Intel stock forecast: What’s next for INTC after poor earnings?

Discover the Intel (INTC) share price forecast for 2025 and beyond, with analyst price targets and more

By Dan Mitchell19 hours ago Updated

Intel stock forecast: What’s next for INTC after poor earnings? Close up of Intel sign at entrance of The Intel Museum in Silicon Valley. — Close up of Intel sign at entrance of The Intel Museum in Silicon Valley. Photo: JHVEPhoto / Shutterstock.com

As of 26 August 2025, Intel (INTC) shares were trading around $24.55 – up 21% since the start of the year, but still well below their 2021 highs.

Where could INTC go next? In this article, we explore a range of third-party Intel stock forecasts for 2025-2050, and the key factors that could drive its price up or down.

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Current Intel price and market position

Intel Corporation is one of the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturers, established in 1968 and best known for its central processing units (CPUs). The company has long played a pivotal role in powering the personal computer industry, while also supplying processors for data centres and enterprise systems.

In recent years, Intel has been undergoing a strategic transformation. Under its 'IDM 2.0' plan, it is investing heavily in advanced manufacturing facilities in the US and Europe, positioning itself as both a chip designer and an emerging contract manufacturer through Intel Foundry Services. The company is also broadening its role in markets such as artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure, where it faces strong competition from Nvidia, AMD, and companies building on ARM-based architectures.

Alongside this pivot, Intel has secured commitments for multi-billion dollar support under the US CHIPS Act and European programmes, helping fund planned or under-construction fabrication facilities in Arizona, Ohio, Germany, and Ireland. Progress on its technology roadmap, including the development of the Intel 18A process node, has been closely watched by investors as a signal of its potential to regain manufacturing leadership.

Intel (INTC) closed on 25 August 2025 at around $24.55 – up 21% from the start of January ($20.23) and approximately 20% above its level in the same period last year ($20.54). The company had a market capitalisation of about $107.2bn, placing it among the largest US-listed semiconductor firms. Over the past 52 weeks, INTC has traded between $17.67 and $27.55.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

INTC stock forecast for 2025 and beyond

As of 26 August 2025, third-party outlooks on the Intel stock forecast remained mixed, with many sources – including TipRanks, TradingView, and CoinCodex – maintaining a cautious stance.

Consensus INTC price targets

On 26 August 2025, TipRanks aggregated the views of 29 analysts, returning a consensus ‘hold’ rating. Of these, 25 recommended holding, three advised selling, and one suggested buying. The average 12-month INTC forecast was $22.17, with targets ranging from a low of $14 to a high of $28.

Intel technical analysis

For a near-term snapshot, TradingView’s summary of one-month INTC technical indicators leaned towards a bearish view. Of 26 signals, 11 pointed to ‘sell’, 10 were ‘neutral’, and five to ‘buy’. This mix indicated that momentum indicators and oscillators were yet to show a clear reversal from recent downward pressure.

Algorithmic INTC stock predictions

Looking further ahead, CoinCodex’s Intel stock forecast for 2025 (26 August) projected an average price of $24.09, within a $22.48-$25.94 band. Its model anticipated a decline over the longer term, falling to $18.06 in 2026 and dropping to $8.27 by 2030. By 2040, the forecast suggested INTC’s stock price could fall to $1.41, with a further decline to $0.17 by 2050.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Analyst forecasts can be inaccurate, based on assumptions and historical data, and should not replace independent research. Always conduct due diligence before trading, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

INTC stock price predictions: Analyst outlook

As of 26 August 2025, individual analysts continued to take a cautious stance in their Intel (INTC) stock forecasts:

Bernstein: maintained a ‘neutral’ rating, with a $21 price target.
UBS: reiterated a ‘neutral’ rating, setting a target at $25.
JPMorgan: raised its price target to $21 from $20, while keeping an ‘underweight’ rating.
Needham & Company: reiterated a ‘hold’ rating.
Benchmark: also issued a ‘hold’ recommendation.

On 25 August 2025, Morningstar reiterated its $21 fair value estimate, assigning Intel a three-star rating and highlighting a 'very high' level of uncertainty. While the firm's agreement with the US government – wherein $8.9bn will be invested at $20.47 per share – was seen as a positive development, Morningstar noted that it does not resolve the structural and operational challenges Intel faces.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

What could influence Intel’s share price?

Intel’s (INTC) share price can respond to a wide range of fundamental and macroeconomic drivers. From government investment to technological execution, here are some of the key factors to monitor.

