Xiaomi stock forecast: Third-party price targets
Xiaomi is a Hong Kong-listed technology company operating across smartphones, Internet of Things devices and electric vehicles, with its shares actively traded on the Hong Kong Exchange under the ticker 1810. Explore third-party 1810 price targets and technical analysis.
Xiaomi Corporation (1810) is trading around $35.56 HKD as of 10:24am on 10 February 2026, moving within an intraday range of $34.98–$36.04 HKD on Capital.com’s feed. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The stock is trading amid broader strength in Hong Kong equities, with the Hang Seng Index holding above 27,000 points and daily turnover exceeding $200bn HKD (The Standard HK, 27 January 2026). Sector sentiment has also been supported by steady global smartphone demand and developments in Xiaomi’s automotive business referenced in recent news coverage (Yahoo Finance, 7 December 2025). Company-specific drivers this month include multiple share buyback announcements on the HKEX news platform and updates on Xiaomi’s electric vehicle rollout and deliveries, alongside reports of more than 39,000 vehicles delivered in January (MarketScreener, 6 February 2026). These factors have kept the stock in focus among technology and EV-related names.
Xiaomi stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 10 February 2026, third-party Xiaomi stock predictions present a wide range of indicative price targets. These estimates generally span from the low-$40s HKD to the high-$50s HKD, based on 12-month or full-year horizons. The views summarised below reflect external research and modelling and are not Capital.com projections. Forecasts may change as assumptions and market conditions evolve.
Smartkarma (independent research note)
Smartkarma reports Xiaomi’s share price at $39.24 HKD and outlines a valuation framework suggesting potential upside toward the low- to mid-$40s HKD under certain scenarios. The analysis points to competition and cost pressures as near-term challenges, while also noting possible support from improvements in product mix, continued share buybacks and progress within the electric vehicle segment (Smartkarma, 5 January 2026).
Simply Wall St (DCF-based fair value)
Simply Wall St states that its discounted cash-flow model implies a fair value of $57.80 HKD per share, compared with a market price of $36.48 HKD at the time. The assessment attributes this difference to assumptions around revenue growth, margin improvement and premiumisation, including higher-end smartphones and vehicles, as well as contributions from proprietary chips and AI-related features (Yahoo Finance, 20 January 2026).
Goldman Sachs (broker research excerpt)
Goldman Sachs maintains a 12-month 1810 stock forecast of $47.50 HKD, alongside a buy rating. While the broker trims revenue and earnings forecasts for 2026–2027, it continues to factor in higher smartphone average selling prices and electric vehicle deliveries. The report cites projected ASP increases of 6% in 2026 and 4% in 2027, with an optimistic scenario valuation extending to $55 HKD per share (Futunn, 26 January 2026).
Australian Dollar Today (retail-oriented forecast path)
Australian Dollar Today outlines an average trading range for February in the mid-$30s HKD, with a projected month-end level near $33.40 HKD. The forecast is recalculated frequently and is based on historical trading ranges and technical patterns, presenting potential monthly maximum, minimum and average price scenarios under changing market conditions (Australian Dollar Today, 8 February 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
1810 stock price: Technical overview
The 1810 stock price is trading near $35.56 HKD as of 10:24am on 10 February 2026. The price sits just below the Classic Pivot at $36.87 HKD, while remaining above the 10-day moving average near $35.30 HKD. The short-term technical picture appears mixed. The 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages are positioned higher, at approximately $35.80, $38.50, $43 and $48.50 HKD, leaving the spot price below the broader moving-average structure despite near-term support from shorter-term measures.
The 14-day RSI, at around 43.6, sits in mid-range territory, while an ADX reading near 24.5 suggests a developing but not yet established trend. On the upside, the first level to monitor is the classic R1 pivot at $39.23 HKD, with R2 near $42.97 HKD becoming relevant only on a sustained daily close above that area. On pullbacks, initial support aligns with the classic pivot at $36.87 HKD, followed by the S1 area near $33.13 HKD (TradingView, 10 February 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Xiaomi share price history (2024–2026)
Over the past two years, 1810’s stock price has ranged from low-teen levels to above $60 HKD, before easing back toward the mid-$30s HKD. The stock closed at approximately $12.61 HKD on 14 February 2024 and then advanced steadily through the middle of the year. By mid-2025, it had pushed into the mid-$50s HKD and briefly traded above $60 HKD in late June and early July.
