Volkswagen forecast 2025-2030: Third-party price target

Volkswagen (VOW3) is up approximately 5% since the beginning of 2025, and down 22% year on year. The stock has been on an uptrend since early January, following a slump that lasted for much of the latter half of 2024.

What’s next for Europe’s largest automaker by market capitalisation? Here’s the Volkswagen share price forecast for 2025-2030 and beyond, with price action, analyst targets, and third-party predictions.

Volkswagen (VOW3) stock forecast: Analysts’ sentiments

Volkswagen stock predictions as of 12 February 2025 include TipRanks, which gave a consensus of  ‘moderate buy’, aggregated from ratings given by 10 analysts over the last three months. Five analysts held a ‘buy’ rating, four suggested to ‘hold’ and one suggested ‘sell’. 

Tipranks’ consensus 12-month Volkswagen stock price target was €107.86 per share, with a potential 14.99% upside based on the last price of €93.80. The lowest price target was €98 and the highest €117.

Trading Economics provided a neutral Volkswagen stock price prediction, targeting a €93.61 average VOW3 price in one year. 

TradingView was more bullish, targeting a €113.92 VOW3 price in 12-months time, averaged from 23 analysts’ forecasts which ranged from €75 to €180.50. The aggregate rating was a ‘buy’, with 11 analysts giving a ‘strong buy’, two to ‘buy’, and another two recommending ‘strong sell’.

By contrasct, forecasting service Wallet Investor provided a somewhat bearish outlook for Volkswagen stock, suggesting that VOW3 could close 2025 at €70.39, falling to approximately €45.35 by the end of 2026, and €20.26 by the end of 2027.

Meanwhile, the Financial Times aggregated four analyst ratings, with one giving a ‘buy’, one an ‘outperform’, and two a ‘hold’ rating. Collectively, these analysts’ forecasts average a €118 12-month VOW3 target, the highest being €136 and the lowest €90.

It’s impossible to predict future stock price movements with 100% accuracy due to the unpredictability of financial markets. Do independent research and perform due diligence; bear in mind your risk tolerance, time commitment, and individual preferences; and never trade with more than you can afford to lose.

VOW3 stock fundamental analysis

Volkswagen made headlines in December 2024 when workers across its manufacturing sites in Germany launched strike action in response to planned wage cuts and factory closures.

In a February 2025 interview with CNBC’s ‘Street Signs Europe’, Horst Schneider, head of European research at Bank of America Global Research, highlighted the urgency of resolving the issue. He stated: ‘The situation has to be solved at Volkswagen… labour costs need to come down, and also manufacturing capacity needs to come down because manufacturing in Germany has become too expensive.’

BBC business correspondent Theo Leggett echoed this sentiment, highlighting dwindling sales in Germany, Europe’s largest auto market, as a key factor: ‘It's not just production that is down – sales of cars made by German brands are far lower than they were just a few years ago. Between 2017 and 2023, [sales] of VW fell from 10.7m to 9.2m.’

Market challenges and strategic shifts

Volkswagen also faces challenges from overseas, from US president Trump’s trade tariffs and rising competition from Chinese automakers, to an ongoing legal dispute with tax authorities in India.

Morningstar equity analyst Rella Suskin reaffirmed Volkswagen’s fair value estimate at EUR 264 per share, noting that the automaker plans to cut its German production capacity by 734,000 units – 8% of its 2023 sales volume – and reduce its German workforce by 35,000, or 5% of its total headcount, by 2030. The move is aimed at aligning with Europe’s structurally lower post-pandemic vehicle demand while countering intensifying Chinese competition.

Fitch weighed in on the potential impact of US tariffs on European car manufacturers, highlighting that while European automakers, including Volkswagen and Stellantis, have significant production in Mexico, any tariffs introduced during the 2026 US-Mexico-Canada Agreement review would add to mounting cost pressures. However, Fitch noted that direct European exports to the US represent less than 10% of sales, limiting the immediate risk.

Meanwhile, Reuters reported a 1.4% decline in Volkswagen’s global deliveries to 4.8 million vehicles in 2024, with battery-electric sales slipping 2.5%. The downturn was particularly sharp in China, where deliveries fell 8.3% to 2.2 million vehicles. In contrast, North America saw a strong rebound, with deliveries surging 18.4% to over 592,000 units.

