Rocket Lab Corporation stock forecast: Third-party price targets
Rocket Lab Corporation is a publicly listed aerospace company operating in the small satellite launch and space-systems market, with activities spanning commercial launches, government contracts and satellite manufacturing. Explore third-party RKLB price targets and technical analysis.
Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) is trading around $68.22 in intraday action as of 3:18pm UTC on 5 February 2026, sitting near the lower end of its $68.22–$78.62 session range on Capital.com’s feed. The move follows recent sessions marked by double-digit percentage swings, including a prior close reported at $73.11 on 3 February 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Price action is unfolding amid anticipation ahead of Rocket Lab’s scheduled fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings release on 26 February 2026 (Zacks, 4 February 2026).Trading also follows confirmation that Rocket Lab has secured its largest contract to date with the US Space Development Agency, covering the design and manufacture of 18 missile-defence satellites under an agreement expected to run through 2029 (Simply Wall St, 4 February 2026). This sits alongside continued focus on launch execution, including completion of the company’s 81st Electron mission in late January (GlobeNewswire, 29 January 2026).
Rocket Lab Corporation stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 5 February 2026, third-party Rocket Lab Corporation stock predictions span a wide range, with recent updates generally clustering from the low-$60s to the mid-$80s, while outliers extend above $100 per share. The following briefs summarise published 12-month targets and consensus figures, captured on specific dates during this period.
Fintel (broker update)
Fintel reports that the average one-year RKLB stock forecast stood at $70.79 per share, with forecasts ranging from $47.47 at the low to $105 at the high. The article notes that Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight, while highlighting a wide dispersion in targets as analysts balance strong prior share-price gains against execution and valuation risks (Fintel, 16 January 2026).
MarketBeat (consensus snapshot)
MarketBeat states that Rocket Lab holds a Moderate Buy consensus rating, with a consensus RKLB stock forecast of $72.92 per share across 15 analysts. The update adds that recommendations range from Strong Buy to Sell, reflecting differing views on revenue growth and launch cadence versus ongoing losses and insider selling (MarketBeat, 31 January 2026).
Public.com (Wall Street consensus)
Public.com indicates that Wall Street analysts covering Rocket Lab had set an average price target of $71.27 per share, based on 11 analyst models. The platform notes that 45% rate the stock Strong Buy and 36% rate it Buy, amid expectations tied to launch activity and space-systems growth (Public.com, 4 February 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
RKLB stock price: Technical overview
The RKLB stock price trades around $68.22 as of 3:18pm UTC on 5 February 2026, sitting below its key short-term daily moving averages. The 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages sit near 85, 70, 63 and 49 respectively, placing price beneath shorter-term trend measures, while longer-term averages remain below spot. The 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, near 65 and 53, track slightly above their SMA counterparts but remain well below the recent intraday high of 78.62.
Momentum indicators suggest muted near-term pressure, with the 14-day RSI around 41, in lower-neutral territory, and the ADX near 30, consistent with an established but moderating trend. On the upside, classic resistance at R1 near 97 represents the next notable reference, with R2 around 115 only coming into view after sustained prices above initial resistance. On pullbacks, the classic pivot near 82 acts as a reference level above current price, while the 100-day SMA around 63 marks a key support zone. A decisive break below this area could expose the S1 region near 65 (TradingView, 5 February 2026).
This technical analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation.
Rocket Lab Corporation share price history (2024–2026)
RKLB’s stock price has undergone a significant re-rating over the past two years, moving from single-digit levels into a substantially higher trading range. On 7 February 2024, RKLB closed at $4.27, spending much of 2024 range-bound between $4 and $6, before dipping below $5 into late summer. That pattern shifted markedly in 2025, with the share price rising from around $25 in early January to $69.79 by the close of 31 December 2025, as the stock broke through $50 and then $60 in the final quarter.
