FedEx lifts 2026 earnings outlook after seeing volume growth in the quarter

By Reuters News


Overview

  • Parcel delivery giant's Q3 revenue rose yr/yr to $22.9 bln

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 increased yr/yr to $3.74

  • Company completed $2 bln in share repurchases during the quarter


Outlook

  • FedEx raises 2026 revenue growth outlook to ~12% from ~11%

  • Company now sees 2026 adjusted diluted EPS at $18.00 to $18.60, up from $16.90 to $18.10

  • FedEx expects 2026 effective tax rate of ~22.5%, down from ~23%


Result Drivers

  • HIGHER PACKAGE YIELDS - Co said increased package base yields contributed to improved operating results

  • VOLUME GROWTH - Co said higher package volumes supported revenue and operating income

  • COST REDUCTIONS - Co attributed improved results to ongoing structural cost reductions from business optimization initiatives


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Revenue

$22.90 bln

Q1 Adjusted EPS

$3.74

Q1 EPS

$1.21

Q1 Net Income

$290 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 21 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the courier, postal, air freight & land-based logistics peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for FedEx Corp is $351.00, about 14.3% above its October 27 closing price of $307.10

  • The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 16 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 28 - FedEx forecasts annual profit above estimates, posts higher quarterly earnings on better pricing, volumes

  • Oct 27 - United Parcel Service expects fatter holiday profits on slightly slimmer volume

  • Oct 28 - Serve launches robot deliveries in Australia in first international push


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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