TIM Group stock forecast: Poste secures 66.6% stake

TIM is an Italian telecommunications group. Poste Italiane secured roughly 66.6% of its share capital by the close of its main tender and exchange offer period. Explore third-party TIT price targets and technical analysis. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

By Dan Mitchell10:45 (UTC), 12 October 2026 Updated

TIM Group (Telecom Italia) stock forecast — Photo: Shutterstock.com

TIM S.p.A. (TIT) – formerly known as Telecom Italia S.p.A. – is trading near €7.58 at 8:55am UTC on 15 September 2026,, within an intraday range of €7.49–€7.67 and below last week's levels. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Price action continues to be shaped by Poste Italiane's voluntary tender and exchange offer for TIM. Poste raised the cash component of its bid to €1.97 per share, waived its 66.67% minimum acceptance threshold and confirmed an exchange ratio of 0.218 newly issued Poste shares per TIM share tendered (Reuters, 7 September 2026). It later confirmed it had secured roughly 66.6% of TIM's share capital by the close of the main offer period on 11 September 2026 (Reuters, 11 September 2026). The offer is due to reopen from 21 to 25 September for shareholders who have not yet tendered (TIM press release, 9 September 2026), while insider share disclosures from TIM board members have kept regulatory scrutiny in focus (TipRanks, 10 September 2026).

Third-party TIM outlook: Poste reaches 66.6% stake

As of 15 September 2026, third-party TIM Group stock predictions show a broad range of 12-month targets, reflecting different assumptions around valuation and the Poste Italiane offer. The following third-party estimates were published between August and mid-September 2026.

Yahoo Finance (analyst price target overview)

Yahoo Finance projects an average 12-month target of €6.64, with estimates ranging from €2.80–€8.90. Analyst recommendations lean towards strong buy, although the range of targets points to differing views on valuation and the offer process (Yahoo Finance, 14 September 2026).

Investing.com (12-month consensus target)

Investing.com projects an average 12-month target of €6.65, implying 11.05% downside from the reference price used in its model. The projection draws on ten analysts, with estimates ranging from €2.80–€8.90 (Investing.com, 10 September 2026).

MarketScreener (analysts' consensus)

MarketScreener projects an average 12-month target of €6.64, 12.84% below the closing price used in its model. Its consensus rating is outperform, based on ten analysts, with estimates ranging from €2.80–€8.90 (MarketScreener, 11 September 2026).

Simply Wall St (blended fair value estimate)

Simply Wall St projects a blended price target of around €6.40, down from a previous estimate near €6.50. The revision reflects updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and forward price-to-earnings, alongside the stock's removal from several major indices (Simply Wall St, 9 August 2026).

MarketBeat (consensus rating and forecast)

MarketBeat assigns Telecom Italia a consensus rating of hold, based on four Wall Street analysts, split between one buy and three hold recommendations. Its forecast covers the OTC-listed line, which traded near $8.92 as of 24 August 2026 (MarketBeat, 24 August 2026).

Takeaway: projected 12-month targets cluster around €6.40–€6.65, within a broader range of €2.80–€8.90. Consensus ratings vary from hold to outperform depending on methodology and analyst sample size, highlighting the uncertainty around third-party expectations.

Predictions and third-party forecasts are inherently uncertain, as they cannot fully account for unexpected market developments. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

TIM latest and upcoming earnings

Telecom Italia's (TIM) Board of Directors approved the half-year financial report to 30 June 2026 on 29 July 2026, ahead of the group's originally scheduled calendar (TIM press release, 29 July 2026).

Group revenue for the first half rose 3.5% year on year to €6,830 million, while second-quarter EBITDA After Lease reached €998 million, broadly in line with the company's analyst consensus of €995 million. Growth in Brazil and the enterprise division came alongside renewed growth in the domestic business (Reuters, 29 July 2026).

TIM also reported a second-quarter net profit of €88 million, reversing a prior-year loss, while its first-half net loss of €204 million included costs tied to discontinued operations. Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 and 2027 guidance on 30 July, citing operational discipline and improved profitability across the domestic and Brazilian markets.

The results preceded Poste Italiane's tender and exchange offer, which reached the end of its main acceptance period in September.

TIT stock price: technical overview

As of 8:55am UTC on 15 September 2026, the TIT stock price below its 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), at around €7.65 and €7.64 respectively, while remaining above its 100- and 200-day averages at approximately €7.54 and €6.69. With the shorter-term averages close together, the moving-average picture does not point clearly in either direction.

Momentum is also broadly neutral. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) sits near 47, while the average directional index (ADX) is around 22, suggesting that a strong trend is not currently established.

The nearest classic pivot above the current price is R1 near €8.03, according to TradingView, followed by R2 at €8.22. Below the current price, the 100-day SMA near €7.54 provides a nearby technical reference, while the Hull moving average (9) sits around €7.56 (TradingView, 15 September 2026).

