Fincantieri stock forecast: Third-party price targets
Fincantieri is an Italian shipbuilding group listed in Milan, with operations spanning cruise, naval and offshore vessels. Explore FCT’s recent price action, third-party price targets and technical analysis.
Fincantieri S.p.A. (FCT) is trading around €19.80 in intraday European dealings on 16 January 2026, within an approximate range of €18.99–€19.86, according to Capital.com’s CFD quote feed at 11:16am (UTC). The price is currently near the upper end of that range, suggesting the stock is trading closer to session highs than lows during the day. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The share is trading against the backdrop of several recent company updates. These include Fincantieri’s approval of its 2026–2030 business plan in mid-December 2025, which outlines anticipated revenue growth and an increased focus on defence and underwater segments (Fincantieri, 16 December 2025), as well as a 9M 2025 trading update showing revenues of about €6.7bn, up roughly 20% year on year, with EBITDA rising by around 40% (Fincantieri, 12 November 2025). Wider news flow has also drawn attention to Italy’s updated Arctic policy, which references potential opportunities for shipbuilders such as Fincantieri linked to future Arctic shipping routes (Reuters, 16 January 2026).
Fincantieri stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 16 January 2026, third-party Fincantieri stock predictions indicate a relatively clustered range in the low-to-mid €20s over a 12-month horizon, based on spot prices on Borsa Italiana. These third-party forecasts do not represent Capital.com’s view and may change without notice as new information becomes available.
MarketScreener (aggregated consensus)
MarketScreener reports an average FCT stock forecast of about €21.81, based on a sample of eight analysts, with a maximum price target of €25.00and a minimum price target of €18.50. The platform assigns a mean ‘Outperform’ stance, reflecting analyst assessments that factor in expected shipbuilding activity, defence exposure and the recently approved multi-year plan (MarketScreener, 16 January 2026).
Simply Wall St (model-based fair value)
Equity research platform, Simply Wall St cites an analyst consensus target near €21.50 for Fincantieri’s shares. It notes that this implied upside is based on modelled assumptions around earnings and margin development over the coming years, using a DCF-style framework (Simply Wall St, 7 January 2026).
TipRanks (analyst aggregate)
TipRanks reports an average 12-month price target of about €20.10 for Fincantieri, with a high target of €23.20 and a low of €17.00, based on two analysts. The service notes a Hold-type consensus, as analysts balance expected earnings and revenue growth against leverage levels and execution risks within a backdrop of sector-specific and broader macroeconomic uncertainty (TipRanks, 16 January 2026).
Investing.com (consensus screen)
Investing.com shows an average 12-month price target of €21.81 for Fincantieri, with individual estimates ranging roughly between €18.50 and €25.00, drawn from eight contributing analysts. The site describes the overall rating mix as broadly positive, with a combination of Buy and Hold recommendations, based on assumptions of revenue growth and margin development, tempered by valuation considerations and balance-sheet factors (Investing.com, 16 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FCT stock price: Technical overview
The FCT stock price is trading around €19.80 as of 11:16am (UTC) on 16 January 2026, remaining above a rising cluster of moving averages, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs located near €18.03, €18.46, €20.11 and €17.24 respectively. The 14-day RSI, at around 60.69, sits in the upper-neutral range, while an ADX reading near 27.24 suggests the presence of an established trend rather than a sideways market.
On the upside, the nearest classic pivot resistance above spot lies at R1 around €18.84, with R2 near €20.98 only becoming relevant following a sustained daily close above the initial level. On the downside, the classic pivot at €17.06 marks initial support on pullbacks, with the 200-day SMA near €17.24 acting as a key medium-term reference area. A deeper support level at S1 around €14.92 would only come into focus if that zone were to break (TradingView, 16 January 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Fincantieri share price history (2024–2026)
Fincantieri’s share price has experienced a significant re-rating over the past two years, rising from well below €1.00 in early 2024 to the high-teens by January 2026. The stock traded broadly sideways during the first half of 2024, typically within a €0.50–€0.80 range, before beginning a sustained upward move into mid-year and accelerating further through 2025 as prices moved into double digits.