By autumn 2025, the share price had moved back into the mid- to high-$40s HKD, before a pullback from October took it below $40 HKD into year-end. That retracement extended into early 2026, with the price falling from around $43.43 HKD on 12 December 2025 into the mid-$30s HKD by February. Recent sessions have been largely range-bound, with Xiaomi trading mostly between $34 and $37 HKD during January and closing at $35.56 HKD on 10 February 2026.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Xiaomi (1810): Capital.com analyst view
Xiaomi’s share price has followed a pronounced cycle over the past two years, rising from the mid-teens HKD in early 2024 to above $60 HKD by mid-2025, before easing back toward the mid-$30s HKD by February 2026. This trajectory reflects shifts in sentiment toward Chinese technology stocks more broadly, with periods of optimism followed by consolidation and sharper pullbacks.
From a drivers’ perspective, market participants continue to monitor Xiaomi’s mix of smartphones, Internet of Things products and its expanding electric vehicle business. Recent results have highlighted strong year-on-year growth within the EV and innovation segments. A supportive interpretation is that this diversification could broaden the company’s revenue base over time. A more cautious view centres on sustained investment requirements, competitive pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty, which could continue to contribute to share-price volatility.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Xiaomi CFDs
As of 10 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning data shows 97.1% buyers versus 2.9% sellers in Xiaomi CFDs, indicating a heavily skewed long positioning, with buyers ahead by 94.2 percentage points. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com at the time of observation and may change as market conditions develop.
Summary – Xiaomi 2026
- Xiaomi’s share price rose from the mid-teens HKD in early 2024 to above $60 HKD by mid-2025, before retreating to the mid-$30s HKD by February 2026.
- Technical signals remain mixed, with the price trading below the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages, while shorter-term reference points around $35–$36 HKD remain in focus.
- The stock continues to reflect sensitivity to technology-sector sentiment, competitive dynamics and broader macroeconomic conditions.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Xiaomi stock?
Xiaomi’s shareholding structure includes a mix of founders, senior management, strategic investors and public shareholders. Founder and CEO Lei Jun remains one of the largest individual shareholders, alongside other early backers and institutional investors. A significant portion of Xiaomi’s shares is freely traded on the Hong Kong Exchange, meaning ownership is widely distributed across global funds and retail investors. Shareholding proportions can change over time due to market transactions, buybacks and regulatory disclosures.
What is the 5-year Xiaomi share price forecast?
There is no single, agreed five-year forecast for Xiaomi’s share price. Longer-term projections vary widely depending on assumptions around smartphone demand, electric vehicle execution, margins, competition and broader sentiment toward China technology stocks. While some analysts publish multi-year valuation scenarios, these are inherently uncertain and highly sensitive to changes in underlying assumptions. As a result, five-year forecasts are generally viewed as illustrative rather than predictive, particularly given the volatility observed in Xiaomi’s historical price movements.
Is Xiaomi a good stock to buy?
Whether Xiaomi is considered a 'good' stock depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance and market expectations. The company operates across smartphones, Internet of Things products and electric vehicles, which some market participants view as a form of diversification. Others focus on competitive pressures, capital requirements and macroeconomic uncertainty. As with any listed company, Xiaomi’s share price can fluctuate significantly, and assessments of its attractiveness can differ across analysts and investors over time.
Could Xiaomi stock go up or down?
Xiaomi’s share price can move both higher and lower, reflecting changes in company performance, sector conditions and broader market sentiment. Factors such as smartphone pricing trends, electric vehicle delivery updates, cost dynamics and macroeconomic developments may all influence price movements. Historical trading shows periods of strong rallies followed by pullbacks, highlighting that volatility has been a recurring feature of the stock. Past price behaviour does not provide a reliable indication of future performance.
Should I invest in Xiaomi stock?
This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Deciding whether to invest in Xiaomi stock involves considering personal financial circumstances, risk appetite and time horizon. Equity investments can expose capital to losses as well as gains, and Xiaomi’s share price has shown meaningful price swings over time. Many traders and investors choose to conduct their own research, review multiple perspectives and seek independent professional advice before making investment-related decisions.
Can I trade Xiaomi CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Xiaomi CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.