Government involvement and strategic funding

The US government’s commitment of up to $8.5bn in grants and $11bn in loans under the CHIPS Act has been positioned as long-term support for domestic chipmaking. This may help underpin confidence, particularly in Intel’s foundry ambitions. However, deeper state involvement could also lead to reduced flexibility in commercial decision-making, which may act as a drag on valuation.

Earnings and financial outlook

Intel’s quarterly results remain a major short-term catalyst. Better-than-expected revenue, margin improvements, or positive forward guidance can support the stock. Missed targets or downbeat forecasts – especially if linked to its manufacturing turnaround or AI competitiveness – may increase downside risk.

Product roadmap and execution

Progress on Intel’s process nodes (notably the planned Intel 18A in 2025), and its ability to bring next-generation chips to market, is closely watched. Successful rollouts can bolster sentiment and help recapture market share. Delays or execution risks – such as yield issues or missed client deadlines – could weigh on the share price.

Competitive positioning

Intel faces pressure from rivals across multiple verticals, including AMD in CPUs, Nvidia in AI acceleration, and TSMC and Samsung in foundry services. Gaining ground in key segments or announcing new customer wins may lift expectations. Conversely, ongoing market share erosion or the loss of strategic accounts could raise questions about its turnaround plan.

Broader tech and macroeconomic conditions

Semiconductor stocks tend to reflect wider sentiment in the tech sector. A strong macro backdrop or renewed demand from data centres and PC markets could support Intel’s valuation. On the flip side, recession concerns or signs of prolonged softness in IT spending might limit visibility on growth.

Regulatory and policy shifts

Favourable policy measures – such as US CHIPS Act incentives, EU subsidies or tax credits – may improve Intel’s cost structure or support its expansion efforts. Tighter export controls or increased scrutiny of its global supply chain could pose additional headwinds.

Supply chain stability and input costs

Stable access to tools and raw materials helps manage costs and deliver on production targets. Any disruptions, including geopolitical risk, could challenge timelines or margins. At the same time, easing input costs, or logistics bottlenecks may provide a tailwind to profitability.

When you trade INTC shares with us, you’re using contracts for difference (CFDs). CFDs are derivative products that let you speculate on price movements in either direction, without taking ownership of the underlying asset. CFDs are traded on margin, meaning leverage above 1:1 can amplify both profits and losses, which makes leveraged trading inherently risky.

Trade Intel share CFDs with Capital.com.

INTC shares trading strategies to consider

Trading Intel share CFDs can be approached in several ways, depending on your preferred time horizon and market view. While no strategy suits everyone, using built-in platform tools – including stop-loss* and take-profit orders – may help manage risk and set defined exit levels where possible.

Here are some common INTC shares trading strategies:

Day trading: day traders focus on short-term price movements, often reacting to earnings releases, regulatory developments or policy announcements, or technical chart signals.

Swing trading: swing traders aim to benefit from medium-term shifts in sentiment, holding positions for several days to capture momentum linked to broader tech trends.

Trend trading: trend traders look to follow the dominant direction of the INTC stock price, using tools like moving averages or support/resistance levels to time entries and exits.

Position trading: position traders take a longer view, typically holding trades for weeks or months, and may factor in Intel’s product roadmap or developments in the wider industry landscape.

*Please note that stop-loss orders aren’t guaranteed. A guaranteed stop-loss incurs a fee if triggered.

Discover more approaches on our CFD trading strategies page.

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FAQ

Where can I buy INTC stock?

You can access Intel shares through the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker ‘INTC’. The stock is widely available via major brokers and trading platforms that support US markets. If you wish to speculate on price movements, you can also trade contracts for difference (CFDs) on the INTC stock price, noting that these are derivative products and involve distinct risks.

Could INTC rise or fall?

Intel’s share price may respond to a combination of earnings results, technology milestones and broader sector shifts. Positive catalysts could include foundry client wins, faster rollout of advanced nodes, or an AI-related rebound. Risks include execution delays, cost overruns, or market share loss to key rivals. Third-party commentary suggests a wide range of possible outcomes, with considerable uncertainty in longer-term forecasts.

Should I trade or invest in INTC?

Trading Intel share CFDs may appeal if you’re targeting short-term price swings, such as those around earnings announcements or policy updates, and have a high risk appetite. Investing in INTC shares may suit longer-term traders who are aware of sector cyclicality and ongoing strategic risks. Both approaches carry risk – consider your goals, time horizon and trading experience before deciding how to proceed.