NVIDIA stock forecast: Third-party price targets
NVIDIA is a US-listed semiconductor and AI hardware company, with its shares traded on the Nasdaq and widely followed for exposure to data-centre, gaming and AI-related demand trends. Explore third-party NVDA price targets and technical analysis.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is trading around $188.52 in early Monday dealings, after moving between an intraday low of $179.24 and a high of $188.39, based on Capital.com pricing as of 9:57am UTC on 18 February 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
The stock is trading against a backdrop of recently reported fundamentals and company-specific developments, including record third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $57.0bn, up 62% year on year (CNBC, 19 November 2025). Price action also reflects headlines that NVIDIA has announced a multiyear, multigenerational strategic partnership with Meta to support large-scale AI infrastructure using its CPUs, networking products, and Blackwell and Rubin GPUs (NVIDIA, 17 February 2026). In addition, investors are monitoring NVIDIA’s scheduled conference call on 25 February 2026 to discuss its fourth-quarter and full fiscal-year 2026 results, following a period of data-centre-led growth (Quiver Quantitative, 28 January 2026).
NVIDIA stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 18 February 2026, third-party NVIDIA stock predictions cluster in the mid-$200s over an approximate 12-month horizon, with differences reflecting varying assumptions about AI demand and data-centre spending. The following third-party snapshots summarise selected targets and their stated drivers. They do not constitute investment advice or imply that these outcomes will be achieved.
Stock Analysis (consensus snapshot)
Stock Analysis reports that the average 12-month NVIDIA price target from 39 covering analysts stands at $255.82, implying an uplift of roughly 38–39% from the reference price cited in the snapshot. The site notes that this consensus sits alongside a ‘Strong Buy’ average rating and highlights expectations for continued earnings growth and AI-related demand as key factors underpinning analyst models ahead of the 25 February 2026 earnings date (Stock Analysis, 17 February 2026).
Goldman Sachs (broker target)
Goldman Sachs reiterates its rating on NVIDIA with a $250 12-month price target, framed as offering significant upside from a then spot price near $174.19. The bank’s analysts say they expect a ‘beat-and-raise’ quarter, citing industry supply-demand indicators, hyperscaler capital-expenditure plans, and demand from AI software companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic. At the same time, they acknowledge that elevated expectations are already reflected in the valuation (Goldman Sachs, 5 February 2026).
Morgan Stanley (broker target)
Morgan Stanley reiterates its Overweight rating on NVIDIA with a $250 price target over a standard 12-month horizon. The broker cites strong market checks in the AI sector, forecasts of about 63% revenue growth, and NVIDIA’s position in data-centre GPUs. It also notes that while the stock’s price-to-earnings multiple appears high, analysts consider the PEG ratio comparatively lower, and view concerns about potential share loss as overstated in the context of what they describe as a ‘very robust AI environment’ (Investing.com, 29 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
NVDA stock price: Technical overview
The NVDA stock price is trading near $188.52 as of 9:57am UTC on 18 February 2026, with price holding above the Classic pivot at 187.74 and oscillating around a medium-term moving-average band. On the daily chart, the simple 20/50/100/200-day moving averages cluster around 185 / 185 / 186 / 172, suggesting a broadly supportive longer-term base, while shorter-term signals remain mixed. The 14-day RSI stands near neutral at 49.70, and the ADX at 11.79 indicates a weak, non-directional trend rather than a sustained move in either direction.
On the topside, the Classic R1 pivot near 197.88 marks the first reference area. A daily close above this zone would bring the R2 band around 204.62 into view as a potential technical reference. On pullbacks, initial support sits at the classic pivot of 187.74, with the 100-day simple moving average near 185.69 acting as an additional support area. A sustained move below this region could expose the S1 area around 181 (TradingView, 18 February 2026).
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
NVIDIA share price history (2024–2026)
NVDA’s stock price has undergone a significant re-rating over the past two years, moving from double-digit levels in early 2024 to the high-$100s by February 2026. The stock closed at about $68.48 on 20 February 2024, then advanced through a series of rallies and pullbacks to finish 2024 at roughly $134.34 on 31 December.