Into 2026, the move has extended but become more volatile. RKLB closed at $28.62 on 5 February 2025 and $68.39 on 5 February 2026, representing more than a doubling year on year. The stock reached a high of $99.60 on 16 January 2026, before pulling back from the $80–$90 area, with a recent low of $68.08 on 5 February 2026 underscoring heightened volatility during consolidation.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB): Capital.com analyst view
Rocket Lab Corporation’s share price has moved from single-digit territory to the high double digits, characterised by periods of sharp advances and equally sharp pullbacks. This re-rating has coincided with rapid revenue growth and an expanded contract backlog, including more than $1.3bn in agreements with the US Space Development Agency. Some market participants view this as supportive of Rocket Lab’s positioning in defence and space-systems markets, while others note that strong historical returns and elevated volatility leave the stock sensitive to shifts in funding conditions and broader risk appetite.
Recent launches and contract awards, including the SDA Tracking Layer Tranche 3 programme and the company’s first launch of 2026, are seen by some traders as constructive for sentiment, as they point to operational execution across both launch and satellite segments. An alternative perspective highlights that contract concentration, ongoing operating losses and the development risk surrounding the Neutron rocket could weigh on performance if timelines slip or market conditions turn more cautious, leaving both upside and downside scenarios in play.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for Rocket Lab Corporation CFDs
As of 5 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in Rocket Lab Corporation CFDs shows a heavily skewed long bias, with 93.1% of positions held by buyers versus 6.9% by sellers. This reflects open positions on Capital.com at the time of writing and can change.
Summary – Rocket Lab Corporation 2026
- Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) has shifted from single-digit prices in early 2024 to trading in the high double digits by early 2026, following a steep multi-quarter re-rating.
- The share price rose from around $25 in January 2025 to $69.79 at the end of 2025, before reaching an intraday high of $99.60 on 16 January 2026, and subsequently pulling back toward the high-$60s by 5 February 2026.
- Technical signals indicate that price is currently below short-term daily moving averages, while remaining above longer-term 100- and 200-day trend measures, with the RSI in lower-neutral territory and the ADX pointing to an established trend.
- Recent performance has been influenced by revenue growth and an expanding contract backlog, including US defence and satellite agreements, alongside ongoing consideration of execution, cash-flow and valuation risks in a volatile, high-beta stock.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most Rocket Lab Corporation stock?
Rocket Lab Corporation has a diversified shareholder base, with ownership split between institutional investors, company insiders and retail shareholders. Public filings generally indicate that large asset managers and investment funds hold substantial positions, while founders and senior executives also retain notable stakes. Ownership levels can change over time, as institutions rebalance portfolios or as new investors enter the stock. Up-to-date ownership details are typically available through regulatory filings and recognised market data providers.
What is the five-year Rocket Lab Corporation share price forecast?
There is no single, reliable five-year RKLB stock forecast. Longer-term projections vary widely and depend on assumptions around launch execution, satellite manufacturing, contract awards and funding conditions. Most published analyst targets focus on 12-month horizons rather than multi-year outcomes. As a result, longer-term views tend to be more speculative and sensitive to changes in the company’s strategy, technology development and broader market conditions.
Is Rocket Lab Corporation a good stock to buy?
Whether Rocket Lab Corporation is a ‘good’ stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. Some market participants focus on its expanding launch cadence and defence-related contracts, while others point to ongoing losses, elevated valuation metrics and share price volatility. As with many high-growth aerospace and technology companies, potential opportunities sit alongside meaningful risks, and assessments typically involve weighing both sides rather than relying on a single indicator.
Could Rocket Lab Corporation stock go up or down?
Rocket Lab Corporation’s share price can move in either direction. Historically, the stock has shown significant price swings, reflecting sensitivity to earnings results, contract announcements, launch outcomes and shifts in broader market sentiment. Positive developments may support higher prices, while delays, cost pressures or changes in risk appetite could weigh on performance. This two-sided risk profile is common among companies operating in capital-intensive, innovation-driven industries.
Should I invest in Rocket Lab Corporation stock?
Deciding whether to invest in Rocket Lab Corporation stock is a personal decision and cannot be answered definitively. It typically involves considering financial goals, experience level and risk tolerance. Reviewing publicly available information, understanding the company’s business model and recognising the potential for both gains and losses are often part of that process. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Can I trade Rocket Lab Corporation CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade Rocket Lab Corporation CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.