DroneShield stock forecast: Third-party price targets
DroneShield is an Australian-listed defence technology company that develops counter-drone and electronic warfare systems for military and government customers, with its shares traded on the ASX under the ticker DRO. Explore third-party DRO price targets and technical analysis.
DroneShield Limited (DRO) is trading around $3.08 AUD in intraday action, moving within a session range of approximately $2.98–$3.38 AUD as of 3:28pm UTC on 12 February 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Recent attention has followed larger defence orders, including a reported contract of about $49.6m for handheld counter-drone systems and software supplied to a European military end-customer via a regional reseller, with deliveries and payments expected in the first quarter of 2026 (DroneShield, 15 December 2025)
DroneShield stock forecast 2026–2030: Third-party price targets
As of 12 February 2026, third-party DroneShield stock predictions show a wide dispersion of 12-month expectations. These figures reflect each provider’s methodology and assumptions and do not constitute forecasts or guarantees of future performance.
MarketWatch (analyst estimates snapshot)
MarketWatch reports an average 12-month price target of $5 for DroneShield’s U.S. OTC listing (DRSHF). The service states that this level is derived from a small group of contributing analyst estimates, which may limit the breadth of consensus reflected (MarketWatch, 10 February 2026).
Fintel (ASX consensus target band)
Fintel states that the average one-year price target for DroneShield’s ASX listing is $5.10 AUD, with forecasts ranging from $5.05 AUD to $5.25 AUD. The platform references revisions to prior consensus as analysts update revenue and margin assumptions, following strong share-price performance in 2025 (FIntel, 12 February 2026).
Bell Potter (broker note)
Bell Potter retains its positive rating on DroneShield and raised its DRO stock forecast to $5 AUD from $4.40 AUD. The firm attributes the revision to updated assumptions regarding DroneShield’s position in radio-frequency counter-UAS systems and expected trends in global defence spending (The Motley Fool, 22 January 2026).
Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
DRO stock price: Technical overview
On the daily chart, the DRO stock price trades around $3.08 AUD as of 3:28pm UTC on 12 February 2026, below its near-term moving-average cluster, with the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages positioned near 3.80, 3.23, 3.62 and 3.11 respectively. The 14-day RSI sits near 42, within the lower-neutral range, while an ADX reading around 25 suggests a developing trend rather than an extreme directional phase.
On the upside, traders often monitor the classic R1 pivot near 4.40. A sustained move above that level could bring the 5.49 region, near R2, into focus as a broader resistance area. On pullbacks, the classic pivot near 3.73 may act as initial support, with the 200-day moving average around 3.11 forming a nearby reference level. A break below that longer-term average could expose the S1 area around 2.64 (TradingView, 12 February 2026).
This technical analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
DroneShield share price history (2024–2026)
DRO’s stock price has recorded significant advances and pronounced pullbacks over the past two years. It closed 2025 at approximately $3.07 AUD on 31 December, after spending much of November and December recovering from levels below $2 AUD to trade back above $3 AUD.
Earlier in the fourth quarter, DRO rose from around $4.62 AUD at the end of September 2025 to intraday highs above $6.50 AUD in October, before easing back below $5 AUD into November. By mid-January 2026, the share price traded in the mid-$4s. A late-January to early-February pullback then saw the price decline from just over $4.80 AUD on 27 January to around $3.08 AUD by 12 February 2026. This left the stock close to its late-2025 closing level, but well below its October peak.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
DroneShield (DRO): Capital.com analyst view
DroneShield’s share price has experienced wide price swings over the past year. The stock moved from below $2 AUD in late 2025 to trade between roughly $3 and $4 AUD during much of early 2026, after peaking above $6.50 AUD in October 2025. By 12 February 2026, it had retraced towards $3.08 AUD.
Interest in counter-drone and electronic warfare solutions, alongside recent contract announcements, may influence revenue expectations and market attention. At the same time, investors often assess factors such as customer concentration, execution risk on existing orders and sensitivity to public-sector defence budgets. The stock’s recent volatility highlights that sharp advances can be followed by equally rapid declines. Past performance does not indicate future results, and leveraged CFD trading can amplify both gains and losses.
Capital.com’s client sentiment for DroneShield CFDs
As of 12 February 2026, Capital.com client positioning in DroneShield CFDs shows buyers at 96.2% and sellers at 3.8%, resulting in a predominantly long bias of approximately 92.4 percentage points in favour of buyers. This snapshot reflects open positions on the platform at the time of writing and may change as market conditions evolve.
Summary – DroneShield 2026
- DroneShield’s share price moved sharply during 2025, rising from below $2 AUD in November to intraday highs above $6.50 AUD in October, before ending the year near $3.07 AUD.
- Technical indicators present a mixed picture. The price trades below several short- and medium-term daily moving averages, while the 200-day moving average sits close to current levels near $3.11 AUD.
- Oscillators such as the 14-day RSI in the low-40s and an ADX reading above 25 suggest a consolidative phase following a prior upward move, rather than conditions associated with extreme momentum.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
FAQ
Who owns the most DroneShield stock?
DroneShield’s largest shareholders typically include institutional investors, fund managers and company insiders, as disclosed in regulatory filings on the ASX. Ownership levels can change over time as institutions adjust their positions or as the company issues new shares. Retail investors also hold a portion of the share register. For the most up-to-date breakdown, refer to the company’s latest ASX announcements and annual or interim reports.
What is the five-year DroneShield share price forecast?
There is currently no single, agreed five-year DRO stock forecast. Most publicly available analyst estimates focus on a 12-month horizon rather than multi-year projections. Longer-term expectations depend on factors such as defence spending trends, contract execution, competitive positioning and broader market conditions. Long-range projections are inherently uncertain and should be treated as illustrative scenarios rather than reliable predictions.
Is DroneShield a good stock to buy?
Whether DroneShield is considered ‘good’ depends on an individual’s objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. The company operates in the counter-drone and defence technology sector, which can experience periods of revenue expansion alongside heightened volatility. Share price movements have been significant in both directions. Investors typically assess fundamentals, valuation metrics, cash flow visibility and sector-specific risks before making any decision. This assessment will differ from one investor to another.
Could DroneShield stock go up or down?
DroneShield’s share price can move in either direction, sometimes sharply. It may respond to contract announcements, earnings updates, changes in defence budgets, competitive developments or shifts in broader market conditions. As recent price history illustrates, advances have been followed by notable pullbacks. When trading CFDs, leverage can amplify both gains and losses, which increases overall risk exposure.
Should I invest in DroneShield stock?
Only you can decide whether investing in DroneShield aligns with your financial situation and objectives. Before investing, many individuals review company fundamentals, sector outlook, balance sheet strength and their own tolerance for risk. It is also important to consider diversification and the potential for capital loss. This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Can I trade DroneShield CFDs on Capital.com?
Yes, you can trade DroneShield CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.