Grand Canyon Education Q3 service revenue rises on higher university partner enrollments

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Education services provider's Q3 service revenue rose 2.4% yr/yr, driven by higher enrollments

  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA decreased 3.2%, pretax profit missed

  • Company approved $355 mln increase to share repurchase program


Outlook

  • Grand Canyon Education sees Q4 2026 service revenue between $320.5 mln and $321.5 mln

  • Company expects 2026 service revenue of $1.1607 bln to $1.1617 bln

  • Company forecasts 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $10.09 to $10.13


Result Drivers

  • ENROLLMENT GROWTH - Co said higher university partner enrollments drove Q3 service revenue increase

  • REVENUE SHIFT - Co said fewer days of revenue for ground students led to shift of revenue from Q3 to Q4, impacting per-student revenue

  • ONLINE TUITION MIX - Co said revenue per online student declined due to mix shift toward students with lower net tuition rates


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Net Income

$43.01 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$73.50 mln

Q3 Pretax Profit

Miss

$53.76 mln

$55.51 mln (3 Analysts)

Q3 Operating Income

$51.47 mln

Q3 Service revenue

$267.35 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the miscellaneous educational service providers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Grand Canyon Education Inc is $194.62, about 29.2% above its November 4 closing price of $150.67

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Nov 2 - HealthStream Q3 revenue, adjusted EBITDA beat estimates; raises 2026 outlook

  • Nov 3 - Duolingo Q3 daily active users accelerated to 29% on gains in every region; shares soar

  • Nov 3 - Hackett Group Q3 adj EPS beats estimates


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. The present material must be regarded as marketing communication and should not be interpreted as investment research or investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. We do not make any representations or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the information that is provided on this page. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk