HomeMarket analysisNexi stock forecast: Third-party price targets

Nexi stock forecast: Third-party price targets

Nexi is an Italian payment services provider listed on Borsa Italiana, offering card processing, digital payments and merchant solutions across multiple European markets. Explore NEXI price action, third-party price targets, and technical analysis.
By Dan Mitchell
Nexi stock forecast
Photo: Shutterstock.com

Nexi S.p.A. (NEXI) is trading around €3.71 in CFD terms on Capital.com as of 4pm UTC on 21 January 2026, within an intraday range of €3.61–€3.73. This keeps the price close to levels seen on Borsa Italiana in mid-January, when the cash equity last traded around the mid-€3.80 area. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Nexi stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets

As of 21 January 2026, third-party Nexi stock predictions summarise how selected institutions view the Milan-listed payment group’s valuation over the next 12 months. These third-party figures relate to the underlying cash equity on Borsa Italiana, not to Capital.com’s CFD pricing, and may differ from current market levels and intraday moves.

Investing.com (analyst poll)

Investing.com’s NEXI stock forecast consensus page places the average 12-month price target for Nexi around €5.53, with individual forecasts ranging from €3.50 to €8. The site cites projections from around 18 analysts, framed as forward-looking estimates amid ongoing reassessments of Nexi’s earnings and growth profile (Investing.com, 21 January 2026).

Simply Wall St (valuation note)

Simply Wall St published a valuation-focused note that references a narrative fair value of around €5.50 per share, compared with a last close near €3.78. The analysis links this difference to assumptions around efficiency measures and future profitability, while also noting sector competition and execution risks (Simply Wall St, 16 January 2026).

MarketScreener (broker consensus snapshot)

MarketScreener provides a consensus snapshot showing an average target price of around €5.53 from 17 covering analysts, spanning €3.50–€8. The platform describes the mean recommendation as ‘Outperform’, reflecting broker expectations at that time as they assessed Nexi’s profitability and integration plans (MarketScreener, 21 January 2026).

Morningstar (undervalued screen)

Morningstar highlights Nexi in a 2026 European stocks article, citing a fair value estimate of €7.90 per share versus its then market price. The research attributes this gap to its long-term cash-flow assumptions and view of Nexi’s competitive position, as the stock lagged through 2025 (Morningstar, 12 January 2026).

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

NEXI stock price: Technical overview

The NEXI stock price is trading around €3.71 in CFD terms as of 4pm UTC on 21 January 2026, remaining below its short- and medium-term moving-average cluster, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages near 4.0, 4.0, 4.4 and 4.8 respectively. The 14-day RSI sits around 33, placing it in lower-neutral territory rather than signalling extreme oversold conditions, while an ADX reading near 28 suggests an established trend backdrop rather than a range-bound market. Momentum indicators are mixed, with MACD negative, while some oscillators such as CCI(20) and Williams %R indicate tentative counter-trend signals as price trades below the main moving-average band.

On the upside, the nearest classic resistance sits around €4.34 (R1), with €4.47 (R2) coming into view on any sustained daily close above that level. The classic pivot near €4.12 acts as an initial support reference, followed by S1 around €4. These levels may come back into focus if price continues to test the lower end of its recent range (TradingView, 21 January 2026).

This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Nexi share price history (2024–2026)

NEXI’s stock price has shifted materially over the past two years, moving from the €7 area in early 2024 to below €4 by January 2026. In the first quarter of 2024, NEXI traded mostly between €6 and €7.40, with a February–March move that briefly pushed the stock above €7.40 before it settled back into the mid-€6s. By late 2024 and early 2025, price action cooled into a narrower €5.20–€6.30 band, with December 2024 prices around €5.75–€5.90 giving way to January 2025 levels nearer €4.60–€5.40 as volatility increased.

The downtrend became more pronounced through mid-2025. After hovering around €5.20–€5.60 in May and June, the stock moved toward €5.70–€5.90 in July and August before rolling over from late-August highs above €5.70. Subsequent months saw a steady decline, with September–October 2025 prices near €5.20–€5.60 followed by a slide into the mid-€4s, and then into the high-€3s toward year-end. As of 21 January 2026, NEXI closed at €3.72, down from around €4.92 one year earlier, and has spent January trading between roughly €3.65 and €4.30 as the stock consolidates near the lower end of its two-year range.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Nexi (NEXI): Capital.com analyst view

Nexi’s share price has trended lower over the past two years, moving from the €7 area in early 2024 to the high-€3s by January 2026, with recent CFD pricing on Capital.com around €3.71 as of 4pm UTC on 21 January 2026. This price action has occurred alongside a period in which the group has continued to report revenue and EBITDA growth, stronger cash generation and an investment-grade rating, as outlined in its FY 2024 results and subsequent investor materials, even as the share price has de-rated from earlier levels.

From a drivers perspective, Nexi’s role as a European PayTech provides exposure to long-term structural trends in digital payments, including increased card and mobile usage, direct-to-scheme access for payment service providers, and newer services such as instant money transfers. These factors may support the underlying business over time, but they sit alongside potential headwinds. Increased competition, regulatory developments, integration and efficiency programmes, and changes in interest-rate expectations can all influence valuations or sentiment. As a result, the same developments that some market participants view as supportive may also be seen as sources of execution risk or earnings uncertainty.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Summary – Nexi 2026

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most Nexi stock?

Nexi has a diversified shareholder base that includes institutional investors, asset managers and free-float shareholders, alongside strategic holdings linked to its merger history. Ownership levels can change over time as funds rebalance portfolios and as shares trade on Borsa Italiana. Nexi publishes major shareholding disclosures in line with Italian market regulations, and the available information does not indicate that any single shareholder exercises outright control of the group.

What is the five-year Nexi share price forecast?

There is no single, reliable five-year share price forecast for Nexi. Most publicly available estimates focus on shorter horizons, typically around 12 months, and are subject to revision as assumptions change. Longer-term outcomes depend on a range of variables, including digital payments adoption, competition, regulation, integration execution and broader market conditions. As a result, long-term price scenarios remain uncertain and are generally viewed as illustrative rather than predictive.

Is Nexi a good stock to buy?

Whether Nexi is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. Nexi operates in the European digital payments sector, which offers structural growth opportunities, while also presenting competitive, regulatory and execution risks. Share price performance has weakened in recent years despite reported operational progress. Assessing suitability typically involves personal analysis, rather than relying solely on third-party forecasts or historical performance.

Could Nexi stock go up or down?

Yes. Like all listed shares, Nexi’s price can move in either direction. Changes may reflect company earnings, integration progress, competitive pressures, regulatory developments, interest-rate expectations or broader market sentiment. Short-term price movements can also be influenced by liquidity and technical factors. Past price behaviour is not a reliable indicator of future performance, and both gains and losses are possible when trading or investing in Nexi-related instruments.

Should I invest in Nexi stock?

This article does not provide investment advice. Deciding whether to invest in Nexi stock depends on your financial situation, objectives and understanding of the risks involved. Shares can be volatile, and outcomes are uncertain. Many market participants choose to carry out their own research, consider multiple information sources and, where appropriate, seek independent professional advice before making a decision.

Can I trade Nexi CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade Nexi CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.

Capital.com is an execution-only brokerage platform and the content provided on the Capital.com website is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

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