Waste Connections raises 2026 outlook after quarterly beat

By Reuters News


Overview

  • US solid waste services firm's Q3 revenue rose and beat analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 beat analyst expectations

  • Company raised dividend by 10% and repurchased over $1 bln in shares year to date


Outlook

  • Waste Connections raises 2026 revenue outlook to about $10.09 bln

  • Company sees 2026 net income at about $1.18 bln and adj EBITDA at $3.345 bln

  • Company expects 2026 adj free cash flow of $1.4 bln to $1.45 bln


Result Drivers

  • LANDFILL VOLUMES - Co said improved landfill volumes contributed to Q3 results

  • EMPLOYEE RETENTION AND SAFETY - Co said elevated employee retention and record safety performance supported operating results

  • MARGIN EXPANSION - Co said underlying margin expansion offset higher diesel prices


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Beat

$2.64 bln

$2.61 bln (13 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$1.58

$1.52 (14 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

$398.90 mln

Q3 Net Income

$359.20 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$895.80 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the environmental services & equipment peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Waste Connections, Inc. is C$274.48, about 15.3% above its October 20 closing price of C$238.15

  • The stock recently traded at 28 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 28 three months ago


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For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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