CEE MARKETS-Czech crown at one-month low as currencies return to weaker ground

By Reuters News

- Central Europe's currencies drifted on Wednesday, with the Czech crown weakening a touch to a one-month low as a stronger dollar caused headwinds and investors in the region took in the latest round of inflation data and central bank meetings.

Poland's local markets were closed for a public holiday on Wednesday.

  • Stock markets in Budapest .BUX and Bucharest .BETI pushed higher, while Prague's index .PX was dragged lower after a margin outlook cut by Czech defence group CSG CSG.AS, caused its shares to fall sharply

  • On currency markets, Romania's leu was steady at 5.3447 per euro at 1021 GMT, ahead of a central bank meeting on Thursday where analysts expect interest rates to remain unchanged

  • Only the Czech central bank has hiked rates this year, including at a meeting last week, as high energy prices caused by the Iran war pressure inflation

  • Poland may also tighten policy next year, analysts say, but Romania and Hungary, where rates are higher, are staying hawkishly on hold, with the latter recently pausing a loosening cycle

  • In Hungary, stronger-than-expected inflation data on Wednesday has likely pushed a return to rate cuts out to next year

  • Goldman Sachs said inflation could still stay below the Hungarian bank's target and, combined with a lower-than-expected 2027 budget deficit target, may give the bank "room to resume easing in the coming months"

  • The forint traded 0.2% lower at 365.20 per euro and inched toward the weaker end of a recent range, while the Czech crown dipped to 24.378 per euro; Poland's zloty was also down a touch at 4.4015 to the euro with domestic markets closed


    CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1121 CET

    CURRENCIES

    Latest trade

    Previous close

    Daily change

    Change in 2026

    Czech crown

    24.3780

    24.3600

    -0.07%

    -0.87%

    Hungary forint

    365.2000

    364.6000

    -0.16%

    +5.25%

    Polish zloty

    4.4015

    4.3980

    -0.08%

    -4.22%

    Romanian leu

    5.3447

    5.3440

    -0.01%

    -4.69%

    Serbian dinar

    117.5700

    117.6400

    +0.06%

    -0.23%

    Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

    STOCKS

    Latest

    Previous close

    Daily change

    Change in 2026

    Prague

    .PX

    2640.44

    2675.5400

    -1.31%

    -1.68%

    Budapest

    .BUX

    145382.28

    144586.39

    +0.55%

    +30.94%

    Bucharest

    .BETI

    34364.01

    34312.60

    +0.15%

    +40.61%

    BONDS

    Yield (bid)

    Yield change

    Spread vs Bund

    Daily change in spread

    Czech Rep 2-year

    4.3046

    0.0632

    +123bps

    +7bps

    Czech Rep 5-year

    4.5534

    0.0298

    +143bps

    +4bps

    Czech Rep 10-year

    5.1556

    0.0260

    +185bps

    +3bps







    Poland 2-year

    4.7940

    -0.1050

    +172bps

    -10bps

    Poland 5-year

    5.6900

    0.0080

    +256bps

    +2bps

    Poland 10-year

    6.1740

    -0.0020

    +287bps

    +0bps

    FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

    3x6

    6x9

    9x12

    3M interbank

    Czech Rep

    ,

    4.31

    4.55

    4.64

    4.10

    Poland

    ,

    4.21

    4.43

    4.55

    3.90

    Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices






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