From around €0.55 in January 2024, Fincantieri climbed to roughly €5.00 by mid-2024, then extended those gains through 2025, forming a series of higher highs. This included a move from around €10.00 in March to above €20.00 by October. After reaching the €20–€26 area in autumn 2025, the share price retreated into the mid-teens by December before recovering into early 2026, with Fincantieri trading near €19.85 on 16 January 2026.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Fincantieri (FCT): Capital.com analyst view
The FCT stock price has undergone a sharp repricing over the past two years, moving from below €1.00 in early 2024 to around €19.80 by mid-January 2026, with 2025 characterised by a strong advance followed by periods of consolidation. This move has coincided with improved reported fundamentals, including 9M 2025 revenues of about €6.7bn, up roughly 20% year on year, and EBITDA growth of around 40%, with margins near 6.9%. At the same time, some external commentators have noted valuation considerations following the scale of the rally.
From a fundamental perspective, Fincantieri’s approved 2026–2030 business plan outlines targets for higher revenue, margins and cash generation. Management has highlighted a greater contribution from defence and underwater activities as a potential support for future profitability, alongside plans to reduce leverage. An alternative view is that execution risk, cyclical demand in cruise and offshore markets, cost pressures and any moderation in defence spending could affect outcomes, contributing to continued volatility in the share price after a strong historical advance.
Summary – Fincantieri 2026
- Fincantieri’s share price rose from below €1.00 in early 2024 to trade at times within the €20–€26 range during 2025, before consolidating in the mid- to high-teens towards year-end.
- As of 16 January 2026, Fincantieri is trading near €19.80, following recent intraday movement between approximately €19.13 and €19.87.
- The company reported 9M 2025 revenues of around €6.7bn, representing growth of about 20% year on year, with EBITDA increasing by roughly 40% and margins reaching around 6.9%.
- Fincantieri’s 2026–2030 business plan sets out targets for revenue and EBITDA growth by 2030, supported by a higher-margin business mix and a stronger focus on defence and underwater segments, alongside deleveraging objectives.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Fincantieri stock?
Fincantieri’s shareholder base includes a mix of public and institutional ownership. The Italian state, through entities such as Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (CDP), is widely recognised as a major shareholder, reflecting the company’s strategic importance to Italy’s industrial and defence sectors. Alongside this, the free float is held by institutional investors and retail shareholders. Exact ownership levels can change over time as holdings are adjusted and regulatory disclosures are updated.
What is the five-year Fincantieri share price forecast?
There is no single, definitive five-year FCT stock forecast. Most publicly available projections tend to focus on shorter timeframes, typically around 12 months, and are produced by third-party analysts. Longer-term outcomes are inherently more uncertain and depend on factors such as execution of the 2026–2030 business plan, conditions in shipbuilding and defence markets, cost trends and broader economic developments. As a result, longer-dated forecasts are generally treated with greater caution.
Is Fincantieri a good stock to buy?
Whether Fincantieri is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on an individual’s objectives, time horizon and risk tolerance. The company has reported improving revenues and profitability and has outlined medium-term strategic targets. At the same time, the share price has already undergone a substantial re-rating, and future performance remains exposed to execution risks, cyclical demand and sector-specific uncertainties. This information is provided for context only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell the stock.
Could Fincantieri stock go up or down?
Like all listed shares, Fincantieri’s stock price can move both higher and lower. Price movements may be influenced by company-specific factors such as earnings updates, order intake and progress against strategic targets, as well as broader market conditions, investor sentiment and macroeconomic developments. Past price movements are not a reliable indicator of future performance, and periods of volatility are possible, particularly following strong rallies or shifts in expectations.
Should I invest in Fincantieri stock?
Decisions about investing in Fincantieri stock are personal and should be based on individual circumstances, including financial goals, time horizon and risk appetite. Share prices can be affected by factors such as market volatility, company execution and external economic conditions. This article provides factual and third-party information for general market context only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Investors may wish to seek independent professional guidance before making any decision.
Can I trade Fincantieri CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Fincantieri CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.