In February 2025, Volkswagen announced plans to release an ‘entry-level’ electric vehicle to market, planned for release in 2027.

History of Volkswagen

Volkswagen, originally called Gesellschaft zur Vorbereitung des Deutschen Volkswagens mbH, was founded in Berlin in 1937 after the German government commissioned auto engineer and Porsche AG founder Ferdinand Porsche to design a car suitable for the average citizen – ‘Volkswagen’ means ‘people’s car’ in German. In 1938, the company changed its name to Volkswagenwerk GmBH.

Volkswagen’s subsidiaries include Audi AG, SEAT and Škoda Auto, among others. As of 12 February 2025, it was the eighth-largest automaker in the world, with a market cap of $47.6 billion.

Volkswagen AG stock price history

Past performance isn’t a reliable indicator of future performance

Volkswagen, traded as VOW3 on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, is one of the largest stocks on the German stock market, and a component of the Germany 40 stock market index. The Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent global lockdowns in 2020 saw the VOW3 price fall to its lowest level in almost five years. After starting at €175.60 on 19 March 2020, it sank to €79.38. Over the later months of the year, as economies began opening up, VOW3 seemingly began to recover and closed the year at €152.40. 

In 2021, Volkswagen announced it was increasing its EV capacity and scaling up MEB (modular electric drive matrix) use. In March, the company stated it planned to deliver a total of 450,000 EVs to customers – more than twice the figure delivered the year before. Volkswagen’s EV sales during the first three quarters of the year put it in third place, with a 10.1% market share compared to 21.5% for Tesla. 

The company’s potential to increase its share of the EV market had a positive effect on its share price, which skyrocketed throughout the month of March, reaching a high of €249.70 on 6 April.

A reversal in fortunes

However, by June 2021 a downtrend began that would last until the end of 2021. Though there were multiple technical rebounds along the road, none led to a higher high, and on 30 December the stock closed at €177.48, having lost nearly all the gains it made from the EV announcement.

VOW3 opened 2022 at €178, and maintained a relatively stable downward trend, amid macroeconomic uncertainties, rising inflation and numerous central banks around the world raising interest rates – closing the year at €92.88.

The Volkswagen AG stock price continued its downward trajectory in 2023, influenced by ongoing global economic challenges and increased competition in the EV market. The stock closed the year at approximately €103.42.

In 2024, Volkswagen faced continued pressure from both traditional competitors and emerging EV manufacturers. Despite efforts to expand its electric vehicle lineup, the company's share price struggled to gain momentum. By the end of 2024, VOW3 was trading around €88.66, showing a slight recovery from its 2023 lows but still well below its historical peaks.

As of February 2025, the VOW3 share price stood at approximately €93.68, with analysts providing mixed forecasts for the year ahead.

Shares trading strategies to consider

Financial markets can be unpredictable. Build a structured, informed approach by choosing a trading strategy suited to your individual preferences, risk tolerance, and time commitment.

• Day trading: a shorter term strategy, lasting a day or less. Day traders aim to capture gains from short-term price fluctuations.

• Swing trading: a medium term strategy, lasting from days to weeks. Swing traders aim to profit from price swings.

• Position trading: a longer term strategy, lasting months or years. Position traders aim to follow major market trends for as long as possible.

• Trend trading: a strategy with a variable time commitment. Trend traders aim to profit from sustained price movements.

Discover more trading strategies on our comprehensive trading strategies page.

Balancing risks and rewards in Volkswagen share trading

While trading Volkswagen (VOW3) shares offers potential opportunities, long-term success depends on a structured approach, effective risk management, and continuous market analysis. Identify the potential risks and rewards of trading VOW3 stock, and learn how to trade with confidence.

• Market knowledge: stay informed about Volkswagen’s business performance, industry trends, and macroeconomic influences such as interest rates, inflation, and global trade policies.

• Risk management: use stop-loss orders, proper position sizing, and predefined risk-reward ratios to limit potential losses.

• Trading strategy: choose a trading approach that aligns with your risk tolerance and time commitment. Short-term traders may focus on capitalising on price swings, while long-term traders may consider Volkswagen’s market positioning and potential.

• Diversification: spreading your trading portfolio across different stocks, industries, and asset classes can help reduce exposure to the risks of any single stock.

• Regulatory awareness: Volkswagen operates in a highly regulated industry. Changes in emissions laws, trade policies, or labour regulations can impact stock performance.

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