Southwest Airlines beats Q3 profit expectations on record passenger revenue

By Reuters News


Overview

  • U.S. airline's Q3 operating revenue grew 21%, beating analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 beat analyst expectations despite significant fuel headwind

  • Company announced new airport lounges and loyalty program enhancements


Outlook

  • Southwest Airlines sees Q4 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.55 to $0.80

  • Company expects Q4 2026 RASM up 19% to 21% year-over-year

  • Southwest Airlines forecasts 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.60 to $2.85


Result Drivers

  • STRONG PASSENGER YIELD - Co reported record passenger revenue and highest passenger yield in its history, citing strong demand and enhanced product offering

  • UNIT REVENUE GROWTH - Unit revenues rose 21.6% year-over-year to an all-time record, with managed business revenue also reaching a third quarter record

  • FUEL COST HEADWIND - Co said margin expansion occurred despite an $821 mln increase in fuel costs compared to a year ago


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Operating revenue

Beat

$8.42 bln

$8.25 bln (16 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.66

$0.58 (19 Analysts)

Q3 Operating Expenses

$8.04 bln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 11 "strong buy" or "buy", 12 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the airlines peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Southwest Airlines Co is $50.00, about 26.1% above its October 20 closing price of $39.65

  • The stock recently traded at 10 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 14 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 21 - United Airlines sees elevated fuel costs through 2027, flags margin challenges

  • Oct 20 - LATAM says capacity growth tracking to lower end of guidance as fuel stays high

  • Oct 20 - Aerospace and military contractors raise 2026 profit forecasts


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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