Chipotle Q3 revenue slightly beats estimates on news restaurant openings

By Reuters News


Overview

  • US fast-casual restaurant's Q3 revenue rose 9.6%, slightly beating analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 fell 6.9% and missed analyst expectations

  • Revenue growth driven mainly by new restaurant openings and modest comparable sales gains


Outlook

  • Chipotle expects 2026 full-year comparable restaurant sales growth in the low single-digit range

  • Company plans 350 to 370 new restaurant openings in 2026, including 10 to 15 international partner-operated locations

  • Chipotle estimates 2026 full-year effective tax rate between 24% and 26% before discrete items


Result Drivers

  • NEW RESTAURANT OPENINGS - Co said revenue growth was primarily driven by new restaurant openings

  • MODEST COMPARABLE SALES - Comparable restaurant sales rose 2.1%, with higher average check and more transactions

  • HIGHER LABOR COSTS - Labor costs rose due to wage inflation, performance bonuses, and increased staffing for operations and promotions


Company press release:


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Slight Beat*

$3.29 bln

$3.28 bln (28 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.27

$0.29 (30 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$0.27

Q3 Comparable Restaurant Sales Growth

2.10%

Q3 Operating Margin

13.70%

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 24 "strong buy" or "buy", 13 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is $42.25, about 51% above its October 27 closing price of $27.98

  • The stock recently traded at 21 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 27 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 28 - Chilis owner Brinker posts higher Q1 revenue on menu price hike; raises guidance

  • Oct 27 - Cheesecake Factory beats Q3 revenue estimates on strong traffic, menu innovations

  • Oct 28 - Wingstop Q3 revenue rises on corporate store openings


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. The present material must be regarded as marketing communication and should not be interpreted as investment research or investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. We do not make any representations or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the information that is provided on this page. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk