Twilio forecasts slower Q4 organic growth despite Q3 results beat

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Customer engagement platform's Q3 revenue rose 20%, beating analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 was $1.65, beating analyst expectations

  • Company repurchased $127.2 mln in shares during Q3

  • Shares of Twilio were down about 17% in after-hours trading


Outlook

  • Twilio expects Q4 organic revenue growth to slow to 11%-12% from 16% in Q3

  • Twilio sees Q4 revenue between $1.595 bln and $1.605 bln

  • Company expects Q4 non-GAAP income from operations of $300 mln to $310 mln

  • Twilio forecasts Q4 non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.48 to $1.53


Result Drivers

  • PRODUCT PORTFOLIO STRENGTH - Co attributed Q3 performance to broad-based strength across its product portfolio, per CEO Khozema Shipchandler

  • AI INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND - Co said increased adoption of AI is driving demand for its infrastructure products

  • CUSTOMER EXPANSION - Co reported higher dollar-based net expansion rate, indicating increased spending by existing customers


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Beat

$1.56 bln

$1.51 bln (24 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$1.65

$1.47 (24 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$1

Q3 Adjusted Operating Income

$326 mln

Q3 Gross Profit

$760.53 mln

Q3 Operating Income

$148.63 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 26 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the software peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Twilio Inc. is $275.00, about 8.4% above its October 28 closing price of $253.77

  • The stock recently traded at 38 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 34 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 29 - Software stocks slide as Fortinet, ServiceNow fail to meet lofty investor expectations

  • Oct 28 - Tenable Q3 revenue beats estimates; raises FY outlook

  • Oct 28 - Cybersecurity firm Fortinet's Q3 revenue rises 20%, adj EPS beats estimates


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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