Intesa Sanpaolo stock forecast: Third-party price targets
Intesa Sanpaolo is an Italian banking group listed on the Borsa Italiana, with operations covering retail banking, corporate services, asset management and insurance. Explore ISP price action, third-party price targets and technical analysis.
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. (ISP) is trading around €5.89 in intraday European dealing on 19 January 2026, moving within a session range between approximately €5.81 and €5.99 on Capital.com’s venue data as of 3:31pm UTC. Price action during the session has remained relatively contained, reflecting more limited short-term volatility compared with the stock’s recent multi-month moves within the wider Italian banking sector. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The move comes as Italian equities show mixed performance, with the FTSE MIB coming under pressure during weaker sessions for financials (Trading Economics, 19 January 2026). Sector sentiment is also framed by the broader Eurozone banking backdrop, with the EURO STOXX Banks index fluctuating near the upper end of its 52-week range, after setting a high in mid-January 2026 (STOXX, 19 January 2026).
Intesa Sanpaolo stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 19 January 2026, third-party Intesa Sanpaolo stock predictions reflect differing views on earnings resilience, capital returns and the future Eurozone interest-rate path. Targets cited here refer to published 12-month or dated price objectives stated in late December 2025 or January 2026 and are illustrative only and not guarantees of future performance.
MarketScreener (consensus snapshot)
MarketScreener reports that a group of 21 analysts carried an average 12-month ISP stock forecast of around €6.33 per share, with individual forecasts ranging between €4.50 and €7.20. The service frames this consensus within an 'Outperform/Buy' leaning, as analysts balance planned capital distributions against sensitivity to the Eurozone macroeconomic environment and banking regulation (MarketScreener, 19 January 2026).
Simply Wall St (fundamental model)
Simply Wall St notes that analysts covering Intesa Sanpaolo model earnings growth of around 4–6% per year over the coming years, with revenue expected to increase by approximately 3–4% annually. The platform places its fair-value and target-range analysis within assumptions of moderate loan growth, stable asset quality and a gradual normalisation of interest income as European Central Bank policy evolves (Simply Wall St, 30 December 2025).
Morgan Stanley (single-stock target)
Morgan Stanley analyst Alvaro Serrano reiterates a rating on Intesa Sanpaolo and sets a 12-month price target of €7.20 per share. The bank highlights what it describes as a 'Moderate Buy' broader consensus, citing Intesa Sanpaolo’s return-on-equity profile and capital distribution capacity as supportive factors within the current Italian banking context (Longbridge, 4 January 2026).
Barclays (broker note)
MarketScreener reports that Barclays analyst Paola Sabbione maintains a Buy rating on Intesa Sanpaolo, with a target price of €6.60 per share, unchanged from the previous assessment. The note references confidence in the bank’s earnings profile and capital returns within the prevailing Italian banking backdrop as reasons for maintaining both the rating and target (MarketScreener, 19 January 2026).
J.P. Morgan (broker rating update)
A January 2026 summary notes that J.P. Morgan has retained a Buy rating on Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, with analyst Delphine Lee assigning a target price of €6.90 per share. The report points to earnings capacity and capital strength as key supports within broader Eurozone banking dynamics (Longbridge, 9 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
ISP stock price: Technical overview
The ISP stock price is trading around €5.89 as of 3:31pm UTC on 19 January 2026, with price holding just above the classic pivot near €5.80 and below first resistance at €6.07. The daily simple moving-average cluster places the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day averages at approximately €5.92, €5.76, €5.62 and €5.25 respectively.
The 14-day RSI near 52 sits in broadly neutral territory, while an ADX reading around 22 suggests a trend that is present but lacks strong directional conviction. A daily close above €6.07 would bring the €6.22 region back into view as the next upside reference, with €6.00 acting as a nearby psychological level. On pullbacks, initial support is seen near the €5.80 pivot, followed by the 100-day SMA around €5.62. A sustained break below that area could expose the €5.65 S1 support zone (TradingView, 19 January 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Intesa Sanpaolo share price history (2024–2026)
ISP’s stock price has risen steadily over the past two years, moving from around €2.77 in late January 2024 to approximately €5.91 on 19 January 2026. The stock moved above €4.00 in April 2025, accelerated through €5.00 in early June 2025, and then entered a broad consolidation phase between roughly €5.30 and €6.10 into late 2025 and early 2026.
Year to date, ISP has traded between around €5.81 and €6.11, with January 2026 sessions showing relatively narrow intraday ranges as the price oscillates around the €6.00 level. Over the full two-year period, the shares have more than doubled from early-2024 levels, reflecting a recovery phase interspersed with periodic pullbacks and sideways movement.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP): Capital.com analyst view
Intesa Sanpaolo’s share price has advanced materially over the past two years, rising from around €2.77 in early 2024 to trade just below €6.00 by mid-January 2026 on Capital.com’s feed. This progression has unfolded in stages, including a break above €4.00 in April 2025, a sustained move beyond €5.00 from June 2025, and a period of consolidation in a €5.30–€6.10 range into late 2025 and early 2026 as earlier gains were absorbed and interest-rate expectations evolved.
Company-specific developments have also been in focus. Intesa Sanpaolo reported what it described as 'solid sustainable profitability' alongside net income of €5.2bn for the first half of 2025, a Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 13.5%, and a 2024 dividend totalling 34.1 euro cents per ordinary share. Based on the 2024 average share price, this implied a high single-digit dividend yield. While supportive capital positions across the Eurozone banking sector are often cited as a positive, European Central Bank analysis and independent commentators also point to risks linked to geopolitical uncertainty, potential financial-market repricing and a lower-for-longer rate environment, all of which could affect bank margins and, in turn, share prices if conditions shift.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Intesa Sanpaolo CFDs
As of 19 January 2026, Capital.com client positioning data for Intesa Sanpaolo CFDs shows 95.1% buyers versus 4.9% sellers, indicating a heavily skewed long-side positioning, with buyers exceeding sellers by approximately 90.2 percentage points. Such concentration suggests positioning is not evenly balanced and may be sensitive to shifts in sentiment. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com and can change over time.
Summary – Intesa Sanpaolo 2026
- Intesa Sanpaolo’s share price on Capital.com moved from around €3.86 in early January 2025 to trade near €5.91 by 19 January 2026, extending gains that have seen the stock more than double from early-2024 levels.
- During 2025, the price moved above €4.00 in April and €5.00 in June, before spending much of the second half of the year consolidating within a broad €5.30–€6.10 range.
- As of 19 January 2026, Intesa Sanpaolo is quoted around €5.89, within an intraday range of approximately €5.81–€5.99 on Capital.com’s feed.
- Technical indicators place price close to shorter-term moving averages, while the 100- and 200-day averages remain above levels seen earlier in the recovery phase, suggesting a market that is consolidating rather than trending decisively.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns most of Intesa Sanpaolo stock?
Intesa Sanpaolo has a widely distributed shareholder base, typical of a large European banking group. Ownership is spread across institutional investors, asset managers and retail shareholders, with no single investor holding an outright controlling stake. Italian and international institutions feature prominently among the largest holders, alongside pension funds and investment funds. This diversified ownership structure can help limit reliance on any single investor group, though shareholder influence remains broadly dispersed.
What is the five-year Intesa Sanpaolo share price forecast?
There is no definitive five-year ISP stock forecast. Most publicly available forecasts focus on shorter time horizons, typically around 12 months, and are subject to regular revision. Longer-term outcomes depend on factors such as interest-rate conditions, economic growth, regulatory change and bank-specific performance. As with most equities, uncertainty increases over longer timeframes, meaning extended projections are best viewed as illustrative scenarios rather than reliable predictions.
Is Intesa Sanpaolo a good stock to buy?
Whether Intesa Sanpaolo is considered a 'good' stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and market outlook. Analyst commentary often references factors such as earnings generation, capital strength and dividend policy, while also highlighting sensitivity to interest rates, macroeconomic conditions and regulation. As a result, views can vary widely. This information is provided for general market context only and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell the stock.
Could Intesa Sanpaolo stock go up or down?
Like all publicly traded shares, Intesa Sanpaolo’s stock price can move both higher and lower. Price changes may reflect developments in bank earnings, interest-rate expectations, economic data, regulatory updates or broader market sentiment. Short-term movements can also be influenced by technical factors and investor positioning. Past performance does not predict future results, and share prices may experience periods of volatility as well as consolidation.
Should I invest in Intesa Sanpaolo stock?
Deciding whether to invest in Intesa Sanpaolo requires consideration of personal financial circumstances, time horizon and risk appetite. Bank shares can be exposed to economic cycles, interest-rate shifts and regulatory change, all of which may affect returns. This content does not constitute investment advice. Anyone considering investing may wish to carry out independent research and, where appropriate, seek guidance from a qualified financial professional before making a decision.
Can I trade Intesa Sanpaolo CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Intesa Sanpaolo CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.