A move above nearby resistance could shift attention towards higher reference levels, while weakness below support could bring lower levels into focus. Neither outcome is certain, and technical indicators can change as new price data emerges.

This is technical analysis for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

TIM Group share price history (2024–2026)

TIT’s stock price moved through several distinct phases over the past two years. On 16 September 2024, TIT closed at €2.50 and spent much of that autumn within a €2.20–€2.60 range before beginning a steadier rise through 2025. It ended the year at €5.16.

Price moves became wider in 2026. TIT dipped to around €5.14 in early January before rising to a two-year high of €8.20 on 3 July, as market attention around Poste Italiane's interest in TIM increased. The shares then pulled back to around €7.33 by the end of July before moving back towards the upper-€7 range as Poste improved its tender and exchange offer in September.

TIT closed at €7.56 on 15 September 2026, roughly 46.5% higher year to date and around 68.7% higher year on year.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Share prices are indicative and may differ from live market prices.

TIM Group (TIT): Capital.com analyst view

Telecom Italia's share price rose from around €5.08 in early January to a two-year high of €8.20 in July as attention increasingly focused on Poste Italiane's interest in the company. Corporate developments have therefore coincided with much of the stock's 2026 rise, although this does not establish that the offer process caused it.

The tender and exchange offer could support the shares if investors view the terms favourably or see a higher probability of completion. However, changing terms, lower acceptance levels, delays or regulatory hurdles could create pressure in the opposite direction.

TIM's half-year results provide a separate fundamental backdrop. Revenue growth and a smaller net loss may support perceptions of the underlying business, while continued losses or weaker operating performance could weigh on that view. The company also remains exposed to telecom-sector factors such as competitive pricing, network investment and capital expenditure requirements.

Poste Italiane's offer may remain an important near-term influence, while earnings and sector conditions could become more significant as the transaction progresses. These factors can affect the shares in either direction.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Summary – TIM Group 2026

As of 8:55am UTC on 15 September 2026, TIT was trading near €7.58, within an intraday range of €7.49–€7.67.
According to TradingView data, the shares sit below their shorter-term moving averages but above the 100- and 200-day averages. RSI near 47 and ADX near 22 suggest broadly neutral momentum without a strong established trend.
Poste Italiane's tender and exchange offer remains a key company-specific development, while TIM's first-half results showed revenue growth and a smaller net loss.
Poste Italiane secured roughly 66.6% of TIM's share capital during the main offer period, with the offer due to reopen from 21 to 25 September 2026.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

FAQ

Who owns the most TIM Group stock?

Based on the developments covered in this article, Poste Italiane had secured roughly 66.6% of TIM's share capital by the close of its main tender and exchange offer period on 11 September 2026. The offer was due to reopen from 21 to 25 September for shareholders who had not yet tendered. Ownership levels can change, so the latest regulatory filings should be checked for the most recent shareholder information.

What is the five-year TIM Group share price forecast?

The article does not provide a five-year TIT stock forecast. The third-party forecasts cited cover a 12-month horizon, with estimates ranging from €2.80–€8.90 and average targets clustered around €6.40–€6.65. Longer-term projections carry greater uncertainty because earnings, regulation, competitive conditions, investment requirements and corporate developments can change over time. Forecasts should not be treated as reliable indicators of future performance.

Is TIM Group a good stock to buy?

Whether TIM Group is suitable to buy depends on individual objectives, risk tolerance and assessment of the company. The article highlights both supportive and adverse factors. Poste Italiane's offer and improving revenue trends may influence sentiment positively, while continued losses, regulatory uncertainty and telecom-sector investment requirements could weigh on the shares. None of these factors determines future performance, and the article does not recommend buying or selling TIM stock.

Could TIM Group stock go up or down?

Yes. TIM Group shares could move in either direction as the offer process, earnings and wider telecom-sector conditions develop. Favourable tender terms, stronger operating performance or improved profitability could support the price. Conversely, delays, regulatory hurdles, weaker earnings, competitive pressure or higher investment requirements could weigh on it. Technical indicators in the article also point to a mixed picture, with broadly neutral momentum and no strong established trend.

Should I invest in TIM Group stock?

That depends on your financial circumstances, objectives and tolerance for risk. The article does not recommend investing in TIM Group. Instead, it outlines factors that market participants may consider, including Poste Italiane's tender offer, TIM's earnings, regulatory developments, competitive conditions and network investment needs. Third-party analyst forecasts also vary considerably, which highlights the uncertainty involved. Past performance and analyst price targets should not be relied on as indicators of future returns.

Can I trade TIM Group CFDs on Capital.com?

Yes, you can trade TIM Group CFDs on Capital.com. Trading share CFDs lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and to take long or short positions. However, contracts for difference (CFDs) are traded on margin, and leverage amplifies both profits and losses. You should ensure you understand how CFD trading works, assess your risk tolerance, and recognise that losses can occur quickly.