CEE MARKETS-Leu steady off lows ahead of interest rate decision

By Reuters News

- The leu traded flat on Thursday, ahead of a decision on interest rates by the National Bank of Romania (NBR), while other Central Eastern European currencies got some relief after weakening earlier this week.

  • Romania's central bank is widely expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 6.5%, as a weaker currency and higher energy prices feed into inflation while the economy contracts

  • "The disinflation trajectory next year should allow the NBR to begin easing, provided the fiscal stance remains firm, which in turn depends on political stability," Romania's BCR bank wrote

  • The Romanian leu traded flat against the euro at 5.3460 at 1012 GMT, remaining within a narrow range off 5.39 — its weakest-ever level, hit in early October

  • In Hungary, the government debt agency sold 88 billion forints' worth of bonds on Thursday against an offer of 65 billion forints, with yields on the 10-year paper falling to 5.37% from 5.49%

  • The forint was 0.2% firmer at 364.15 per euro on Thursday, pulling away from its weakest level in November, 365.45, hit on Wednesday

  • Shares in Gedeon Richter GDRB.BU hit an all-time high on Thursday after the Hungarian drugmaker announced an exclusive licensing deal with Eli Lilly LLY.N to develop therapies combining Richter's estetrol with Lilly medicines

  • The Polish zloty and the Czech crown rose 0.2% each to 4.4035 and 24.3580 per euro, respectively, both after slipping earlier this week, with analysts pointing to oil prices as a risk


CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1112 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

24.3580

24.3840

+0.11%

-0.79%

Hungarian forint

364.1500

364.9500

+0.22%

+5.55%

Polish zloty

4.4035

4.4130

+0.22%

-4.27%

Romanian leu

5.3460

5.3460

+0.00%

-4.71%

Serbian dinar

117.5700

117.6000

+0.03%

-0.23%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2649.93

2645.4100

+0.17%

-1.33%

Budapest

.BUX

146960.22

146591.85

+0.25%

+32.36%

Warsaw

.WIG20

4270.98

4208.46

+1.49%

+34.14%

Bucharest

.BETI

34339.20

34284.53

+0.16%

+40.51%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

4.2793

-0.0354

+120bps

+1bps

Czech Rep 5-year

4.5555

-0.0073

+143bps

+3bps

Czech Rep 10-year

5.1411

-0.0200

+185bps

+1bps







Poland 2-year

4.9240

0.1300

+185bps

+17bps

Poland 5-year

5.6730

-0.0090

+255bps

+3bps

Poland 10-year

6.2010

0.0250

+291bps

+6bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

,

4.31

4.54

4.63

4.10

Poland

,

4.22

4.49

4.62

3.90

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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