $45.10 in early US hours on 19 February 2026, holding just above the intraday low of $45.06 and below the day’s high of $46.59, as quoted on Capital.com’s USD-denominated stock CFD feed at 10:56am UTC. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The stock is moving amid continued focus on Intel’s AI and foundry roadmap. The company recently launched its next-generation AI PCs with Core Ultra Series 3 processors at CES 2026, built on its 18A process technology (Intel, 5 January 2026). In January, Intel also filed a resale prospectus supplement relating to existing securities under a prior Warrant and Common Stock Agreement with the US Department of Commerce, which did not create new securities ()Investing.com, 14 January 2026). Broader sentiment towards large US technology and semiconductor names remains sensitive to index performance. The Nasdaq Composite has recently traded above 22,700 (Nasdaq, 18 February 2026).
Intel stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 19 February 2026, third-party Intel stock predictions indicate a one-year range broadly between $45 and $50 per share, as research desks reassess Intel’s AI and foundry execution risks alongside sector demand. The summaries below outline six third-party views released during this period, focusing on stated 12-month targets and the assumptions cited.
DA Davidson (coverage initiation)
DA Davidson initiates coverage of Intel with a Neutral rating and a one-year price target of $45, implying limited downside relative to the share price at the time. The broker characterises its stance as a ‘show-me’ reset, suggesting that the current valuation reflects expectations of a return to profitability and AI-driven upside, while execution and earnings visibility remain key variables (DA Davidson, 16 February 2026).
Daiwa Capital Markets (target increase)
Daiwa Capital Markets raises its INTC stock forecast price target from $41 to $50. The broker maintains a cautious tone, noting that the revised objective still implied modest downside to the prior close. Daiwa acknowledges AI-related opportunities while continuing to flag guidance risks, competitive dynamics and the pace of Intel’s turnaround (MarketBeat, 3 February 2026).
HSBC (rating and target upgrade)
HSBC upgrades Intel from Reduce to Hold and increases its price target from $26 to $50. The new target sits within an analyst range of $20.40 to $60. HSBC points to improving expectations for Intel’s DCAI server segment, projecting server shipment growth of 15%-20% year-on-year in fiscal 2026. At the same time, the bank noted ongoing uncertainties around foundry execution and customer pipeline visibility (Investing.com, 20 January 2026).
UBS (recent target increase reference)
UBS raises its Intel price target to $49 from $40, while maintaining a Neutral rating. UBS links the higher target to expectations of stronger PC and server demand and tighter supply conditions, while its neutral stance reflects a balance between potential AI-related upside and longer-term uncertainties around manufacturing and margin recovery (Investing.com, 14 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
INTC stock price: Technical overview
The INTC stock price last traded around $45.10 as of 10:56am UTC on 19 February 2026. The price sits below the short-term 10-, 20- and 30-day simple moving averages (SMAs), near 48, 48 and 47 respectively, while remaining above the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs, around 43, 40 and 31. This configuration suggests short-term consolidation within a broader upward trend.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) stands near 47, indicating neutral momentum. The average directional index (ADX), around 18, points to a relatively weak trend, consistent with price moving between short-term resistance and medium-term support.
On the upside, the nearest classic resistance level appears at R1 near 54.80. A sustained daily close above this area could bring R2 near 63.13 into focus. On the downside, the classic pivot sits around 46.28, with the 100-day SMA near 40 acting as a secondary support zone. A move below this level could expose the S1 area around 37.95 if selling pressure increases (TradingView, 19 February 2026).
This technical analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Intel share price history (2024–2026)
INTC’s stock price has re-rated over the past two years, moving from the low-$20s in early 2024 to the mid-$40s by February 2026. The stock traded near $22 at the start of 2024 and climbed into the low-$40s by March-April 2024 before moving sideways for much of the year, ending 2024 just above $20 per share.
During 2025, the trend shifted. Intel advanced through the mid-$20s and $30s, closing around $36-$37 at the end of December 2025, before extending gains into early 2026.
Volatility increased in early 2026. After opening near $39.56 on 2 January 2026, Intel moved higher and briefly traded above $55 intraday on 22 January, before returning to a range between the high-$40s and low-$50s. Through February 2026, price action remained choppy, with prices largely between $46 and $51 and an intraday high of $51.36 on 6 February. By 19 February 2026, Intel changed hands at about $45.29, representing a marked recovery from late-2024 levels, while remaining below its late-January peak.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Intel (INTC): Capital.com analyst view
Intel’s share price has moved from the low-$20s in early 2024 to the mid-$40s by mid-February 2026, as the market reassessed its position in AI-driven computing and foundry services. Zacks reported that Intel’s stock rose about 84% in 2025, while management continues to address margin pressures and legacy challenges that may influence future performance if execution falls short of expectations.
Fundamentals and news flow have been mixed, which has contributed to recent price swings. Intel’s Q4 2025 results showed adjusted earnings and revenue above consensus estimates. The launch of its Core Ultra Series 3 AI PC platform on 18A process technology at CES 2026 marked a strategic milestone that could support future demand. At the same time, guidance has remained cautious, the foundry segment continues to report losses, and analysts highlight capital intensity, yield risk and competition as ongoing constraints.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Intel CFDs
As of 19 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Intel CFDs remains heavily skewed to the long side, with buyers at 93% and sellers at 7%. This reflects a pronounced long bias among current CFD traders on the platform. Positioning data represents open CFD positions at a given time and can change rapidly as market conditions evolve.
Summary – Intel 2026
- Intel’s share price has rebounded over the past two years, rising from the low-$20s in early 2024 to the mid-$40s by February 2026.
- Technical indicators show the price trading above medium- and long-term moving averages but below shorter-term averages. RSI remains near neutral and trend strength appears moderate, suggesting consolidation rather than a clear directional move.
- Key drivers include sentiment around Intel’s AI PCs and server products, capital expenditure linked to its foundry strategy, and broader movements in US technology indices. These factors may support or weigh on the share price, depending on how expectations and execution develop.
- Recent developments include Intel’s CES 2026 AI PC launch, its Q4 2025 earnings release and continued scrutiny of its transformation strategy, all of which have coincided with elevated volatility in the stock.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
What is the 5 year Intel share price forecast?
Intel’s shareholder base includes a mix of institutional investors, mutual funds and retail holders. Based on recent regulatory filings, large asset managers such as Vanguard Group and BlackRock are typically among the largest shareholders, mainly through index and exchange-traded funds. Ownership levels can change as funds rebalance portfolios or adjust exposure. Investors often review Form 13F filings and insider disclosures to monitor shifts in institutional and executive holdings over time.
There is no single agreed five-year INTC stock forecast. Most published analyst targets focus on a 12-month horizon, and longer-term projections vary depending on assumptions around AI demand, foundry execution, margins and capital expenditure. Over a five-year period, outcomes may differ materially from shorter-term estimates. For this reason, market participants often assess a range of scenarios rather than relying on one extended projection.
Is Intel a good stock to buy?
Whether Intel is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on individual objectives, time horizon and risk tolerance. Analysts currently assign a range of ratings, including Hold, Neutral and Reduce, reflecting potential AI-related growth alongside execution and competitive risks. The company continues to invest in manufacturing while managing margin pressures. As with any listed share, performance can vary, and suitability depends on personal financial circumstances and investment goals.
Could Intel stock go up or down?
Intel’s share price can move in either direction, influenced by earnings results, forward guidance, AI and server demand trends, competitive developments and broader US technology index performance. Technical indicators currently suggest consolidation, while analyst targets reflect a wide range of possible outcomes. Macroeconomic conditions and sector sentiment may also affect volatility. Share prices are uncertain by nature and can change quickly in response to new information.
Should I invest in Intel stock?
Deciding whether to invest in Intel shares requires you to assess your financial situation, objectives and tolerance for risk. Shares provide exposure to potential corporate performance, but they also carry the risk of capital loss. Company-specific developments, sector dynamics and wider market conditions can all influence returns. This information is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Can I trade Intel CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Intel CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.