CF Industries Q3 sales rise 12%, beat estimates
Overview
US nitrogen producer's Q3 sales rose, beating analyst expectations
Net earnings and adjusted EBITDA increased yr/yr on higher prices and sales volumes
Company repurchased 3.0 mln shares for $367 mln in Q3
Outlook
CF Industries expects global nitrogen supply-demand fundamentals to remain constructive into 2027
Company projects robust global nitrogen demand in the short- to medium-term
CF Industries forecasts full-year 2026 gross ammonia production of about 9.5 mln tons
Result Drivers
HIGHER SELLING PRICES - Co said Q3 average selling prices rose for ammonia, ammonium nitrate and other segments due to a tight global nitrogen supply-demand balance and supply disruptions
INCREASED SALES VOLUMES - Q3 sales volumes rose 7% yr/yr, led by higher UAN, urea and other product sales, partly offset by lower AN and ammonia sales
HIGHER COSTS - Cost of sales increased in Q3 due to higher purchased product, freight, distribution and maintenance costs, including the ongoing Yazoo City Complex outage
Company press release:
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q3 Sales | Beat | $1.86 bln | $1.79 bln (11 Analysts) |
Q3 EPS | $2.87 | ||
Q3 Net Income | $436 mln | ||
Q3 Adjusted EBITDA | $833 mln | ||
Q3 Capex | $282 mln | ||
Q3 EBITDA | $822 mln |
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 14 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the agricultural chemicals peer group is "buy."
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for CF Industries Holdings Inc is $130.00, about 11.3% above its November 3 closing price of $116.81
The stock recently traded at 10 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 9 three months ago
Reuters Recommended Reads
Nov 2 - Pinched ammonia supplies from Trinidad add to US farmer pain ahead of elections
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Nov 4 - Ammonia maker AGF Nitrogen weighs shutdowns due to gas costs, demand slump, CEO says
For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.
(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)