By 18 February 2026, NVDA traded near $188.38, after briefly dipping towards the $170 area in late 2025. Since then, the price has moved higher again in early 2026, with intraday ranges periodically testing levels above $190. As with many growth-oriented equities, the path has included both upward extensions and corrective phases.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Capital.com analyst view
NVIDIA’s share price has risen from around $68 in February 2024 to trade near $188 in mid-February 2026, as the company reported several record quarters in its core data-centre business. Revenue for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 reached $57.0bn, with data-centre sales of $51.2bn up 66% year on year. These results have kept NVIDIA central to discussions around AI infrastructure and GPU demand.
At the same time, the stock has experienced sharp moves around earnings releases and macroeconomic headlines, underlining that strong reported growth can coincide with elevated volatility.
Looking ahead, market participants are assessing how NVIDIA’s expansion into multiyear AI infrastructure partnerships and next-generation platforms may influence expectations. Agreements such as the long-term collaboration with Meta highlight ongoing institutional demand for NVIDIA’s hardware and software ecosystem. However, potential changes in hyperscaler spending, increased competition in AI chips, supply-chain constraints, or regulatory developments could alter growth assumptions and margin expectations. Different traders may interpret the same data differently, leading to a range of valuation views and risk assessments.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for NVIDIA CFDs
As of 18 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in NVIDIA CFDs shows buyers at 91.1% and sellers at 8.9%, leaving net long positioning ahead by approximately 82.2 percentage points. This snapshot reflects open positions on Capital.com at the time of writing and may change as market conditions evolve.
Summary – NVIDIA 2026
- NVIDIA’s share price moved from about $68 in February 2024 to roughly $134 by the end of 2024, before trading near $188 by mid-February 2026, reflecting a marked two-year re-rating.
- Technical indicators currently present a mixed picture, with price holding near the Classic pivot, clustered 20/50/100/200-day moving averages in the low-to-mid-$180s, a neutral RSI, and a low ADX reading.
- Key drivers include record data-centre revenues and sustained AI-related demand, alongside multiyear infrastructure partnerships with major technology companies. At the same time, competition, spending cycles, valuation sensitivity, and regulatory developments remain relevant risk factors.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most NVIDIA stock?
NVIDIA’s largest shareholders generally consist of institutional investors and asset managers, including global investment funds and exchange-traded fund (ETF) providers. These institutions typically hold shares on behalf of their clients. Company insiders, such as executives and board members, also own stock, although their holdings are usually smaller than those of major funds. Ownership levels can change over time as funds rebalance portfolios or as insider transactions are disclosed through regulatory filings.
What is the five-year NVIDIA share price forecast?
There is no single, reliable five-year NVIDIA stock forecast. Most published analyst targets focus on a 12-month horizon, with recent estimates clustering in the mid-$250s as of early 2026. Longer-term projections depend on variables such as AI demand, data-centre spending, competitive dynamics, regulatory developments, and broader market conditions. Because these factors can evolve significantly over time, five-year forecasts involve a high degree of uncertainty and are typically presented as scenario-based estimates rather than fixed expectations.
Is NVIDIA a good stock to buy?
Whether NVIDIA is considered a ‘good’ stock depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. The company has reported strong revenue growth, particularly in its data-centre segment, and remains closely linked to AI infrastructure trends. However, the share price has also experienced periods of volatility, and current valuation levels reflect elevated growth expectations. Market participants often review company fundamentals, technical indicators, valuation metrics, and broader economic risks before making any investment decision.
Could NVIDIA stock go up or down?
Like any listed equity, NVIDIA’s share price can move in either direction. It may respond to company earnings, product developments, partnerships, industry demand for AI hardware, macroeconomic data, or shifts in investor sentiment. Technical factors, such as support and resistance levels, can also influence short-term price movements. At the same time, unexpected events or changes in growth assumptions may increase volatility.
Should I invest in NVIDIA stock?
Deciding whether to invest in NVIDIA shares requires careful consideration of personal financial circumstances, investment goals, and risk appetite. While the company operates in technology segments that have shown significant expansion in recent years, equities can generate both gains and losses. Prospective investors often analyse financial statements, competitive positioning, and valuation metrics, and may consider seeking independent financial advice. It is important to remember that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns.
Can I trade NVIDIA CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade NVIDIA CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.